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Predicting species distributions using occupancy models accounting for imperfect detection is now commonplace in ecology. Recently, modelling spatial and temporal autocorrelation was proposed to alleviate the lack of replication in…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-10 André Luís Luza , Didier Alard , Frédéric Barraquand

For many taxonomic groups, online biodiversity portals used by naturalists and citizen scientists constitute the primary source of distributional information. Over the last decade, site-occupancy models have been advanced as a promising…

The classification of weather data involves categorizing meteorological phenomena into classes, thereby facilitating nuanced analyses and precise predictions for various sectors such as agriculture, aviation, and disaster management. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-23 Elaheh Jafarigol , Theodore Trafalis

Estimating the geographical range of a species from sparse observations is a challenging and important geospatial prediction problem. Given a set of locations where a species has been observed, the goal is to build a model to predict…

The presence of one or more species at some spatial locations but not others is a central matter in ecology. This phenomenon is related to ecological pattern formation. Nonlocal interactions can be considered as one of the mechanisms…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2017-12-29 Ozgur Aydogmus

In modelling time series data coming from different sources, frequencies can easily vary since some variable can be measured at higher frequencies, others, at lower frequencies. Given data measured over spatial units and at varying…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Vladimir A. Malabanan , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

Joint Species Distribution Models are essential for understanding how ecological drivers shape species communities. However, most existing approaches are limited by rigid parametric distributions for count data and the inability to model…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-05 Lukas Graz , Luisa Barbanti , Roland Brandl , Torsten Hothorn

We attempt to forecast the Sun's sunspot butterfly diagram in both space (i.e. in latitude) and time, instead of the usual one-dimensional time series forecasts prevalent in the scientific literature. We use a prediction method based on the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-11 Eurico Covas

In ecology, the description of species composition and biodiversity calls for statistical methods that involve estimating features of interest in unobserved samples based on an observed one. In the last decade, the Bayesian nonparametrics…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Alessandro Colombi , Raffaele Argiento , Federico Camerlenghi , Lucia Paci

Joint species distribution models are popular in ecology for modeling covariate effects on species occurrence, while characterizing cross-species dependence. Data consist of multivariate binary indicators of the occurrences of different…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-08 Federica Stolf , David B. Dunson

Species distribution models (SDMs), which aim to predict species occurrence based on environmental variables, are widely used to monitor and respond to biodiversity change. Recent deep learning advances for SDMs have been shown to perform…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-14 Catherine Villeneuve , Benjamin Akera , Mélisande Teng , David Rolnick

One of the first successes of neutral ecology was to predict realistically-broad distributions of rare and abundant species. However, it has remained an outstanding theoretical challenge to describe how this distribution of abundances…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-07-18 James P. O'Dwyer , Stephen J. Cornell

The utility of aerial imagery (Satellite, Drones) has become an invaluable information source for cross-disciplinary applications, especially for crisis management. Most of the mapping and tracking efforts are manual which is…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-04-28 Ruchit Rawal , Prabhu Pradhan

In time domain astronomy, recurrent transients present a special problem: how to infer total populations from limited observations. Monitoring observations may give a biassed view of the underlying population due to limitations on observing…

High Energy Astrophysical Phenomena · Physics 2017-02-08 Silas G. T. Laycock

Ecologists are interested in understanding and predicting how ecological communities change through time. While it might seem natural to measure this through changes in species' abundances, computational limitations mean transitions between…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2014-04-01 William D. Pearse , Andy Purvis , David B. Roy , Alexandros Stamatakis

Determining spatial distributions of species and communities are key objectives of ecology and conservation. Joint species distribution models use multi-species detection-nondetection data to estimate species and community distributions.…

Applications · Statistics 2022-12-15 Jeffrey W. Doser , Andrew O. Finley , Sudipto Banerjee

Conservation science depends on an accurate understanding of what's happening in a given ecosystem. How many species live there? What is the makeup of the population? How is that changing over time? Species Distribution Modeling (SDM) seeks…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-23 Sara Beery , Elijah Cole , Joseph Parker , Pietro Perona , Kevin Winner

The quantity and types of biodiversity data being collected have increased in recent years. If we are to model and monitor biodiversity effectively, we need to respect how different data sets were collected, and effectively integrate these…

The difficulty of monitoring biodiversity at fine scales and over large areas limits ecological knowledge and conservation efforts. To fill this gap, Species Distribution Models (SDMs) predict species across space from spatially explicit…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-12 Lukas Picek , Christophe Botella , Maximilien Servajean , César Leblanc , Rémi Palard , Théo Larcher , Benjamin Deneu , Diego Marcos , Pierre Bonnet , Alexis Joly

Global biodiversity is declining at an unprecedented rate, yet little information is known about most species and how their populations are changing. Indeed, some 90% of Earth's species are estimated to be completely unknown. Machine…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Yuyan Chen , Nico Lang , B. Christian Schmidt , Aditya Jain , Yves Basset , Sara Beery , Maxim Larrivée , David Rolnick