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The aim of this paper is to describe a new an integrated methodology for project control under uncertainty. This proposal is based on Earned Value Methodology and risk analysis and presents several refinements to previous methodologies.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-06 Fernando Acebes , M Pereda , David Poza , Javier Pajares , Jose M Galan

In this paper, we explore the portfolio allocation problem involving an uncertain covariance matrix. We calculate the expected value of the Constant Absolute Risk Aversion (CARA) utility function, marginalized over a distribution of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-14 Maxime Markov , Vladimir Markov

Generally, in the financial literature, the notion of quadratic VaR is implicitly confused with the Delta-Gamma VaR, because more authors dealt with portfolios that contains derivatives instruments. In this paper, we postpone to estimate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Jules Sadefo Kamdem

We introduce a semiparametric approach for forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) by modeling the conditional scale of financial returns, defined as the difference between two specified quantiles, via restricted…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-18 Xiaochun Liu , Richard Luger

Determining risk contributions of unit exposures to portfolio-wide economic capital is an important task in financial risk management. Computing risk contributions involves difficulties caused by rare-event simulations. In this study, we…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-18 Takaaki Koike , Mihoko Minami

The aim of this paper is to introduce a method for computing the allocated Solvency II Capital Requirement (SCR) of each Risk which the company is exposed to, taking in account for the diversification effect among different risks. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-11 Ivan Granito , Paolo De Angelis

Although quantile regression to calculate risk measures has been widely established in the financial literature, when considering data observed at mixed--frequency, an extension is needed. In this paper, a model is suggested built on a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-17 Vincenzo Candila , Giampiero M. Gallo , Lea Petrella

In financial risk management, Value at Risk (VaR) is widely used to estimate potential portfolio losses. VaR's limitation is its inability to account for the magnitude of losses beyond a certain threshold. Expected Shortfall (ES) addresses…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-10 Federico Gatta , Fabrizio Lillo , Piero Mazzarisi

A new realized conditional autoregressive Value-at-Risk (VaR) framework is proposed, through incorporating a measurement equation into the original quantile regression model. The framework is further extended by employing various Expected…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-18 Chao Wang , Richard Gerlach , Qian Chen

The contour maps of the error of historical resp. parametric estimates for large random portfolios optimized under the risk measure Expected Shortfall (ES) are constructed. Similar maps for the sensitivity of the portfolio weights to small…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-19 Fabio Caccioli , Imre Kondor , Gábor Papp

Portfolio selection in the periodic investment of securities modeled by a multivariate Merton model with dependent jumps is considered. The optimization framework is designed to maximize expected terminal wealth when portfolio risk is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-22 Bahareh Afhami , Mohsen Rezapour , Mohsen Madadi , Vahed Maroufy

Risk measures such as Expected Shortfall (ES) and Value-at-Risk (VaR) have been prominent in banking regulation and financial risk management. Motivated by practical considerations in the assessment and management of risks, including…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Ruodu Wang , Johanna F. Ziegel

There are various metrics for financial risk, such as value at risk (VaR), expected shortfall, expected/unexpected loss, etc. When estimating these metrics, it was very common to assume Gaussian distribution for the asset returns, which may…

Applications · Statistics 2020-02-17 Shuguang Zhang , Minjing Tao , Xu-Feng Niu , Fred Huffer

Expected Shortfall (ES) has been widely accepted as a risk measure that is conceptually superior to Value-at-Risk (VaR). At the same time, however, it has been criticised for issues relating to backtesting. In particular, ES has been found…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-20 Susanne Emmer , Marie Kratz , Dirk Tasche

We study two different contributions to the theory of (scalar) systemic risk measures. Namely the first aggregate or axiomatic approach and the first inject capital approach. For this purpose we establish a general framework, which is rich…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-27 Ludger Overbeck , Florian Schindler

Risk management is very important for individual investors or companies. There are many ways to measure the risk of investment. Prices of risky assets vary rapidly and randomly due to the complexity of finance market. Random interval is a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-26 Jinping Zhang , Keming Zhang

Expected Shortfall (ES, also known as CVaR) is the most important coherent risk measure in finance, insurance, risk management, and engineering. Recently, Wang and Zitikis (2021) put forward four economic axioms for portfolio risk…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-05 Xia Han , Bin Wang , Ruodu Wang , Qinyu Wu

We propose a non-asymptotic convergence analysis of a two-step approach to learn a conditional value-at-risk (VaR) and a conditional expected shortfall (ES) using Rademacher bounds, in a non-parametric setup allowing for heavy-tails on the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-20 D Barrera , S Crépey , E Gobet , Hoang-Dung Nguyen , B Saadeddine

Capital allocation is a procedure used to assess the risk contributions of individual risk components to the total risk of a portfolio. While the conditional tail expectation (CTE)-based capital allocation is arguably the most popular…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-05 Enrique Calderín-Ojeda , Yuyu Chen , Soon Wei Tan

Risk measures are important key figures to measure the adequacy of the reserves of a company. The most common risk measures in practice are Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). Recently, quantum-based algorithms are…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-01-29 Christian Laudagé , Ivica Turkalj