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Using statistical learning methods to analyze stochastic simulation outputs can significantly enhance decision-making by uncovering relationships between different simulated systems and between a system's inputs and outputs. We focus on…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-28 Mohammadmahdi Ghasemloo , David J. Eckman

Wasserstein barycenters provide a principled approach for aggregating probability measures, while preserving the geometry of their ambient space. Existing discrete methods are not scalable as they assume access to the complete set of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-10 Eduardo Fernandes Montesuma , Yassir Bendou , Mike Gartrell

We study optimization problems whereby the optimization variable is a probability measure. Since the probability space is not a vector space, many classical and powerful methods for optimization (e.g., gradients) are of little help. Thus,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-18 Nicolas Lanzetti , Antonio Terpin , Florian Dörfler

In this paper, a simple heuristic is proposed for the design of uncertainty aware predictive controllers for nonlinear models involving uncertain parameters. The method relies on Machine Learning-based approximation of ideal deterministic…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-05 Mazen Alamir

Mathematical models are fundamental building blocks in the design of dynamical control systems. As control systems are becoming increasingly complex and networked, approaches for obtaining such models based on first principles reach their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-19 Dominik Baumann , Friedrich Solowjow , Karl H. Johansson , Sebastian Trimpe

This work addresses the optimal covariance control problem for stochastic discrete-time linear time-varying systems subject to chance constraints. Covariance steering is a stochastic control problem to steer the system state Gaussian…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-04-10 Kazuhide Okamoto , Maxim Goldshtein , Panagiotis Tsiotras

We consider the problem of direct data-driven predictive control for unknown stochastic linear time-invariant (LTI) systems with partial state observation. Building upon our previous research on data-driven stochastic control, this paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-09-12 Ruiqi Li , John W. Simpson-Porco , Stephen L. Smith

In this paper, we consider the problem of minimum-time optimal control for a dynamical system with initial state uncertainties and propose a sequential convex programming (SCP) solution framework. We seek to minimize the expected terminal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-17 Kazuya Echigo , Abhishek Cauligi , Behçet Açıkmeşe

We describe a novel approach to statistical learning from particles tracked while moving in a random environment. The problem consists in inferring properties of the environment from recorded snapshots. We consider here the case of a fluid…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2008-06-09 Michael Chertkov , Lukas Kroc , Massimo Vergassola

In this work, we investigate a stochastic control framework for global optimization over both Euclidean spaces and the Wasserstein space of probability measures, where the objective function may be non-convex and/or non-differentiable. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Jinniao Qiu

We study decision problems under uncertainty, where the decision-maker has access to $K$ data sources that carry {\em biased} information about the underlying risk factors. The biases are measured by the mismatch between the risk factor…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-18 Yves Rychener , Adrian Esteban-Perez , Juan M. Morales , Daniel Kuhn

Wasserstein distributionally robust optimization (WDRO) attempts to learn a model that minimizes the local worst-case risk in the vicinity of the empirical data distribution defined by Wasserstein ball. While WDRO has received attention as…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-23 Yongchan Kwon , Wonyoung Kim , Joong-Ho Won , Myunghee Cho Paik

Estimating causal effects from observational data has become increasingly critical in diverse fields including healthcare, economics, and social policy. The fundamental challenge in causal inference arises from the missing counterfactuals…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-08 Yifei Xie , Jian Huang

We present a data-driven optimal control framework that can be viewed as a generalization of the path integral (PI) control approach. We find iterative feedback control laws without parameterization based on probabilistic representation of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-02-02 Yunpeng Pan , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Michail Kontitsis

Using only retrospective data, we study the problem of predicting treatment effects for the same treatment/policy implemented in a different location or time period. We propose a distributionally robust estimator that minimizes the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-29 Ruonan Xu , Xiye Yang

We present a set of metrics intended to supplement designer intuitions when designing swarm-robotic systems, increase accuracy in extrapolating swarm behavior from algorithmic descriptions and small test experiments, and lead to faster and…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-10-26 John Harwell , Maria Gini

Distributionally robust optimization (DRO) has become a powerful framework for estimation under uncertainty, offering strong out-of-sample performance and principled regularization. In this paper, we propose a DRO-based method for linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-06 Liviu Aolaritei , Soroosh Shafiee , Florian Dörfler

Many modern distributed systems consist of devices that generate more data than what can be transmitted via a communication link in near real time with high-fidelity. We consider the scheduling problem in which a device has access to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-20 Marcos M. Vasconcelos , Yifei Zhang

This paper presents a concise overview of sensitivity-based methods for solving large-scale optimization problems in distributed fashion. The approach relies on sensitivities and primal decomposition to achieve coordination between the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-10 Maximilian Pierer von Esch , Andreas Völz , Knut Graichen

Two common problems in time series analysis are the decomposition of the data stream into disjoint segments that are each in some sense "homogeneous" - a problem known as Change Point Detection (CPD) - and the grouping of similar…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-02-24 Kevin C. Cheng , Shuchin Aeron , Michael C. Hughes , Erika Hussey , Eric L. Miller
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