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Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer

Pollinators play a crucial role for plant reproduction, either in natural ecosystem or in human-modified landscape. Global change drivers,including climate change or land use modifications, can alter the plant-pollinator interactions. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Emre Anakok , Pierre Barbillon , Colin Fontaine , Elisa Thebault

Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) models represent sub-grid processes using parameterizations, which are often complex and a major source of uncertainty in weather forecasting. In this work, we devise a simple machine learning (ML)…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-03-26 Pablo Rozas Larraondo , Luigi J. Renzullo , Inaki Inza , Jose A. Lozano

Accurate weather forecasts are important for disaster prevention, agricultural planning, etc. Traditional numerical weather prediction (NWP) methods offer physically interpretable high-accuracy predictions but are computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-10 Yuan Gao , Hao Wu , Ruiqi Shu , Huanshuo Dong , Fan Xu , Rui Ray Chen , Yibo Yan , Qingsong Wen , Xuming Hu , Kun Wang , Jiahao Wu , Qing Li , Hui Xiong , Xiaomeng Huang

Climate change is increasing the occurrence of extreme precipitation events, threatening infrastructure, agriculture, and public safety. Ensemble prediction systems provide probabilistic forecasts but exhibit biases and difficulties in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Christopher Bülte , Sohir Maskey , Philipp Scholl , Jonas von Berg , Gitta Kutyniok

Wildfire prediction has become increasingly crucial due to the escalating impacts of climate change. Traditional CNN-based wildfire prediction models struggle with handling missing oceanic data and addressing the long-range dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Dayou Chen , Sibo Cheng , Jinwei Hu , Matthew Kasoar , Rossella Arcucci

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

Epidemic outcomes have a complex interplay with human behavior and beliefs. Most of the forecasting literature has focused on the task of predicting epidemic signals using simple mechanistic models or black-box models, such as deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-02 Mulin Tian , Ajitesh Srivastava

By interpreting a traffic scene as a graph of interacting vehicles, we gain a flexible abstract representation which allows us to apply Graph Neural Network (GNN) models for traffic prediction. These naturally take interaction between…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-08 Frederik Diehl , Thomas Brunner , Michael Truong Le , Alois Knoll

The significant increase in world population and urbanisation has brought several important challenges, in particular regarding the sustainability, maintenance and planning of urban mobility. At the same time, the exponential increase of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 João Rico , José Barateiro , Arlindo Oliveira

State estimation is highly critical for accurately observing the dynamic behavior of the power grids and minimizing risks from cyber threats. However, existing state estimation methods encounter challenges in accurately capturing power…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-01-01 Quang-Ha Ngo , Bang L. H. Nguyen , Tuyen V. Vu , Jianhua Zhang , Tuan Ngo

This study analyzes Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for distribution system state estimation (DSSE) by employing an interpretable Graph Neural Additive Network (GNAN) and by utilizing an edge-conditioned message-passing mechanism. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-25 Arbel Yaniv , Kilian Golinski , Christoph Goebel

Earth Observation (EO) data analysis has been significantly revolutionized by deep learning (DL), with applications typically limited to grid-like data structures. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) emerge as an important innovation, propelling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Shan Zhao , Zhaiyu Chen , Zhitong Xiong , Yilei Shi , Sudipan Saha , Xiao Xiang Zhu

While Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have achieved remarkable success, their design largely relies on empirical intuition rather than theoretical understanding. In this paper, we present a comprehensive analysis of GNN behavior through three…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Qin Jiang , Chengjia Wang , Michael Lones , Wei Pang

Graph neural networks (GNNs) are powerful graph-based deep-learning models that have gained significant attention and demonstrated remarkable performance in various domains, including natural language processing, drug discovery, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-06 Jaykumar Kakkad , Jaspal Jannu , Kartik Sharma , Charu Aggarwal , Sourav Medya

We present a significantly-improved data-driven global weather forecasting framework using a deep convolutional neural network (CNN) to forecast several basic atmospheric variables on a global grid. New developments in this framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-10-14 Jonathan A. Weyn , Dale R. Durran , Rich Caruana

The precise knowledge regarding the state of the power grid is important in order to ensure optimal and reliable grid operation. Specifically, knowing the state of the distribution grid becomes increasingly important as more renewable…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-18 Jonatan Ostrometzky , Konstantin Berestizshevsky , Andrey Bernstein , Gil Zussman

Accurate short-term state forecasting is essential for efficient and stable operation of modern power systems, especially in the context of increasing variability introduced by renewable and distributed energy resources. As these systems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Raffael Theiler , Olga Fink

Traditional optimization-based techniques for time-synchronized state estimation (SE) often suffer from high online computational burden, limited phasor measurement unit (PMU) coverage, and presence of non-Gaussian measurement noise.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-05 Shiva Moshtagh , Behrouz Azimian , Mohammad Golgol , Anamitra Pal

Accurate rainfall forecasting, particularly for extreme events, remains a significant challenge in climatology and the Earth system. This paper presents novel physics-informed Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) combined with extreme-value…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-25 Kiattikun Chobtham , Kanoksri Sarinnapakorn , Kritanai Torsri , Prattana Deeprasertkul , Jirawan Kamma