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Tropical cyclones (TC) are often generated from pre-existing ``seed" vortices. Seeds with higher persistence might have a higher chance to undergo TC genesis. What controls seed persistence remains unclear. This study proposes that…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-09-19 Kuan-Yu Lu , Daniel R. Chavas , Danyang Wang

Observed changes such as increasing global temperatures and the intensification of the global water cycle in the 20th century are also robust results of coupled general circulation models. In spite of this success model-to-model variability…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-09-30 Beate G. Liepert , Michael Previdi

This study presents a comprehensive climatological benchmarking of tropical cyclones (TCs) generated by AI-based global weather prediction models. Using all TC events from the North Atlantic and Western Pacific basins between 2020 and 2025,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Yanmo Weng , Avantika Gori

Hurricane Leslie (2018) was a non-tropical system that lasted for a long time undergoing several transitions between tropical and extratropical states. Its trajectory was highly uncertain and difficult to predict. Here the extratropical…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-09-20 Mauricio López-Reyes , J. J. González-Alemán , M. Sastre , D. Insua-Costa , P. Bolgiani , M. L. Martín

The atmosphere gains available potential energy by solar radiation and dissipates kinetic energy mainly in the atmospheric boundary layer. We analyze the fluctuations of the global mean energy cycle defined by Lorenz (1955) in a simulation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2018-08-08 Richard Blender , Denny Gohlke , Frank Lunkeit

It is shown that the physical damage resulting from severe weather phenomenon such as hurricanes and tornadoes encapsulated in various scales such as Saffir-Simpson, TORRO and the Enhanced Fujita Scale, and measured by the Power Dissipation…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-01-12 Clive Neal-Sturgess

We show a parallelism between the expansion and compression of the atmosphere in the secondary cycle of a tropical cyclone with the fast expansion and compression of wet air in a bottle. We present a simple model in order to understand how…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2013-11-19 Alejandro Romanelli , Italo Bove , Juan Rodríguez

Information-theoretic quantities, such as entropy, are used to quantify the amount of information a given variable provides. Entropies can be used together to compute the mutual information, which quantifies the amount of information two…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-22 Kevin H. Knuth , Deniz Gençağa , William B. Rossow

The size of tropical cyclone (TC) embryos is an essential predictor of TC genesis. Recent studies have identified cold pools and planetary rotation as factors that increase and decrease TC embryo size. While the planetary rotation effect…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-09 Hao Fu

Quantifying the uncertainty of wind energy potential from climate models is a very time-consuming task and requires a considerable amount of computational resources. A statistical model trained on a small set of runs can act as a stochastic…

Applications · Statistics 2017-11-13 Jaehong Jeong , Yuan Yan , Stefano Castruccio , Marc G. Genton

Convective available potential energy (CAPE), a metric associated with severe weather, is expected to increase with warming. Under the most widely-accepted theory, developed for strongly convective regimes, mean CAPE should rise following…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-14 Ziwei Wang , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Our collective understanding of azimuthally-asymmetric features within the coherent structure of a tropical cyclone (TC) continues to improve with the availability of more detailed observations and high-resolution model outputs. However, a…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-02-19 Saiprasanth Bhalachandran , D. R. Chavas , F. D. Marks , S. Dubey , A. Shreevastava , T. N. Krishnamurti

Significant evidence is available to support the quantum effects of gravity that leads to the generalized uncertainty principle (GUP) and the minimum observable length. Usually quantum mechanics, statistical physics doesn't take gravity…

Quantum Gases · Physics 2020-06-24 Ya-ting Wang , He-ling Li

Tropical cyclones are known to expand to an equilibrium size on the $f$-plane, but the expansion process is not understood. In this study, an analytical model for tropical cyclone size expansion on the $f$-plane is proposed. Conceptually,…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-23 Danyang Wang , Dan Chavas

Tropical cyclone (TC) inner-core surface wind vectors underpin intensity forecasting and storm-surge prediction, yet direct observations remain scarce: routine aircraft reconnaissance is confined to the North Atlantic and Eastern Pacific…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-05-19 Xinhai Han , Xiaohui Li , Jingsong Yang , Zeyi Niu , Guoqi Han , Jiuke Wang , Wei Huang , Yunxia Zheng , Hanyue Ni , Yiqi Wang , Wei Tao , Lotfi Aouf , Shaoliang Peng , Dake Chen

Poleward trends in seasonal-mean latitudes of tropical cyclones (TCs) have been identified in direct observations from 1980 to present. Paleoclimate reconstructions also indicate poleward-equatorward migrations over centennial to millennial…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-10 Joshua H. P. Studholme , Sergey K. Gulev

With increasing concerns of climate change, renewable resources such as photovoltaic (PV) have gained popularity as a means of energy generation. The smooth integration of such resources in power system operations is enabled by accurate…

Applications · Statistics 2021-03-30 Fatemeh Najibi , Dimitra Apostolopoulou , Eduardo Alonso

Climate hazards can cause major disasters when they occur simultaneously as compound hazards. To understand the distribution of climate risk and inform adaptation policies, scientists need to simulate a large number of physically realistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-01 Alison Peard , Jim Hall

Precipitation from tropical cyclones (TCs) can cause disasters such as flooding, mudslides, and landslides. Predicting such precipitation in advance is crucial, giving people time to prepare and defend against these precipitation-induced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Cheng Huang , Pan Mu , Cong Bai , Peter AG Watson

It is well known that rapid changes in tropical cyclone motion occur during interaction with extratropical waves. While the translation speed has received much attention in the published literature, acceleration has not. Using a large data…

Geophysics · Physics 2021-01-29 Anantha Aiyyer , Terrell Wade
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