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Demands on the disaster response capacity of the European Union are likely to increase, as the impacts of disasters continue to grow both in size and frequency. This has resulted in intensive research on issues concerning spatially-explicit…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-09-30 Dario Rodriguez-Aseretto , Christian Schaerer , Daniele de Rigo

During the last two decades, a number of countries or cities established heat-health warning systems in order to alert public health authorities when some heat indicator exceeds a predetermined threshold. Different methods were considered…

Strategic preparedness has been shown to reduce the adverse health impacts of hurricanes and tropical storms, referred to collectively as tropical cyclones (TCs), but its protective impact could be enhanced by a more comprehensive and…

Difficulties identifying appropriate biodiversity impact metrics remain a major barrier to inclusion of biodiversity considerations in environmentally responsible investment. We propose and analyse a simple science-based local metric: the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-03-21 Axel G. Rossberg , Jacob D. O'Sullivan , Svetlana Malysheva , Nadav M. Shnerb

These days, cyber-criminals target humans rather than machines since they try to accomplish their malicious intentions by exploiting the weaknesses of end users. Thus, human vulnerabilities pose a serious threat to the security and…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-25 Dimitra Papatsaroucha , Yannis Nikoloudakis , Ioannis Kefaloukos , Evangelos Pallis , Evangelos K. Markakis

The spatio-temporal relations of impacts of extreme events and their drivers in climate data are not fully understood and there is a need of machine learning approaches to identify such spatio-temporal relations from data. The task,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-11-01 Mohamad Hakam Shams Eddin , Juergen Gall

Weighted estimators are commonly used for estimating exposure effects in observational settings to establish causal relations. These estimators have a long history of development when the exposure of interest is binary and where the weights…

The availability of large spatial data geocoded at accurate locations has fueled a growing interest in spatial modeling and analysis of point processes. The proposed research is motivated by the intensity estimation problem for large…

Applications · Statistics 2021-07-19 Lihao Yin , Huiyan Sang

The effectiveness and adequacy of natural hazard warnings hinges on the availability of data and its transformation into actionable knowledge for the public. Real-time warning communication and emergency response therefore need to be…

Small area ecological studies are commonly used in epidemiology to assess the impact of area level risk factors on health outcomes when data are only available in an aggregated form. However the resulting estimates are often biased due to…

Applications · Statistics 2017-01-19 Yingbo Wang , Sylvia Richardson , Anna Hansell , Marta Blangiardo

The ability to directly record human face-to-face interactions increasingly enables the development of detailed data-driven models for the spread of directly transmitted infectious diseases at the scale of individuals. Complete coverage of…

The coarse spatial resolution of gridded climate models, such as general circulation models, limits their direct use in projecting socially relevant variables like extreme precipitation. Most downscaling methods estimate the conditional…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-01-06 Louise Largeau , Tom Beucler , David Leutwyler , Gregoire Mariethoz , Valerie Chavez-Demoulin , Erwan Koch

Fine particulate matter (PM2.5) measured at a given location is a mix of pollution generated locally and pollution traveling long distances in the atmosphere. Therefore, the identification of spatial scales associated with health effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-09-19 Joseph Antonelli , Joel Schwartz , Itai Kloog , Brent Coull

The assessment of corporate sustainability performance is extremely relevant in facilitating the transition to a green and low-carbon intensity economy. However, companies located in different areas may be subject to different…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-30 Caterina Morelli , Simone Boccaletti , Paolo Maranzano , Philipp Otto

In epidemiological cohort studies, the relative risk (also known as risk ratio) is a major measure of association to summarize the results of two treatments or exposures. Generally, it measures the relative change in disease risk as a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Gopal Nath , Krishna K. Saha , Suojin Wang

This research develops a model-based LAtent Causal Socioeconomic Health (LACSH) index at the national level. Motivated by the need for a holistic national well-being index, we build upon the latent health factor index (LHFI) approach that…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-12 Swen Kuh , Grace S. Chiu , Anton H. Westveld

Accurate cancer risk estimation is crucial to clinical decision-making, such as identifying high-risk people for screening. However, most existing cancer risk models incorporate data from epidemiologic studies, which usually cannot…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-26 Lingxiao Wang , Yan Li , Barry Graubard , Hormuzd Katki

Environmental scientists frequently rely on time series of explanatory variables to explain their impact on an important response variable. However, sometimes, researchers are less interested in raw observations of an explanatory variable…

Applications · Statistics 2023-03-29 Manuela Mendiolar , Jerzy A. Filar , Wen-Hsi Yang , Susannah Leahy , Anthony Courtney

Accurate wind speed and direction forecasting is paramount across many sectors, spanning agriculture, renewable energy generation, and bushfire management. However, conventional forecasting models encounter significant challenges in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-31 Fuling Chen , Kevin Vinsen , Arthur Filoche

Given multi-model ensemble climate projections, the goal is to accurately and reliably predict future sea-level rise while lowering the uncertainty. This problem is important because sea-level rise affects millions of people in coastal…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-25 Subhankar Ghosh , Shuai An , Arun Sharma , Jayant Gupta , Shashi Shekhar , Aneesh Subramanian