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Causal discovery from observational data is challenging, especially with large datasets and complex relationships. Traditional methods often struggle with scalability and capturing global structural information. To overcome these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Rezaur Rashid , Gabriel Terejanu

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) are a powerful tool for machine learning on graphs.GNNs combine node feature information with the graph structure by recursively passing neural messages along edges of the input graph. However, incorporating…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-11-15 Rex Ying , Dylan Bourgeois , Jiaxuan You , Marinka Zitnik , Jure Leskovec

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

A fundamental computation for statistical inference and accurate decision-making is to compute the marginal probabilities or most probable states of task-relevant variables. Probabilistic graphical models can efficiently represent the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-28 KiJung Yoon , Renjie Liao , Yuwen Xiong , Lisa Zhang , Ethan Fetaya , Raquel Urtasun , Richard Zemel , Xaq Pitkow

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) achieve state-of-the-art performance in various graph-related tasks. However, the black-box nature often limits their interpretability and trustworthiness. Numerous explainability methods have been proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-13 Jialin Chen , Kenza Amara , Junchi Yu , Rex Ying

Network modeling is a critical component for building self-driving Software-Defined Networks, particularly to find optimal routing schemes that meet the goals set by administrators. However, existing modeling techniques do not meet the…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Krzysztof Rusek , José Suárez-Varela , Albert Mestres , Pere Barlet-Ros , Albert Cabellos-Aparicio

Demand forecasting is a prominent business use case that allows retailers to optimize inventory planning, logistics, and core business decisions. One of the key challenges in demand forecasting is accounting for relationships and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-25 Nikita Kozodoi , Elizaveta Zinovyeva , Simon Valentin , João Pereira , Rodrigo Agundez

Hurricane track forecasting remains a significant challenge due to the complex interactions between the atmosphere, land, and ocean. Although AI-based numerical weather prediction models, such as Google Graphcast operation, have…

Graph-based Neural Networks (GNNs) are recent models created for learning representations of nodes (and graphs), which have achieved promising results when detecting patterns that occur in large-scale data relating different entities. Among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-20 Ronald D. R. Pereira , Fabrício Murai

Graph neural networks (GNNs) have become a popular approach to integrating structural inductive biases into NLP models. However, there has been little work on interpreting them, and specifically on understanding which parts of the graphs…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Michael Sejr Schlichtkrull , Nicola De Cao , Ivan Titov

Graph neural networks have shown promising results in weather forecasting, which is critical for human activity such as agriculture planning and extreme weather preparation. However, most studies focus on finite and local areas for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-10-23 Zinan Zheng , Yang Liu , Jia Li

In recent years, the remarkable success of graph neural networks (GNNs) on graph-structured data has prompted a surge of methods for explaining GNN predictions. However, the state-of-the-art for GNN explainability remains in flux. Different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Jesse He , Akbar Rafiey , Gal Mishne , Yusu Wang

Temporal Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs) have become increasingly popular in recent years due to their superior predictive performance by combining both spatial and temporal information. However, how these models utilize the information to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-28 Lea-Marie Sussek , Stefan Heindorf

Machine learning algorithms have shown promise in reducing bias in wind gust predictions, while still underpredicting high gusts. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) supports this issue by identifying when predictions are reliable or need…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Israt Jahan , John S. Schreck , David John Gagne , Charlie Becker , Marina Astitha

Wildfire forecasting is notoriously hard due to the complex interplay of different factors such as weather conditions, vegetation types and human activities. Deep learning models show promise in dealing with this complexity by learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-14 Shan Zhao , Ioannis Prapas , Ilektra Karasante , Zhitong Xiong , Ioannis Papoutsis , Gustau Camps-Valls , Xiao Xiang Zhu

To mitigate climate change, the share of renewable energies in power production needs to be increased. Renewables introduce new challenges to power grids regarding the dynamic stability due to decentralization, reduced inertia, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Christian Nauck , Michael Lindner , Konstantin Schürholt , Frank Hellmann

Explainability in Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) is a new field growing in the last few years. In this publication we address the problem of determining how important is each neighbor for the GNN when classifying a node and how to measure the…

Extreme precipitation events occurring over large spatial domains pose substantial threats to societies because they can trigger compound flooding, landslides, and infrastructure failures across wide areas. A hybrid framework for spatial…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-15 Zimu Wang , Yifan Wu , Daning Bi

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) achieve strong performance on node classification tasks but remain difficult to interpret, particularly with respect to which input features drive their predictions. Existing global GNN explainers operate at the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Rishi Raj Sahoo , Subhankar Mishra

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) methods are popular for solar forecasting. However, NWP models have multiple possible physical parameterizations, which requires site-specific NWP optimization. This is further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Nigel Yuan Yun Ng , Harish Gopalan , Venugopalan S. G. Raghavan , Chin Chun Ooi
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