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We propose a new approach for propagating stable probability distributions through neural networks. Our method is based on local linearization, which we show to be an optimal approximation in terms of total variation distance for the ReLU…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-14 Felix Petersen , Aashwin Mishra , Hilde Kuehne , Christian Borgelt , Oliver Deussen , Mikhail Yurochkin

We develop new uncertainty propagation methods for feed-forward neural network architectures with leaky ReLU activation functions subject to random perturbations in the input vectors. In particular, we derive analytical expressions for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jeremy Diamzon , Daniele Venturi

We address the problem of estimating statistics of hidden units in a neural network using a method of analytic moment propagation. These statistics are useful for approximate whitening of the inputs in front of saturating non-linearities…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-29 Alexander Shekhovtsov , Boris Flach

We study the problem of propagating the mean and covariance of a general multivariate Gaussian distribution through a deep (residual) neural network using layer-by-layer moment matching. We close a longstanding gap by deriving exact moment…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) have been an important framework in the study of uncertainty quantification. Deterministic variational inference, one of the inference methods, utilizes moment propagation to compute the predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-28 Yuki Hirayama , Sinya Takamaeda-Yamazaki

Accurate quantification of uncertainty in neural network predictions remains a central challenge for scientific applications involving high-dimensional, correlated data. While existing methods capture either aleatoric or epistemic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Harrison J. Goldwyn , Mitchell Krock , Johann Rudi , Daniel Getter , Julie Bessac

Understanding when neural networks can be learned efficiently is a fundamental question in learning theory. Existing hardness results suggest that assumptions on both the input distribution and the network's weights are necessary for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-05 Amit Daniely , Nathan Srebro , Gal Vardi

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

In this article a novel approach for training deep neural networks using Bayesian techniques is presented. The Bayesian methodology allows for an easy evaluation of model uncertainty and additionally is robust to overfitting. These are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-03 Konstantin Posch , Jürgen Pilz

In this technical report we study the problem of propagation of uncertainty (in terms of variances of given uni-variate normal random variables) through typical building blocks of a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN). These include layers…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-12 Christos Tzelepis , Ioannis Patras

A novel method to propagate uncertainty through the soft-thresholding nonlinearity is proposed in this paper. At every layer the current distribution of the target vector is represented as a spike and slab distribution, which represents the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Danil Kuzin , Olga Isupova , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) extend traditional neural networks to provide uncertainties associated with their outputs. On the forward pass through a BNN, predictions (and their uncertainties) are made either by Monte Carlo sampling…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-22 David J. Schodt

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a $d$-dimensional rectified Gaussian distribution from i.i.d. samples. A rectified Gaussian distribution is defined by passing a standard Gaussian distribution through a one-layer ReLU…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-20 Shanshan Wu , Alexandros G. Dimakis , Sujay Sanghavi

Reproducibility of a deep-learning fully convolutional neural network is evaluated by training several times the same network on identical conditions (database, hyperparameters, hardware) with non-deterministic Graphics Processings Unit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-01 Wagner Gonçalves Pinto , Antonio Alguacil , Michaël Bauerheim

Using the dynamics of information propagation on a network as our illustrative example, we present and discuss a systematic approach to quantifying heterogeneity and its propagation that borrows established tools from Uncertainty…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2015-11-25 Karthikeyan Rajendran , Andreas C. Tsoumanis , Constantinos I. Siettos , Carlo R. Laing , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

Machine learning (ML) models are increasingly being used in metrology applications. However, for ML models to be credible in a metrology context they should be accompanied by principled uncertainty quantification. This paper addresses the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-09 Andrew Thompson

Verifying the input-output relationships of a neural network so as to achieve some desired performance specification is a difficult, yet important, problem due to the growing ubiquity of neural nets in many engineering applications. We use…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-06 Joshua Pilipovsky , Vignesh Sivaramakrishnan , Meeko M. K. Oishi , Panagiotis Tsiotras

Predictive uncertainty estimation remains a challenging problem precluding the use of deep neural networks as subsystems within safety-critical applications. Aleatoric uncertainty is a component of predictive uncertainty that cannot be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Angel Daruna , Yunye Gong , Abhinav Rajvanshi , Han-Pang Chiu , Yi Yao

Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) provide a tool to estimate the uncertainty of a neural network by considering a distribution over weights and sampling different models for each input. In this paper, we propose a method for uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Illia Oleksiienko , Dat Thanh Tran , Alexandros Iosifidis

We propose a deep learning approach for wave propagation in media with multiscale wave speed, using a second-order linear wave equation model. We use neural networks to enhance the accuracy of a given inaccurate coarse solver, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-05-05 Hieu Nguyen , Richard Tsai
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