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In regression models involving economic variables such as income, log transformation is typically taken to achieve approximate normality and stabilize the variance. However, often the interest is predicting individual values or means of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-25 Nirian Martin , Isabel Molina

In this article, we derive the joint asymptotic distribution of empirical best linear unbiased predictors (EBLUPs) for individual and cell-level random effects in a crossed mixed effect model. Under mild conditions (which include moment…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-10 Ziyang Lyu , S. A. Sisson , A. H. Welsh

Estimation under model misspecification arises in many signal processing problems, where the assumed observation model deviates from the true data-generating mechanism due to errors or simplifications. The misspecified Cram\'er-Rao bound…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Malaak Khatib , Nadav Harel , Joseph Tabrikian , Tirza Routtenberg

Driven by steady progress in deep generative modeling, simulation-based inference (SBI) has emerged as the workhorse for inferring the parameters of stochastic simulators. However, recent work has demonstrated that model misspecification…

Empirical best prediction (EBP) is a well-known method for producing reliable proportion estimates when the primary data source provides only small or no sample from finite populations. There are potential challenges in implementing…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Aditi Sen , Partha Lahiri

Linear Mixed Model (LMM) is a common statistical approach to model the relation between exposure and outcome while capturing individual variability through random effects. However, this model assumes the homogeneity of the error term's…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-27 Vincent Jeanselme , Marco Palma , Jessica K Barrett

We propose a framework for estimation and inference when the model may be misspecified. We rely on a local asymptotic approach where the degree of misspecification is indexed by the sample size. We construct estimators whose mean squared…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-10-11 Stéphane Bonhomme , Martin Weidner

Nested error regression models are useful tools for analysis of grouped data, especially in the case of small area estimation. This paper suggests a nested error regression model using uncertain random effects in which the random effect in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-28 Shonosuke Sugasawa , Tatsuya Kubokawa

Model misspecification is ubiquitous in data analysis because the data-generating process is often complex and mathematically intractable. Therefore, assessing estimation uncertainty and conducting statistical inference under a possibly…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-19 Rong Li , Yichen Qin , Yang Li

Simulation-based inference (SBI) enables parameter estimation for complex stochastic models with intractable likelihoods when model simulation is feasible. Neural posterior estimation (NPE) is a popular SBI approach that often achieves…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-23 Ryan P. Kelly , David T. Frazier , David J. Warne , Christopher C. Drovandi

In this paper we have considered the problem of estimating the population mean in systematic sampling using information on an auxiliary variable in presence of non response. Some modified ratio, product and difference type estimators in…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-06 Hemant K. Verma , R. D. Singh , Rajesh Singh

In this paper, prediction for linear systems with missing information is investigated. New methods are introduced to improve the Mean Squared Error (MSE) on the test set in comparison to state-of-the-art methods, through appropriate tuning…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-04 Mohammad Amin Fakharian , Ashkan Esmaeili , Farokh Marvasti

We advance the theory of parametric bootstrap in constructing highly efficient empirical best (EB) prediction intervals of small area means. The coverage error of such a prediction interval is of the order $O(m^{-3/2})$, where $m$ is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-12 Yuting Chen , Masayo Y. Hirose , Partha Lahiri

We consider a linear minimum mean squared error (LMMSE) estimation framework with model mismatch where the assumed model order is smaller than that of the underlying linear system which generates the data used in the estimation process. By…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-26 Martin Hellkvist , Ayça Özçelikkale

In this article, the analysis of misspecification was extended to the recently introduced stochastic restricted biased estimators when multicollinearity exists among the explanatory variables. The Stochastic Restricted Ridge Estimator…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-13 Manickavasagar Kayanan , Pushpakanthie Wijekoon

Health disparity research often evaluates health outcomes across demographic subgroups. Multilevel regression and poststratification (MRP) is a popular approach for small subgroup estimation due to its ability to stabilize estimates by…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-26 Katherine Li , Yajuan Si

This paper introduces Mixed Effect Gradient Boosting (MEGB), which combines the strengths of Gradient Boosting with Mixed Effects models to address complex, hierarchical data structures often encountered in statistical analysis. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-22 Paul Messer , Timo Schmid

We study a linear statistical model where outcomes depend on regressors with fixed population coefficients and observation-specific latent coefficients, along with measurement errors. A decision-maker estimates population coefficients and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-15 Junnan He , Lin Hu , Matthew Kovach , Anqi Li

This paper is concerned with the small area estimation in the multivariate Fay-Herriot model where covariance matrix of random effects are fully unknown. The covariance matrix is estimated by a Prasad-Rao type consistent estimator, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-27 Tsubasa Ito , Tatsuya Kubokawa

This paper considers fixed effects (FE) estimation for linear panel data models under possible model misspecification when both the number of individuals, $n$, and the number of time periods, $T$, are large. We first clarify the probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-03-12 Antonio F. Galvao , Kengo Kato