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A common approach to aggregate classification estimates in an ensemble of decision trees is to either use voting or to average the probabilities for each class. The latter takes uncertainty into account, but not the reliability of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-17 Florian Busch , Moritz Kulessa , Eneldo Loza Mencía , Hendrik Blockeel

In Bayesian inference, predictive distributions are typically in the form of samples generated via Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) or related algorithms. In this paper, we conduct a systematic analysis of how to make and evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-25 Fabian Krüger , Sebastian Lerch , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir , Tilmann Gneiting

Consensus methods provide a useful strategy for combining information from a collection of gene trees. An important application of consensus methods is to combine gene trees to estimate a species tree. To investigate the theoretical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2008-02-19 James H. Degnan

Decision trees are widely used for non-linear modeling, as they capture interactions between predictors while producing inherently interpretable models. Despite their popularity, performing inference on the non-linear fit remains largely…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Soham Bakshi , Snigdha Panigrahi

We propose an algorithm named best-scored random forest for binary classification problems. The terminology "best-scored" means to select the one with the best empirical performance out of a certain number of purely random tree candidates…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-28 Hanyuan Hang , Xiaoyu Liu , Ingo Steinwart

Recovering matrices from compressive and grossly corrupted observations is a fundamental problem in robust statistics, with rich applications in computer vision and machine learning. In theory, under certain conditions, this problem can be…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-05-31 Cun Mu , Yuqian Zhang , John Wright , Donald Goldfarb

We present a nice result on the probability of a cycle occurring in a randomly generated graph. We then provide some extensions and applications, including the proof of the famous Cayley formula, which states that the number of labeled…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-12-17 Scott Wu , Ray Li , Andrew He , Steven Hao

We develop a finite-sample, design-based theory for random forests in which each tree is a randomized conditional predictor acting on fixed covariates and the forest is their Monte Carlo average. An exact variance identity separates Monte…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-03 Nathaniel S. O'Connell

Random forest is a classification algorithm well suited for microarray data: it shows excellent performance even when most predictive variables are noise, can be used when the number of variables is much larger than the number of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Ramon Diaz-Uriarte , Sara Alvarez de Andres

In this paper, we aim to provide probabilistic and combinatorial insights into tree formulas for the Green function and hitting probabilities of Markov chains on a finite state space. These tree formulas are closely related to loop-erased…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-09 Jim Pitman , Wenpin Tang

We provide a new approach for proving the indistinguishability of connected components of random one-or-two-ended oriented forests on unimodular random graphs. In particular, this approach leads to a new and simpler proof for the wired…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Francois Baccelli , Ali Khezeli

In this paper, we obtain additional results for a fractional counting process introduced and studied by Di Crescenzo et al. (2016). For convenience, we call it the generalized fractional counting process (GFCP). It is shown that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-02-15 K. K. Kataria , M. Khandakar

We consider the tree consensus problem, an important problem in bioinformatics. Given a rooted tree $t$ and another tree $T$, one would like to incorporate compatible information from $T$ to $t$. This problem is a subproblem in the tree…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-03-09 Pongsaphol Pongsawakul

A new Chase-type soft-decision decoding algorithm for Reed-Solomon codes is proposed, referred to as tree-based Chase-type algorithm}. The proposed tree-based Chase-type algorithm takes the set of all vectors as the set of testing patterns,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2022-05-27 Siyun Tang , Suihua Cai , Xiao Ma Member

Cayley's formula states that the number of labelled trees on $n$ vertices is $n^{n-2}$, and many of the current proofs involve complex structures or rigorous computation. We present a bijective proof of the formula by providing an…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2014-09-08 Steven Hao , Andrew He , Ray Li , Scott Wu

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) is a popular inference method when likelihoods are hard to come by. Practical bottlenecks of ABC applications include selecting statistics that summarize the data without losing too much information or…

Computation · Statistics 2026-05-15 Khanh N. Dinh , Cécile Liu , Zijin Xiang , Zhihan Liu , Simon Tavaré

This paper derives a unifying theorem establishing consistency results for a broad class of tree-based algorithms. It improves current results in two aspects. First of all, it can be applied to algorithms that vary from traditional Random…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-22 Ricardo Blum , Munir Hiabu , Enno Mammen , Joseph T. Meyer

Highly dynamic networks are characterized by frequent changes in the availability of communication links. These networks are often partitioned into several components, which split and merge unpredictably. We present a distributed algorithm…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2017-10-25 Matthieu Barjon , Arnaud Casteigts , Serge Chaumette , Colette Johnen , Yessin M. Neggaz

We consider the number of common edges in two independent random spanning trees of a graph $G$. For complete graphs $K_n$, we give a new proof of the fact, originally obtained by Moon, that the distribution converges to a Poisson…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-06-09 Miklos Bona , Fabian Burghart , Stephan Wagner

Speculative decoding is a promising approach for accelerating large language models. The primary idea is to use a lightweight draft model to speculate the output of the target model for multiple subsequent timesteps, and then verify them in…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Yepeng Weng , Qiao Hu , Xujie Chen , Li Liu , Dianwen Mei , Huishi Qiu , Jiang Tian , Zhongchao Shi