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At the heart of the Met Office climate and weather forecasting capabilities lies a sophisticated numerical model which solves the equations of large-scale atmospheric flow. Since this model uses semi-implicit time-stepping, it requires the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2023-11-27 Andrew Malcolm , Eike H. Müller , Robert Scheichl

Cloud-related parameterizations remain a leading source of uncertainty in climate projections. Although machine learning holds promise for Earth system models (ESMs), many data-driven parameterizations lack interpretability, physical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-11-25 Arthur Grundner , Tom Beucler , Julien Savre , Axel Lauer , Manuel Schlund , Veronika Eyring

Multi-model ensemble analysis integrates information from multiple climate models into a unified projection. However, existing integration approaches based on model averaging can dilute fine-scale spatial information and incur bias from…

Applications · Statistics 2023-04-12 Trevor Harris , Bo Li , Ryan Sriver

With the recent wave of digitalization, specifically in the context of safety-critical applications, there has been a growing need for computationally efficient, accurate, generalizable, and trustworthy models. Physics-based models have…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-09-20 Sondre Sørbø , Sindre Stenen Blakseth , Adil Rasheed , Trond Kvamsdal , Omer San

Sensitivity analysis is a cornerstone of climate science, essential for understanding phenomena ranging from storm intensity to long-term climate feedbacks. However, computing these sensitivities using traditional physical models is often…

The GMRES method is used to solve sparse, non-symmetric systems of linear equations arising from many scientific applications. The solver performance within a single node is memory bound, due to the low arithmetic intensity of its…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-11-04 Neil Lindquist , Piotr Luszczek , Jack Dongarra

Multi-model ensembles provide a pragmatic approach to the representation of model uncertainty in climate prediction. However, such representations are inherently ad hoc, and, as shown, probability distributions of climate variables based on…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2009-08-26 T. N. Palmer , F. J. Doblas-Reyes , A. Weisheimer , G. J. Shutts , J. Berner , J. M. Murphy

Motivated by recent advances in operational weather forecasting, we study the efficacy of low-precision arithmetic for climate simulations. We develop a framework to measure rounding error in a climate model which provides a stress-test for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-02-23 E. Adam Paxton , Matthew Chantry , Milan Klöwer , Leo Saffin , Tim Palmer

Computational fluid dynamics and aerodynamics, which complement more expensive empirical approaches, are critical for developing aerospace vehicles. During the past three decades, computational aerodynamics capability has improved…

Registering accurately point clouds from a cheap low-resolution sensor is a challenging task. Existing rigid registration methods failed to use the physical 3D uncertainty distribution of each point from a real sensor in the dynamic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2018-08-03 Can Pu , Nanbo Li , Radim Tylecek , Robert B Fisher

A promising approach to improve climate-model simulations is to replace traditional subgrid parameterizations based on simplified physical models by machine learning algorithms that are data-driven. However, neural networks (NNs) often lead…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-04-07 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman , Chris N. Hill

Site-specific weather forecasts are essential to accurate prediction of power demand and are consequently of great interest to energy operators. However, weather forecasts from current numerical weather prediction (NWP) models lack the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-08-02 MengMeng Han , Tennessee Leeuwenburg , Brad Murphy

Molecular dynamics simulations have emerged as a fundamental instrument for studying biomolecules. At the same time, it is desirable to perform simulations of a collection of particles under various conditions in which the molecules can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-11 Jingbang Chen , Yian Wang , Xingwei Qu , Shuangjia Zheng , Yaodong Yang , Hao Dong , Jie Fu

Traditional optimization methods rely on the use of single-precision floating point arithmetic, which can be costly in terms of memory size and computing power. However, mixed precision optimization techniques leverage the use of both…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-25 Basile Lewandowski , Atli Kosson

Weather and climate simulations produce petabytes of high-resolution data that are later analyzed by researchers in order to understand climate change or severe weather. We propose a new method of compressing this multidimensional weather…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-17 Langwen Huang , Torsten Hoefler

Global Storm-Resolving Models (GSRMs) have gained widespread interest because of the unprecedented detail with which they resolve the global climate. However, it remains difficult to quantify objective differences in how GSRMs resolve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-05 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Prakhar Srivastava , Harshini Mangipudi , Liran Peng , Pierre Gentine , Stephan Mandt

Model predictive control of residential air conditioning could reduce energy costs and greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining or improving occupants' thermal comfort. However, most approaches to predictive air conditioning control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-17 Elias N. Pergantis , Parveen Dhillon , Levi D. Reyes Premer , Alex H. Lee , Davide Ziviani , Kevin J. Kircher

Aerosol particles play an important role in the climate system by absorbing and scattering radiation and influencing cloud properties. They are also one of the biggest sources of uncertainty for climate modeling. Many climate models do not…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-26 Paula Harder , Duncan Watson-Parris , Philip Stier , Dominik Strassel , Nicolas R. Gauger , Janis Keuper

Climate projections using data driven machine learning models acting as emulators, is one of the prevailing areas of research to enable policy makers make informed decisions. Use of machine learning emulators as surrogates for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-24 Anmol Chaure , Ashok Kumar Behera , Sudip Bhattacharya