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In this paper, we establish a mathematical duality between utility transforms and probability distortions. These transforms play a central role in decision under risk by forming the foundation for the classic theories of expected utility,…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-21 Christopher P. Chambers , Peng Liu , Ruodu Wang

In this paper we present preliminary work examining the relationship between the formation of expectations and the realization of musical performances, paying particular attention to expressive tempo and dynamics. To compute features that…

Sound · Computer Science 2017-09-13 Carlos Cancino-Chacón , Maarten Grachten , David R. W. Sears , Gerhard Widmer

Portfolio diversification is a cornerstone of modern finance, while risk aversion is central to decision theory; both concepts are long-standing and foundational. We investigate their connections by studying how different forms of…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-26 Xiangxin He , Fangda Liu , Ruodu Wang

Complexity of the problem of choosing among uncertain acts is a salient feature of many of the environments in which departures from expected utility theory are observed. I propose and axiomatize a model of choice under uncertainty in which…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2022-10-17 Quitzé Valenzuela-Stookey

The expectation is an example of a descriptive statistic that is monotone with respect to stochastic dominance, and additive for sums of independent random variables. We provide a complete characterization of such statistics, and explore a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-06 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We study preferences estimated from finite choice experiments and provide sufficient conditions for convergence to a unique underlying "true" preference. Our conditions are weak, and therefore valid in a wide range of economic environments.…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2020-11-03 Christopher P. Chambers , Federico Echenique , Nicolas Lambert

Preference aggregation is a fundamental problem in voting theory, in which public input rankings of a set of alternatives (called preferences) must be aggregated into a single preference that satisfies certain soundness properties. The…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Kenan Wood , Hammurabi Mendes , Jonad Pulaj

This survey reviews recent developments in revealed preference theory. It discusses the testable implications of theories of choice that are germane to specific economic environments. The focus is on expected utility in risky environments;…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2019-12-04 Federico Echenique

Desirability can be understood as an extension of Anscombe and Aumann's Bayesian decision theory to sets of expected utilities. At the core of desirability lies an assumption of linearity of the scale in which rewards are measured. It is a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Enrique Miranda , Marco Zaffalon

The disjunction effect in human decision making is often taken to show that the classical law of total probability is violated, motivating quantum-like models. We re-examine this claim for the Prisoner's Dilemma disjunction effect. Under…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-03-25 Ryo Nasu , Yoshihiro Maruyama

A mixture preorder is a preorder on a mixture space (such as a convex set) that is compatible with the mixing operation. In decision theoretic terms, it satisfies the central expected utility axiom of strong independence. We consider when a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2021-02-16 David McCarthy , Kalle Mikkola , Teruji Thomas

This paper investigates a novel behavioral feature of recursive preferences: aversion to risks that persist over time, or simply \textit{correlation aversion}. Greater persistence provides information about future consumption but reduces…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-03-24 Lorenzo Maria Stanca

We study mechanism which operate on ordinal preference information (i.e., rank ordered lists of alternatives) on the full domain of weak preferences that admits indifferences. We present a novel decomposition of strategyproofness into three…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2020-07-15 Timo Mennle , Sven Seuken

It is well-known that for a group of time-consistent decision makers their collective time preferences may become time-inconsistent. Jackson and Yariv (2014) demonstrated that the result of aggregation of exponential discount functions…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-04-08 Nina Anchugina , Matthew Ryan , Arkadii Slinko

We propose and axiomatize preferences on a product state space in light of uncertainty regarding the dependency of different payoff-relevant factors. Dependence structures allow to decompose probabilities and allow to pin down behavior…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Gerrit Bauch , Lorenz Hartmann

We design and implement lab experiments to evaluate the normative appeal of behavior arising from models of ambiguity-averse preferences. We report two main empirical findings. First, we demonstrate that behavior reflects an incomplete…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-07-26 Christoph Kuzmics , Brian W. Rogers , Xiannong Zhang

Choice functions constitute a simple, direct and very general mathematical framework for modelling choice under uncertainty. In particular, they are able to represent the set-valued choices that typically arise from applying decision rules…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-06-05 Jasper De Bock , Gert de Cooman

By embedding uncertainty into time, we obtain a conjoint axiomatic characterization of both Exponential Discounting and Subjective Expected Utility that accommodates arbitrary state and outcome spaces. In doing so, we provide a novel and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-03-25 Lorenzo Bastianello , Vassili Vergopoulos

Expectile bears some interesting properties in comparison to the industry wide expected shortfall in terms of assessment of tail risk. We study the relationship between expectile and expected shortfall using duality results and the link to…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-04 Samuel Drapeau , Mekonnen Tadese

We consider a family of conditional nonlinear expectations defined on the space of bounded random variables and indexed by the class of all the sub-sigma-algebras of a given underlying sigma-algebra. We show that if this family satisfies a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Edoardo Berton , Alessandro Doldi , Marco Maggis