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Time series forecasting is a challenging problem particularly when a time series expresses multiple seasonality, nonlinear trend and varying variance. In this work, to forecast complex time series, we propose ensemble learning which is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-03 Grzegorz Dudek

We consider the problems of estimation and selection of parameters endowed with a known group structure, when the groups are assumed to be sign-coherent, that is, gathering either nonnegative, nonpositive or null parameters. To tackle this…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Julien Chiquet , Yves Grandvalet , Camille Charbonnier

We consider a regularized least squares problem, with regularization by structured sparsity-inducing norms, which extend the usual $\ell_1$ and the group lasso penalty, by allowing the subsets to overlap. Such regularizations lead to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2012-09-04 Silvia Villa , Lorenzo Rosasco , Sofia Mosci , Alessandro Verri

This paper tackles the problem of selecting among several linear estimators in non-parametric regression; this includes model selection for linear regression, the choice of a regularization parameter in kernel ridge regression, spline…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-15 Sylvain Arlot , Francis Bach

We propose a sparse coefficient estimation and automated model selection procedure for autoregressive (AR) processes with heavy-tailed innovations based on penalized conditional maximum likelihood. Under mild moment conditions on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-09-24 Hailin Sang , Yan Sun

We develop a simple and unified framework for nonlinear variable selection that incorporates uncertainty in the prediction function and is compatible with a wide range of machine learning models (e.g., tree ensembles, kernel methods, neural…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-30 Wenying Deng , Beau Coker , Rajarshi Mukherjee , Jeremiah Zhe Liu , Brent A. Coull

We revisit the use of probabilistic values, which include the well-known Shapley and Banzhaf values, to rank features for explaining the local predicted values of decision trees. The quality of feature rankings is typically assessed with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-22 Weida Li , Yaoliang Yu , Bryan Kian Hsiang Low

While chain-of-thought prompting with Best-of-N (BoN) selection has become popular for mathematical reasoning in large language models (LLMs), its linear structure fails to capture the branching and exploratory nature of complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-24 Tristan Cinquin , Geoff Pleiss , Agustinus Kristiadi

We propose an $\ell_1$-penalized estimation procedure for high-dimensional linear mixed-effects models. The models are useful whenever there is a grouping structure among high-dimensional observations, i.e. for clustered data. We prove a…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-05-12 Jürg Schelldorfer , Peter Bühlmann , Sara van de Geer

We develop both first and second order numerical optimization methods to solve non-smooth optimization problems featuring a shared sparsity penalty, constrained by differential equations with uncertainty. To alleviate the curse of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-18 Harbir Antil , Sergey Dolgov , Akwum Onwunta

We introduce NOBLE (Nonlinear lOw-rank Branch for Linear Enhancement), an architectural augmentation that adds nonlinear low-rank branches to transformer linear layers. Unlike LoRA and other parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) methods,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Ethan Smith

In this paper, we present a novel algorithm for piecewise linear regression which can learn continuous as well as discontinuous piecewise linear functions. The main idea is to repeatedly partition the data and learn a liner model in in each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-09-10 Naresh Manwani , P. S. Sastry

Learning linear combinations of multiple kernels is an appealing strategy when the right choice of features is unknown. Previous approaches to multiple kernel learning (MKL) promote sparse kernel combinations to support interpretability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-10-28 Marius Kloft , Ulf Brefeld , Soeren Sonnenburg , Alexander Zien

We consider a flexible semiparametric quantile regression model for analyzing high dimensional heterogeneous data. This model has several appealing features: (1) By considering different conditional quantiles, we may obtain a more complete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-25 Ben Sherwood , Lan Wang

The identification of predictive biomarkers from a large scale of covariates for subgroup analysis has attracted fundamental attention in medical research. In this article, we propose a generalized penalized regression method with a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-29 Chong Ma , Wenxuan Deng , Shuangge Ma , Ray Liu , Kevin Galinsky

Pair-based metric learning has been widely adopted to learn sentence embedding in many NLP tasks such as semantic text similarity due to its efficiency in computation. Most existing works employed a sequence encoder model and utilized…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-05-26 Li Zhang , Han Wang , Lingxiao Li

Multivariate decision trees are powerful machine learning tools for classification and regression that attract many researchers and industry professionals. An optimal binary tree has two types of vertices, (i) branching vertices which have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-05 Brandon Alston , Illya V. Hicks

We propose a penalized likelihood method that simultaneously fits the multinomial logistic regression model and combines subsets of the response categories. The penalty is non differentiable when pairs of columns in the optimization…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-11 Bradley S. Price , Charles J. Geyer , Adam J. Rothman

Large language models (LLMs) demonstrate exceptional instruct-following ability to complete various downstream tasks. Although this impressive ability makes LLMs flexible task solvers, their performance in solving tasks also heavily relies…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-03 Pengwei Zhan , Zhen Xu , Qian Tan , Jie Song , Ru Xie

Nonconvex penalty methods for sparse modeling in linear regression have been a topic of fervent interest in recent years. Herein, we study a family of nonconvex penalty functions that we call the trimmed Lasso and that offers exact control…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-16 Dimitris Bertsimas , Martin S. Copenhaver , Rahul Mazumder
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