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Recent advances in machine learning make it possible to design efficient prediction algorithms for data sets with huge numbers of parameters. This paper describes a new technique for "hedging" the predictions output by many such algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-11-22 Alexander Gammerman , Vladimir Vovk

Market timing is an investment technique that tries to continuously switch investment into assets forecast to have better returns. What is the likelihood of having a successful market timing strategy? With an emphasis on modeling…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-20 Guy Metcalfe

Index tracking, also known as passive investing, has gained significant traction in financial markets due to its cost-effective and efficient approach to replicating the performance of a specific market index. This review paper provides a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-08 Vrinda Dhingra , Amita Sharma , Anubha Goel

Index tracking is a popular form of asset management. Typically, a quadratic function is used to define the tracking error of a portfolio and the look back approach is applied to solve the index tracking problem. We argue that a forward…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-27 Spiridon Penev , Pavel Shevchenko , Wei Wu

Crowding is widely regarded as one of the most important risk factors in designing portfolio strategies. In this paper, we analyze stock crowding using network analysis of fund holdings, which is used to compute crowding scores for stocks.…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-06-16 Vadim Zlotnikov , Jiayu Liu , Igor Halperin , Fei He , Lisa Huang

All the financial practitioners are working in incomplete markets full of unhedgeable risk-factors. Making the situation worse, they are only equipped with the imperfect information on the relevant processes. In addition to the market risk,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-29 Masaaki Fujii , Akihiko Takahashi

When constructing portfolios, a key problem is that a lot of financial time series data are sparse, making it challenging to apply machine learning methods. Polymodel theory can solve this issue and demonstrate superiority in portfolio…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-17 Siqiao Zhao , Zhikang Dong , Zeyu Cao , Raphael Douady

Database indexes facilitate data retrieval and benefit broad applications in real-world systems. Recently, a new family of index, named learned index, is proposed to learn hidden yet useful data distribution and incorporate such information…

Databases · Computer Science 2021-01-05 Yaliang Li , Daoyuan Chen , Bolin Ding , Kai Zeng , Jingren Zhou

Finding the hedge ratios for a portfolio and risk compression is the same mathematical problem. Traditionally, regression is used for this purpose. However, regression has its own limitations. For example, in a regression model, we can't…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-09 Ali Shirazi , Fereshteh Sadeghi Naieni Fard

The rapidly growing hedge fund industry has provided individual and institutional investors with new investment vehicles and styles of management. It has also brought forward a new form of performance contract: hedge fund managers receive…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-16 Marc Atlan , Hélyette Geman , Marc Yor

We review a resent {\em time-dependent} performance measure for economical time series -- the (optimal) investment horizon approach. For stock indices, the approach shows a pronounced gain-loss asymmetry that is {\em not} observed for the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Ingve Simonsen , Anders Johansen , Mogens H. Jensen

In this short note, we will show how to optimize the portfolio of a large trader whose hedging strategy affects the price of his assets.

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2008-12-10 Pierre Henry-Labordere

Minimum market transparency requirements impose Hedge Fund (HF) managers to use the statement declared strategy in practice. However each declared strategy may actually origin a multiplicity of implemented management decisions. Is then the…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-09-29 Gabriele Susinno , Maria Augusta Miceli

The global balance index is used in the network literature to quantify how balanced a signed network is. In this paper we show that the global balance index of financial correlation networks can be used as a systemic risk measure. We define…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-04 Paolo Bartesaghi , Fernando Diaz-Diaz , Rosanna Grassi , Pierpaolo Uberti

Given the surge in popularity of mutual funds (including exchange-traded funds (ETFs)) as a diversified financial investment, a vast variety of mutual funds from various investment management firms and diversification strategies have become…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-02 Dhagash Mehta , Dhruv Desai , Jithin Pradeep

The h-index is an important bibliographic measure used to assess the performance of researchers. Dutiful researchers merge different versions of their articles in their Google Scholar profile even though this can decrease their h-index. In…

Digital Libraries · Computer Science 2021-01-14 René van Bevern , Christian Komusiewicz , Hendrik Molter , Rolf Niedermeier , Manuel Sorge , Toby Walsh

We reveal a geometric structure underlying both hedging and investment products. The structure follows from a simple formula expressing investment risks in terms of returns. This informs optimal product designs. Optimal pure hedging…

General Economics · Economics 2023-06-05 Andrei N. Soklakov

We present a framework for hedging a portfolio of derivatives in the presence of market frictions such as transaction costs, market impact, liquidity constraints or risk limits using modern deep reinforcement machine learning methods. We…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-02-12 Hans Bühler , Lukas Gonon , Josef Teichmann , Ben Wood

In complete markets, there are risky assets and a riskless asset. It is assumed that the riskless asset and the risky asset are traded continuously in time and that the market is frictionless. In this paper, we propose a new method for…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-02 Abootaleb Shirvani , Stoyan V. Stoyanov , Svetlozar T. Rachev , Frank J. Fabozzi

Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (LETFs), while extremely controversial in the literature, remain stubbornly popular with both institutional and retail investors in practice. While the criticisms of LETFs are certainly valid, we argue that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Pieter van Staden , Peter Forsyth , Yuying Li