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Deep neural networks has been increasingly applied in fault diagnostics, where it uses historical data to capture systems behavior, bypassing the need for high-fidelity physical models. However, despite their competence in prediction tasks,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Arman Mohammadi , Mattias Krysander , Daniel Jung , Erik Frisk

Nonlinear (systems of) ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are common tools in the analysis of complex one-dimensional dynamic systems. In this paper we propose a smoothing approach regularized by a quasilinearized ODE-based penalty in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-04-30 Gianluca Frasso , Jonathan Jaeger , Philippe Lambert

Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) are widely used to describe dynamical systems in science, but identifying parameters that explain experimental measurements is challenging. In particular, although ODEs are differentiable and would…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-22 Jonas Beck , Nathanael Bosch , Michael Deistler , Kyra L. Kadhim , Jakob H. Macke , Philipp Hennig , Philipp Berens

We present a quantum algorithm based on repeated measurement to solve initial-value problems for nonlinear ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which may be generated from partial differential equations in plasma physics. We map a…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-04-30 Joseph Andress , Alexander Engel , Yuan Shi , Scott Parker

We analyze the recent Multi-index Stochastic Collocation (MISC) method for computing statistics of the solution of a partial differential equation (PDEs) with random data, where the random coefficient is parametrized by means of a countable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-07-22 Abdul-Lateef Haji-Ali , Fabio Nobile , Lorenzo Tamellini , Raul Tempone

Numerical resolution of high-dimensional nonlinear PDEs remains a huge challenge due to the curse of dimensionality. Starting from the weak formulation of the Lawson-Euler scheme, this paper proposes a stochastic particle method (SPM) by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Zhengyang Lei , Sihong Shao , Yunfeng Xiong

When underlying probability density functions of nonlinear dynamic systems are unknown, the filtering problem is known to be a challenging problem. This paper attempts to make progress on this problem by proposing a new class of filtering…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-17 Zhiguo Wang , Xiaojing Shen , Yunmin Zhu , Jianxin Pan

We apply the sample average approximation (SAA) method to risk-neutral optimization problems governed by nonlinear partial differential equations (PDEs) with random inputs. We analyze the consistency of the SAA optimal values and SAA…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-03 Johannes Milz

Bayesian methods are critical for quantifying the behaviors of systems. They capture our uncertainty about a system's behavior using probability distributions and update this understanding as new information becomes available. Probabilistic…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-25 Thomas A. Catanach , James L. Beck

We evaluate the robustness of a probabilistic formulation of system identification (ID) to sparse, noisy, and indirect data. Specifically, we compare estimators of future system behavior derived from the Bayesian posterior of a learning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-02 Nicholas Galioto , Alex Gorodetsky

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

Label noise poses a significant challenge in Earth Observation (EO), often degrading the performance and reliability of supervised Machine Learning (ML) models. Yet, given the critical nature of several EO applications, developing robust…

In this paper, we focus on activating only a few sensors, among many available, to estimate the state of a stochastic process of interest. This problem is important in applications such as target tracking and simultaneous localization and…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-09-28 Vasileios Tzoumas , Nikolay A. Atanasov , Ali Jadbabaie , George J. Pappas

We present two approaches to system identification, i.e. the identification of partial differential equations (PDEs) from measurement data. The first is a regression-based Variational System Identification procedure that is advantageous in…

Computational Physics · Physics 2024-03-28 Zhenlin Wang , Bowei Wu , Krishna Garikipati , Xun Huan

In this paper, we propose a novel approach to Bayesian experimental design for non-exchangeable data that formulates it as risk-sensitive policy optimization. We develop the Inside-Out SMC$^2$ algorithm, a nested sequential Monte Carlo…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-30 Sahel Iqbal , Adrien Corenflos , Simo Särkkä , Hany Abdulsamad

This technical note considers the identification of nonlinear discrete-time systems with additive process noise but without measurement noise. In particular, we propose a method and its associated algorithm to identify the system nonlinear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-04-27 Wei Pan , Ye Yuan , Jorge Gonçalves , Guy-Bart Stan

Stochastic Differential Equations (SDEs) serve as a powerful modeling tool in various scientific domains, including systems science, engineering, and ecological science. While the specific form of SDEs is typically known for a given…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-27 Xin Cai , Jingyu Yang , Zhibao Li , Hongqiao Wang , Miao Huang

A general approach to provide approximate parameterizations of the "small" scales by the "large" ones, is developed for stochastic partial differential equations driven by linear multiplicative noise. This is accomplished via the concept of…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2013-10-16 Mickael D. Chekroun , Honghu Liu , Shouhong Wang

One of the pivotal tasks in scientific machine learning is to represent underlying dynamical systems from time series data. Many methods for such dynamics learning explicitly require the derivatives of state data, which are not directly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Dongwei Ye , Mengwu Guo

This paper develops meshless methods for probabilistically describing discretisation error in the numerical solution of partial differential equations. This construction enables the solution of Bayesian inverse problems while accounting for…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-20 Jon Cockayne , Chris Oates , Tim Sullivan , Mark Girolami