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Model interpretability is an increasingly important component of practical machine learning. Some of the most common forms of interpretability systems are example-based, local, and global explanations. One of the main challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-01-08 Gregory Plumb , Denali Molitor , Ameet Talwalkar

Ensemble modeling has been widely used to solve complex problems as it helps to improve overall performance and generalization. In this paper, we propose a novel TemporalAugmenter approach based on ensemble modeling for augmenting the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-17 Nelly Elsayed , Constantinos L. Zekios , Navid Asadizanjani , Zag ElSayed

Explanation faithfulness of model predictions in natural language processing is typically evaluated on held-out data from the same temporal distribution as the training data (i.e. synchronous settings). While model performance often…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-18 Zhixue Zhao , George Chrysostomou , Kalina Bontcheva , Nikolaos Aletras

Health outcomes depend on complex environmental and sociodemographic factors whose effects change over location and time. Only recently has fine-grained spatial and temporal data become available to study these effects, namely the MEDSAT…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-07 Ishaan Maitra , Raymond Lin , Eric Chen , Jon Donnelly , Sanja Šćepanović , Cynthia Rudin

Although large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated their effectiveness in a wide range of applications, they have also been observed to perpetuate unwanted biases present in the training data, potentially leading to harm for…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-03-09 Schrasing Tong , Eliott Zemour , Jessica Lu , Rawisara Lohanimit , Lalana Kagal

The global sensitivity analysis of time-dependent processes requires history-aware approaches. We develop for that purpose a variance-based method that leverages the correlation structure of the problems under study and employs surrogate…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Alen Alexanderian , Pierre A. Gremaud , Ralph C. Smith

Survey data are widely used to study how income inequality, poverty, and welfare evolve over time. A common practice is to estimate the income distribution separately for each year, treating annual observations as independent…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-24 David Gunawan

This article is a presentation of specific recent results describing scaling limits of individual-based models. Thanks to them, we wish to relate the time-scales typical of demographic dynamics and natural selection to the parameters of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-01 Aurélien Velleret

Data-driven methods that detect anomalies in times series data are ubiquitous in practice, but they are in general unable to provide helpful explanations for the predictions they make. In this work we propose a model-agnostic algorithm that…

Real-world deployment of machine learning models is challenging because data evolves over time. While no model can work when data evolves in an arbitrary fashion, if there is some pattern to these changes, we might be able to design methods…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-03 Rasool Fakoor , Jonas Mueller , Zachary C. Lipton , Pratik Chaudhari , Alexander J. Smola

Ensuring transparency in machine learning decisions is critically important, especially in sensitive sectors such as healthcare, finance, and justice. Despite this, some popular explainable algorithms, such as Local Interpretable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-27 Shakiba Rahimiaghdam , Hande Alemdar

Spatio-temporal prediction aims to forecast and gain insights into the ever-changing dynamics of urban environments across both time and space. Its purpose is to anticipate future patterns, trends, and events in diverse facets of urban…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Zhonghang Li , Lianghao Xia , Jiabin Tang , Yong Xu , Lei Shi , Long Xia , Dawei Yin , Chao Huang

Being able to interpret a machine learning model is a crucial task in many applications of machine learning. Specifically, local interpretability is important in determining why a model makes particular predictions. Despite the recent focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-22 Ozan Ozyegen , Igor Ilic , Mucahit Cevik

The performance of machine learning models relies heavily on the quality of input data, yet real-world applications often face significant data-related challenges. A common issue arises when curating training data or deploying models: two…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Varun Babbar , Zhicheng Guo , Cynthia Rudin

Understanding and distinguishing temporal patterns in time series data is essential for scientific discovery and decision-making. For example, in biomedical research, uncovering meaningful patterns in physiological signals can improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-16 Yu-Chia Huang , Juntong Chen , Dongyu Liu , Kwan-Liu Ma

We propose a model-free framework for sensitivity analysis of individual treatment effects (ITEs), building upon ideas from conformal inference. For any unit, our procedure reports the $\Gamma$-value, a number which quantifies the minimum…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Ying Jin , Zhimei Ren , Emmanuel J. Candès

Dynamic network data have become ubiquitous in social network analysis, with new information becoming available that captures when friendships form, when corporate transactions happen and when countries interact with each other. Flexible…

Applications · Statistics 2023-05-16 Yunran Chen , Alexander Volfovsky

There is growing interest in producing estimates of demographic and global health indicators in populations with limited data. Statistical models are needed to combine data from multiple data sources into estimates and projections with…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Herbert Susmann , Monica Alexander , Leontine Alkema

Tree-based ensembles such as random forests remain the go-to for tabular data over deep learning models due to their prediction performance and computational efficiency. These advantages have led to their widespread deployment in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Zhongyuan Liang , Zachary T. Rewolinski , Abhineet Agarwal , Tiffany M. Tang , Bin Yu

Large Language Models (LLMs) are known to exhibit social, demographic, and gender biases, often as a consequence of the data on which they are trained. In this work, we adopt a mechanistic interpretability approach to analyze how such…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Bhavik Chandna , Zubair Bashir , Procheta Sen