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In this paper, we present an application of neural networks in the renewable energy domain. We have developed a methodology for the daily prediction of global solar radiation on a horizontal surface. We use an ad-hoc time series…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2009-06-02 Christophe Paoli , Cyril Voyant , Marc Muselli , Marie-Laure Nivet

This research explores the effectiveness of various Machine Learning (ML) models used to predicting solar radiation at the Central Campus of the State Technical University of Quevedo (UTEQ). The data was obtained from a pyranometer,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-01 Jordy Anchundia Troncoso , Ángel Torres Quijije , Byron Oviedo , Cristian Zambrano-Vega

When a territory is poorly instrumented, geostationary satellites data can be useful to predict global solar radiation. In this paper, we use geostationary satellites data to generate 2-D time series of solar radiation for the next hour.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2014-01-21 Cyril Voyant , Pierrick Haurant , Marc Muselli , Christophe Paoli , Marie Laure Nivet

The variation in the radiative output of the Sun, described in terms of solar irradiance, is important to climatology. A common assumption is that solar irradiance variability is driven by its surface magnetism. Verifying this assumption…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-09-05 K. L. Yeo , S. K. Solanki , C. M. Norris , B. Beeck , Y. C. Unruh , N. A. Krivova

The projection of shadows from moving clouds in the troposphere impacts energy generation in power grids using photovoltaic systems. This investigation proposes an efficient method of data processing for the statistical quantification of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-21 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

We present a novel framework for spatiotemporal photovoltaic (PV) power forecasting and use it to evaluate the reliability, sharpness, and overall performance of seven intraday PV power nowcasting models. The model suite includes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Luca Lanzilao , Angela Meyer

Atmospheric turbulence is the one of the major limiting factors for ground-based astronomical observations. In this paper, the problem of short-term forecasting seeing is discussed. The real data that were obtained by atmospheric optical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-06-26 Matwey V. Kornilov

Radiative transfer coupled with highly realistic simulations of the solar atmosphere is routinely used to infer the physical properties underlying solar observations. Due to its computational efficiency, the method of short-characteristics…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-04-17 Courtney L. Peck , Serena Criscuoli , Mark P. Rast

With their continued increase in coverage and quality, data collected from personal air quality monitors has become an increasingly valuable tool to complement existing public health monitoring systems over urban areas. However, the…

Applications · Statistics 2022-06-01 Matthew Bonas , Stefano Castruccio

Building a reliable forecast of solar activity is a long-standing problem that requires to accurately describe past and current global dynamics. However, synoptic observations of magnetic fields and subsurface flows became available…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-07-14 Irina N. Kitiashvili

Using neural networks as a prediction method, we attempt to demonstrate that forecasting of the Sun's sunspot time series can be extended to the spatial-temporal case. We employ this machine learning methodology to forecast not only in time…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-03-08 Eurico Covas , Nuno Peixinho , Joao Fernandes

This article implements a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based deep learning model for solar-wind prediction. Images from the Atmospheric Imaging Assembly (AIA) at 193\.A wavelength are used for training. Solar-wind speed is taken from…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-09-15 Hemapriya Raju , Saurabh Das

Accurate Global Horizontal Irradiance (GHI) forecasting is critical for grid stability, particularly in arid regions characterized by rapid aerosol fluctuations. While recent trends favor computationally expensive Transformer-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-21 Mohammed Ezzaldin Babiker Abdullah , Rufaidah Abdallah Ibrahim Mohammed

Machine learning for time-series forecasting remains a key area of research. Despite successful application of many machine learning techniques, relating computational efficiency to forecast error remains an under-explored domain. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-28 Elin Törnquist , Wagner Costa Santos , Timothy Pogue , Nicholas Wingle , Robert A. Caulk

We calculate accurate solar models and report the detailed time dependences of important solar quantities. We use helioseismology to constrain the luminosity evolution of the sun and report the discovery of semi-convection in evolved solar…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 John N. Bahcall , M. H. Pinsonneault , Sarbani Basu

The solar wind speed at Earth is one of the most important parameters regarding the effects of space weather on society. Thus far, most approaches for predicting the solar wind speed produce a single-value time series without uncertainty,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-13 Daniel E. da Silva , Yash Parlikar , Shaela I. Jones , Charles N. Arge

The sound speeds of solar models that include element diffusion agree with helioseismological measurements to a rms discrepancy of better than 0.2% throughout almost the entire sun. Models that do not include diffusion, or in which the…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-10-28 John N. Bahcall , M. H. Pinsonneault , Sarbani Basu , J. Christensen-Dalsgaard

Numerical weather prediction (NWP) and machine learning (ML) methods are popular for solar forecasting. However, NWP models have multiple possible physical parameterizations, which requires site-specific NWP optimization. This is further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Nigel Yuan Yun Ng , Harish Gopalan , Venugopalan S. G. Raghavan , Chin Chun Ooi

The energy available in Micro Grid (MG) that is powered by solar energy is tightly related to the weather conditions in the moment of generation. Very short-term forecast of solar irradiance provides the MG with the capability of…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-08 Guillermo Terrén-Serrano , Manel Martínez-Ramón

Atmospheric aerosols influence the Earth's climate, primarily by affecting cloud formation and scattering visible radiation. However, aerosol-related physical processes in climate simulations are highly uncertain. Constraining these…

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