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Trend following and momentum investing are common strategies employed by asset managers. Even though they can be helpful in the proper situations, they are limited in the sense that they work just by looking at past, as if we were driving…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-19 Fernando Berzal , Alberto Garcia

Stock trend forecasting, which forecasts stock prices' future trends, plays an essential role in investment. The stocks in a market can share information so that their stock prices are highly correlated. Several methods were recently…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-01-21 Wentao Xu , Weiqing Liu , Lewen Wang , Yingce Xia , Jiang Bian , Jian Yin , Tie-Yan Liu

We design a portfolio construction framework and implement an active investment strategy utilizing momentum and trend-following signals across multiple asset classes and asset class risk factors. We quantify the performance of this strategy…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-12 Joseph Lu , Randall R Rojas , Fiona C. Yeung , Patrick D. Convery

We prove two complexity results about the H-index concerned with the Google scholar merge operation on one's scientific articles. The results show that, although it is hard to merge one's articles in an optimal way, it is easy to merge them…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2013-09-13 Bart de Keijzer , Krzysztof R. Apt

The problem of stock hedging is reconsidered in this paper, where a put option is chosen from a set of available put options to hedge the market risk of a stock. A formula is proposed to determine the probability that the potential loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-10-04 Guanghui Huang , Jing Xu , Wenting Xing

This article describes a case study concerned with modelling the price of wholesale diamonds, as part of a project to develop an online diamond auction platform. The work was extended to exploring how to develop an index that could be used…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-20 Nicholas I Fisher , Alan J Lee

Sustainable financial markets play an important role in the functioning of human society. Still, the detection and prediction of risk in financial markets remain challenging and draw much attention from the scientific community. Here we…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-11-27 Jingfang Fan , Keren Cohen , Louis M. Shekhtman , Sibo Liu , Jun Meng , Yoram Louzoun , Shlomo Havlin

In this work, I address the issue of forming riskless hedge in the continuous time option pricing model with stochastic stock volatility. I show that it is essential to verify whether the replicating portfolio is self-financing, in order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-02 D. F. Wang

Research in quantitative finance has demonstrated that reinforcement learning (RL) methods have delivered promising outcomes in the context of hedging financial portfolios. For example, hedging a portfolio of European options using RL…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Anil Sharma , Freeman Chen , Jaesun Noh , Julio DeJesus , Mario Schlener

An actively managed portfolio almost never beats the market in the long term. Thus, many investors often resort to passively managed portfolios whose aim is to follow a certain financial index. The task of building such passive portfolios…

We introduce a method to estimate simultaneously the tail and the threshold parameters of an extreme value regression model. This standard model finds its use in finance to assess the effect of market variables on extreme loss distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-17 Julien Hambuckers , Marie Kratz , Antoine Usseglio-Carleve

This paper introduces a novel methodology for index return forecasting, blending highly correlated stock prices, advanced deep learning techniques, and intricate factor integration. Departing from conventional cap-weighted approaches, our…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Tian Tian , Ricky Cooper , Jiahao Deng , Qingquan Zhang

Fixed income markets share many features with the equity markets. However there are significant differences as well and many attempts have been done in the past to develop specific tools which describe (and possibly forecasts) the behavior…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Livio Marangio , Alessandro Ramponi , Massimo Bernaschi

Artificial stock market simulation based on agent is an important means to study financial market. Based on the assumption that the investors are composed of a main fund, small trend and contrarian investors characterized by four…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-22 Yong Shi , Bo Li , Guangle Du

What is the best market-neutral implementation of classical Equity Factors? Should one use the specific predictability of the short-leg to build a zero beta Long-Short portfolio, in spite of the specific costs associated to shorting, or is…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-07 Florent Benaych-Georges , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Stefano Ciliberti

The notion of a credit spread curve is fundamental in fixed income investing, but in practice it is not `given' and needs to be constructed from bond prices either for a particular issuer, or for a sector rating-by-rating. Rather than…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-04-09 Richard J. Martin

Stock market indices serve as fundamental market measurement that quantify systematic market dynamics. However, accurate index price prediction remains challenging, primarily because existing approaches treat indices as isolated time series…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-05 Junzhe Jiang , Chang Yang , Xinrun Wang , Bo Li

We present an actor-critic-type reinforcement learning algorithm for solving the problem of hedging a portfolio of financial instruments such as securities and over-the-counter derivatives using purely historic data. The key characteristics…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-26 Hans Buehler , Phillip Murray , Ben Wood

We develop a simple stock selection model to explain why active equity managers tend to underperform a benchmark index. We motivate our model with the empirical observation that the best performing stocks in a broad market index often…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 J. B. Heaton , N. G. Polson , J. H. Witte

We consider an equity-linked contract whose payoff depends on the lifetime of policy holder and the stock price. We assume the limited capital for hedging and we provide with the best strategy for an insurance company in the meaning of so…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-06 Klusik Przemyslaw