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This paper presents a novel approach to optimizing profit margins in non-life insurance markets through a gradient descent-based method, targeting three key objectives: 1) maximizing profit margins, 2) ensuring conversion rates, and 3)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Vincent Grari , Marcin Detyniecki

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-23 Julia Eisenberg , Paul Krühner

We establish a high-dimensional statistical learning framework for individualized asset allocation. Our proposed methodology addresses continuous-action decision-making with a large number of characteristics. We develop a discretization…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-09 Yi Ding , Yingying Li , Rui Song

As the size of engineered systems grows, problems in reliability theory can become computationally challenging, often due to the combinatorial growth in the cut sets. In this paper we demonstrate how Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) - a…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Louis J. M. Aslett , Tigran Nagapetyan , Sebastian J. Vollmer

This study presents contemporaneous modeling of asset return and price range within the framework of stochastic volatility with leverage. A new representation of the probability density function for the price range is provided, and its…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-28 Yuta Kurose

Recently we developed a new framework in Hirz et al (2015) to model stochastic mortality using extended CreditRisk$^+$ methodology which is very different from traditional time series methods used for mortality modelling previously. In this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jonas Hirz , Uwe Schmock

We study a linear-quadratic, optimal control problem on a discrete, finite time horizon with distributional ambiguity, in which the cost is assessed via Conditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR). We take steps toward deriving a scalable dynamic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-06-28 Margaret P. Chapman , Laurent Lessard

Due to the presence of reporting and settlement delay, claim data sets collected by non-life insurance companies are typically incomplete, facing right censored claim count and claim severity observations. Current practice in non-life…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-02-10 Jonas Crevecoeur , Katrien Antonio , Stijn Desmedt , Alexandre Masquelein

This paper studies the stochastic modeling of market drawdown events and the fair valuation of insurance contracts based on drawdowns. We model the asset drawdown process as the current relative distance from the historical maximum of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-11 Hongzhong Zhang , Tim Leung , Olympia Hadjiliadis

We determine the optimal amount of life insurance for a household of two wage earners. We consider the simple case of exponential utility, thereby removing wealth as a factor in buying life insurance, while retaining the relationship among…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-06-28 Erhan Bayraktar , Virginia R. Young

This paper revisits fairness-aware interactive recommendation (e.g., TikTok, KuaiShou) by introducing a novel control knob, i.e., the lifecycle of items. We make threefold contributions. First, we conduct a comprehensive empirical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Yun Lu , Xiaoyu Shi , Hong Xie , Chongjun Xia , Zhenhui Gong , Mingsheng Shang

Tree-based ensemble methods, as Random Forests and Gradient Boosted Trees, have been successfully used for regression in many applications and research studies. Furthermore, these methods have been extended in order to deal with uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-20 Myriam Tami , Marianne Clausel , Emilie Devijver , Adrien Dulac , Eric Gaussier , Stefan Janaqi , Meriam Chebre

Prize linked savings accounts provide a return in the form of randomly chosen accounts receiving large cash prizes, in lieu of a guaranteed and uniform interest rate. This model became legal for American national banks upon bipartisan…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-19 Oisin Connolly

We propose a formulation of the stochastic cutting stock problem as a discounted infinite-horizon Markov decision process. At each decision epoch, given current inventory of items, an agent chooses in which patterns to cut objects in stock…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-06-29 Anselmo R. Pitombeira-Neto , Arthur H. Fonseca Murta

We introduce a new method to price American-style options on underlying investments governed by stochastic volatility (SV) models. The method does not require the volatility process to be observed. Instead, it exploits the fact that the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-07-26 Bhojnarine R. Rambharat , Anthony E. Brockwell

Reachability analysis is a powerful tool when it comes to capturing the behaviour, thus verifying the safety, of autonomous systems. However, general-purpose methods, such as Hamilton-Jacobi approaches, suffer from the curse of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-27 Alessandro Alla , Peter M. Dower , Vincent Liu

This paper proposes FREEtree, a tree-based method for high dimensional longitudinal data with correlated features. Popular machine learning approaches, like Random Forests, commonly used for variable selection do not perform well when there…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Yuancheng Xu , Athanasse Zafirov , R. Michael Alvarez , Dan Kojis , Min Tan , Christina M. Ramirez

This paper studies a continuous-time market {under stochastic environment} where an agent, having specified an investment horizon and a target terminal mean return, seeks to minimize the variance of the return with multiple stocks and a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-02-28 Wan-Kai Pang , Yuan-Hua Ni , Xun Li , Ka-Fai Cedric Yiu

In this article we consider the surplus process of an insurance company within the Cramer-Lundberg framework. We study the optimal reinsurance strategy and dividend distribution of an insurance company under proportional reinsurance, in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-05-22 Zakaria Aljaberi , Asma Khedher , Mohamed Mnif

We propose a new `hedged' Monte-Carlo (HMC) method to price financial derivatives, which allows to determine simultaneously the optimal hedge. The inclusion of the optimal hedging strategy allows one to reduce the financial risk associated…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Marc Potters , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Dragan Sestovic