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In healthcare, risk assessment of patient outcomes has been based on survival analysis for a long time, i.e. modeling time-to-event associations. However, conventional approaches rely on data from a single time-point, making them suboptimal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-20 Mine Öğretir , Miika Koskinen , Juha Sinisalo , Risto Renkonen , Harri Lähdesmäki

Joint models of longitudinal and event-time data have been extensively studied and applied in many different fields. Estimation of joint models is challenging, most present procedures are computational expensive and have a strict…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-09-05 Yanqiao Zheng , Xiaobing Zhao , Xiaoqi Zhang

In medical research, understanding changes in outcome measurements is crucial for inferring shifts in health conditions. However, traditional methods often struggle with large, irregularly longitudinal data and fail to account for the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-13 Yu Luo , Chris Sherlock

We investigate joint modeling of longevity trends using the spatial statistical framework of Gaussian Process regression. Our analysis is motivated by the Human Mortality Database (HMD) that provides unified raw mortality tables for nearly…

Applications · Statistics 2020-03-06 Nhan Huynh , Mike Ludkovski

Joint models for longitudinal and time-to-event data are widely used in many disciplines. Nonetheless, existing model comparison criteria do not indicate whether a model adequately fits the data or which components may be misspecified. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Dimitris Rizopoulos , Jeremy M. G. Taylor , Isabella Kardys

Illness-death models are a class of stochastic models inside the multi-state framework. In those models, individuals are allowed to move over time between different states related to illness and death. They are of special interest when…

Applications · Statistics 2022-10-14 Fran Llopis-Cardona , Carmen Armero , Gabriel Sanfélix-Gimeno

Health economic evaluations based on patient-level data collected alongside clinical trials~(e.g. health related quality of life and resource use measures) are an important component of the process which informs resource allocation…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-25 Andrea Gabrio , Rachael Hunter , Alexina J. Mason , Gianluca Baio

The co-occurrence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC), or multimorbidity, in an individual can reduce their lifespan and severely impact their quality of life. Exploring the longitudinal patterns, e.g. clusters, of disease accrual can…

We consider the analysis of continuous repeated measurement outcomes that are collected through time, also known as longitudinal data. A standard framework for analysing data of this kind is a linear Gaussian mixed-effects model within…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-10 Özgür Asar , David Bolin , Peter J. Diggle , Jonas Wallin

We use the illness-death model (IDM) for chronic conditions to derive a new analytical relation between the transition rates between the states of the IDM. The transition rates are the incidence rate (i) and the mortality rates of people…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-23 Maryam Saem , Ralph Brinks

The onset of several silent, chronic diseases such as diabetes can be detected only through diagnostic tests. Due to cost considerations, self-reported outcomes are routinely collected in lieu of expensive diagnostic tests in large-scale…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-15 Xiangdong Gu , Yunsheng Ma , Raji Balasubramanian

Exposure to diverse non-genetic factors, known as the exposome, is a critical determinant of health outcomes. However, analyzing the exposome presents significant methodological challenges, including: high collinearity among exposures, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-10 Matteo Amestoy , Mark van de Wiel , Jeroen Lakerveld , Wessel van Wieringen

In credit risk analysis, survival models with fixed and time-varying covariates are widely used to predict a borrower's time-to-event. When the time-varying drivers are endogenous, modelling jointly the evolution of the survival time and…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-03 Victor Medina-Olivares , Finn Lindgren , Raffaella Calabrese , Jonathan Crook

The use of instrumental variables for estimating the effect of an exposure on an outcome is popular in econometrics, and increasingly so in epidemiology. This increasing popularity may be attributed to the natural occurrence of instrumental…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-03 T. Martinussen , S. Vansteelandt , E. J. Tchetgen Tchetgen , D. M. Zucker

Rheumatoid arthritis clinical trials are strategically designed to collect the disease activity score of each patient over multiple clinical visits, meanwhile a patient may drop out before their intended completion due to various reasons.…

Applications · Statistics 2018-01-29 Violeta G. Hennessey , Luis G. Leon-Novelo , Juan Li , Li Zhu , Eric Chi , Joseph G. Ibrahim

Often in follow-up studies intermediate events occur in some patients, such as reinterventions or adverse events. These intermediate events directly affect the shapes of their longitudinal profiles. Our work is motivated by two studies in…

In the era of big data, secondary outcomes have become increasingly important alongside primary outcomes. These secondary outcomes, which can be derived from traditional endpoints in clinical trials, compound measures, or risk prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Daxuan Deng , Peisong Han , Shuo Chen , Ming Wang , Chixiang Chen

Longitudinal data are important in numerous fields, such as healthcare, sociology and seismology, but real-world datasets present notable challenges for practitioners because they can be high-dimensional, contain structured missingness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Maksim Sinelnikov , Manuel Haussmann , Harri Lähdesmäki

The problem we consider considers estimating a multivariate longitudinal panel data model whose outcomes can be a combination of discrete and continuous variables. This problem is challenging because the likelihood is usually analytically…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-26 David Gunawan , Chris carter , Denzil Fiebig , Robert Kohn

Joint multivariate longitudinal and time-to-event data are gaining increasing attention in the biomedical sciences where subjects are followed over time to monitor the progress of a disease or medical condition. In the insurance context,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-12 Edward W. Frees , Catalina Bolancé , Montserrat Guillen , Emiliano Valdez
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