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Multi-scale problems, where variables of interest evolve in different time-scales and live in different state-spaces, can be found in many fields of science. Here, we introduce a new recursive methodology for Bayesian inference that aims at…

Computation · Statistics 2024-07-08 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Harold Molina-Bulla , Joaquin Miguez

State-space models are popular models in econometrics. Recently, these models have gained some popularity in the actuarial literature. The best known state-space models are of Kalman-filter type. These models are so-called parameter-driven…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-31 Jae Youn Ahn , Himchan Jeong , Mario V. Wüthrich

Nonlinear non-Gaussian state-space models are ubiquitous in statistics, econometrics, information engineering and signal processing. Particle methods, also known as Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods, provide reliable numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2015-09-11 Nikolas Kantas , Arnaud Doucet , Sumeetpal S. Singh , Jan Maciejowski , Nicolas Chopin

In this paper, we propose a robust Kalman filtering framework for systems with probabilistic uncertainty in system parameters. We consider two cases, namely discrete time systems, and continuous time systems with discrete measurements. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-09 Sunsoo Kim , Vedang M. Deshpande , Raktim Bhattacharya

The classic, two-component, crust-superfluid model of a neutron star can be formulated as a noise-driven, linear dynamical system, in which the angular velocities of the crust and superfluid are tracked using a Kalman filter applied to…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2021-07-14 Patrick M. Meyers , Nicholas J. O'Neill , Andrew Melatos , Robin J. Evans

In this work, we present methods for state estimation in continuous-discrete nonlinear systems involving stochastic differential equations. We present the extended Kalman filter, the unscented Kalman filter, the ensemble Kalman filter, and…

This paper contributes to modeling and supervision of multi-stage centrifugal compressors coping with real-gas processes and steady to highly transient operating conditions. A novel dynamic model is derived, and the incorporation of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-20 Maik Gentsch , Rudibert King

The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) (Evensen, 2009) has proven effective in quantifying uncertainty in a number of challenging dynamic, state estimation, or data assimilation, problems such as weather forecasting and ocean modeling. In these…

Heterogeneous sensor setups may entail measurements recorded at varying sampling frequencies, commonly known as multi-rate data. For system identification and state estimation with such data, existing studies mostly focus on data fusion…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2025-09-25 Dhiraj Ghosh , Adrita Kundu , Suparno Mukhopadhyay

We introduce "state space persistence analysis" for deducing the symbolic dynamics of time series data obtained from high-dimensional chaotic attractors. To this end, we adapt a topological data analysis technique known as persistent…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-03-13 Gökhan Yalnız , Nazmi Burak Budanur

This paper presents an on-the-fly uniformization technique for the analysis of time-inhomogeneous Markov population models. This technique is applicable to models with infinite state spaces and unbounded rates, which are, for instance,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-07-15 Aleksandr Andreychenko , Pepijn Crouzen , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

The study of phase transitions using data-driven approaches is challenging, especially when little prior knowledge of the system is available. Topological data analysis is an emerging framework for characterizing the shape of data and has…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-05-26 Quoc Hoan Tran , Mark Chen , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

We study efficient importance sampling techniques for particle filtering (PF) when either (a) the observation likelihood (OL) is frequently multimodal or heavy-tailed, or (b) the state space dimension is large or both. When the OL is…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2011-04-13 Namrata Vaswani

A set of N independent Gaussian linear time invariant systems is observed by M sensors whose task is to provide the best possible steady-state causal minimum mean square estimate of the state of the systems, in addition to minimizing a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-10-30 Jerome Le Ny , Eric Feron , Munther A. Dahleh

Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

In many scenarios, it is necessary to monitor a complex system via a time-series of observations and determine when anomalous exogenous events have occurred so that relevant actions can be taken. Determining whether current observations are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-20 Alex Mallen , Christoph A. Keller , J. Nathan Kutz

This paper studies the distributed state estimation problem for a class of discrete time-varying systems over sensor networks. Firstly, it is shown that a networked Kalman filter with optimal gain parameter is actually a centralized filter,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-15 Xingkang He , Wenchao Xue , Haitao Fang

In this paper, a new framework, named as graphical state space model, is proposed for the real time optimal estimation of a class of nonlinear state space model. By discretizing this kind of system model as an equation which can not be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-10 Shaolin Lü

Astrophysical observations of neutron stars probe the structure of dense nuclear matter and have the potential to reveal phase transitions at high densities. Most recent analyses are based on parametrized models of the equation of state…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2025-05-13 Reed Essick , Isaac Legred , Katerina Chatziioannou , Sophia Han , Philippe Landry

Quantum state tomography is a fundamental tool in quantum information processing. It allows us to estimate the state of a quantum system by measuring different observables on many identically prepared copies of the system. This is, in…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2011-11-28 Carlos A. Riofrío
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