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We study post-calibration uncertainty for trained ensembles of classifiers. Specifically, we consider both aleatoric (label noise) and epistemic (model) uncertainty. Among the most popular and widely used calibration methods in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-24 Jakob Heiss , Sören Lambrecht , Jakob Weissteiner , Hanna Wutte , Žan Žurič , Josef Teichmann , Bin Yu

We present the checkpoint ensembles method that can learn ensemble models on a single training process. Although checkpoint ensembles can be applied to any parametric iterative learning technique, here we focus on neural networks. Neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-11 Hugh Chen , Scott Lundberg , Su-In Lee

Hyperparameter optimization (HPO) is crucial for strong performance of deep learning algorithms and real-world applications often impose some constraints, such as memory usage, or latency on top of the performance requirement. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-29 Shuhei Watanabe , Frank Hutter

Active learning reduces labeling costs by selecting samples that maximize information gain. A dominant framework, Query-by-Committee (QBC), typically relies on perturbation-based diversity by inducing model disagreement through random…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-25 Simon D. Nguyen , Hayden McTavish , Kentaro Hoffman , Cynthia Rudin , Tyler H. McCormick

Reinforcement learning provides a framework for learning control policies that can reproduce diverse motions for simulated characters. However, such policies often exploit unnatural high-frequency signals that are unachievable by humans or…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Zhaoming Xie , Kevin Karol , Jessica Hodgins

Penalized regression methods, such as lasso and elastic net, are used in many biomedical applications when simultaneous regression coefficient estimation and variable selection is desired. However, missing data complicates the…

Amounts of historical data collected increase and business intelligence applicability with automatic forecasting of time series are in high demand. While no single time series modeling method is universal to all types of dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-04-18 Evaldas Vaiciukynas , Paulius Danenas , Vilius Kontrimas , Rimantas Butleris

Decision tree learning is increasingly being used for pointwise inference. Important applications include causal heterogenous treatment effects and dynamic policy decisions, as well as conditional quantile regression and design of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-08 Matias D. Cattaneo , Jason M. Klusowski , Peter M. Tian

Energy systems optimization problems are complex due to strongly non-linear system behavior and multiple competing objectives, e.g. economic gain vs. environmental impact. Moreover, a large number of input variables and different variable…

Ensemble learning combines several individual models to obtain a better generalization performance. In this work we present a practical method for estimating the joint power of several classifiers. It differs from existing approaches which…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Simi Haber , Yonatan Wexler

Many important collective decision-making problems can be seen as multi-agent versions of discrete optimisation problems. Participatory budgeting, for instance, is the collective version of the knapsack problem; other examples include…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-12-02 Linus Boes , Rachael Colley , Umberto Grandi , Jerome Lang , Arianna Novaro

Ensembles of geophysical models improve projection accuracy and express uncertainties. We develop a novel data-driven ensembling strategy for combining geophysical models using Bayesian Neural Networks, which infers spatiotemporally varying…

Bayesian optimization (BO) is a sample-efficient global optimization algorithm for black-box functions which are expensive to evaluate. Existing literature on model based optimization in conditional parameter spaces are usually built on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-08 Xingchen Ma , Matthew B. Blaschko

Ensembling is commonly used in machine learning on tabular data to boost predictive performance and robustness, but larger ensembles often lead to increased hardware demand. We introduce HAPEns, a post-hoc ensembling method that explicitly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-12 Jannis Maier , Lennart Purucker

Decision trees and randomized forests are widely used in computer vision and machine learning. Standard algorithms for decision tree induction optimize the split functions one node at a time according to some splitting criteria. This greedy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Mohammad Norouzi , Maxwell D. Collins , Matthew Johnson , David J. Fleet , Pushmeet Kohli

Ensemble learning is a mainstay in modern data science practice. Conventional ensemble algorithms assigns to base models a set of deterministic, constant model weights that (1) do not fully account for variations in base model accuracy…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-20 Jeremiah Zhe Liu , John Paisley , Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou , Brent A. Coull

This paper studies sparse linear regression analysis with outliers in the responses. A parameter vector for modeling outliers is added to the standard linear regression model and then the sparse estimation problem for both coefficients and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-21 Shota Katayama , Hironori Fujisawa

In this paper, we propose a semiparametric, tree based joint latent class modeling approach (JLCT) to model the joint behavior of longitudinal and time-to-event data. Existing joint latent class modeling approaches are parametric and can…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-09 Ningshan Zhang , Jeffrey S. Simonoff

Classifier models are prevalent in natural language processing (NLP), often with high accuracy. Yet in real world settings, human-in-the-loop systems can foster trust in model outputs and even higher performance. Selective Prediction (SP)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Zhaohui Li , Rebecca J. Passonneau

This paper introduces a novel mixture model-based approach for simultaneous clustering and optimal segmentation of functional data which are curves presenting regime changes. The proposed model consists in a finite mixture of piecewise…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-02 Faicel Chamroukhi