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We propose a new Bayesian Neural Net formulation that affords variational inference for which the evidence lower bound is analytically tractable subject to a tight approximation. We achieve this tractability by (i) decomposing ReLU…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-06-13 Manuel Haussmann , Fred A. Hamprecht , Melih Kandemir

Neural networks (NNs) are now routinely implemented on systems that must operate in uncertain environments, but the tools for formally analyzing how this uncertainty propagates to NN outputs are not yet commonplace. Computing tight bounds…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-08 Michael Everett , Golnaz Habibi , Jonathan P. How

While deep neural networks are highly performant and successful in a wide range of real-world problems, estimating their predictive uncertainty remains a challenging task. To address this challenge, we propose and implement a loss function…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-14 Tony Tohme , Kevin Vanslette , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

While the authors of Batch Normalization (BN) identify and address an important problem involved in training deep networks-- Internal Covariate Shift-- the current solution has certain drawbacks. Specifically, BN depends on batch statistics…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-13 Devansh Arpit , Yingbo Zhou , Bhargava U. Kota , Venu Govindaraju

In this paper, we consider robust nonparametric regression using deep neural networks with ReLU activation function. While several existing theoretically justified methods are geared towards robustness against identical heavy-tailed noise…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Juntong Chen

Achieving robust uncertainty quantification for deep neural networks represents an important requirement in many real-world applications of deep learning such as medical imaging where it is necessary to assess the reliability of a neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Tim Rensmeyer , Oliver Niggemann

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) in deep learning regression is of wide interest, as it supports critical applications including sequential decision making and risk-sensitive tasks. In heteroskedastic regression, where the uncertainty of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Mikkel Jordahn , Jonas Vestergaard Jensen , James Harrison , Michael Riis Andersen , Mikkel N. Schmidt

We present a sampling-free approach for computing the epistemic uncertainty of a neural network. Epistemic uncertainty is an important quantity for the deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical applications, since it represents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-04 Janis Postels , Francesco Ferroni , Huseyin Coskun , Nassir Navab , Federico Tombari

We propose a mathematical framework to systematically explore the propagation properties of a class of continuous in time nonlinear neural network models comprising a hierarchy of processing areas, mutually connected according to the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2025-05-15 Andrea Alamia , Léa Dalliès , Grégory Faye , Rufin Vanrullen

This work introduces the network uncertainty quantification (NetUQ) method for performing uncertainty propagation in systems composed of interconnected components. The method assumes the existence of a collection of components, each of…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-09-02 Kevin Carlberg , Sofia Guzzetti , Mohammad Khalil , Khachik Sargsyan

We introduce implicit Bayesian neural networks, a simple and scalable approach for uncertainty representation in deep learning. Standard Bayesian approach to deep learning requires the impractical inference of the posterior distribution…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-27 Trung Trinh , Samuel Kaski , Markus Heinonen

Modern recording techniques enable neuroscientists to simultaneously study neural activity across large populations of neurons, with capturing predictor-dependent correlations being a fundamental challenge in neuroscience. Moreover, the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-04 Ganchao Wei

In this paper, we introduce a non-crossing quantile (NQ) network for conditional distribution learning. By leveraging non-negative activation functions, the NQ network ensures that the learned distributions remain monotonic, effectively…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-14 Guohao Shen , Runpeng Dai , Guojun Wu , Shikai Luo , Chengchun Shi , Hongtu Zhu

Modelling uncertainty in Machine Learning models is essential for achieving safe and reliable predictions. Most research on uncertainty focuses on output uncertainty (predictions), but minimal attention is paid to uncertainty at inputs. We…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-28 Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Marco Zullich

We give analytical results for propagation of uncertainty through trained multi-layer perceptrons (MLPs) with a single hidden layer and ReLU activation functions. More precisely, we give expressions for the mean and variance of the output…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-26 Andrew Thompson , Miles McCrory

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Quantile regression is a fundamental tool for distributional learning but poses significant optimization challenges for deep models due to the non-smoothness of the pinball loss. We propose ConquerNet, a class of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Tianpai Luo , Fangwei Wu , Weichi Wu

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

Over-parameterized neural networks generalize well in practice without any explicit regularization. Although it has not been proven yet, empirical evidence suggests that implicit regularization plays a crucial role in deep learning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Masayoshi Kubo , Ryotaro Banno , Hidetaka Manabe , Masataka Minoji

Nonlinear regression has been extensively employed in many computer vision problems (e.g., crowd counting, age estimation, affective computing). Under the umbrella of deep learning, two common solutions exist i) transforming nonlinear…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-08-27 Le Zhang , Zenglin Shi , Ming-Ming Cheng , Yun Liu , Jia-Wang Bian , Joey Tianyi Zhou , Guoyan Zheng , Zeng Zeng