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This paper studies sequential information acquisition by an ambiguity-averse decision maker (DM), who decides how long to collect information before taking an irreversible action. The agent optimizes against the worst-case belief and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-10-06 Sarah Auster , Yeon-Koo Che , Konrad Mierendorff

For many tasks of data analysis, we may only have the information of the explanatory variable and the evaluation of the response values are quite expensive. While it is impractical or too costly to obtain the responses of all units, a…

Computation · Statistics 2023-04-07 Wei Zheng , Ting Tian , Xueqin Wang

We provide a novel analysis of Wald's sequential probability ratio test based on information theoretic measures for symmetric thresholds, symmetric noise, and equally likely hypotheses under the assumption that the test exactly terminates…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-08-24 Meik Dörpinghaus , Édgar Roldán , Izaak Neri , Heinrich Meyr , Frank Jülicher

An unconventional approach for optimal stopping under model ambiguity is introduced. Besides ambiguity itself, we take into account how ambiguity-averse an agent is. This inclusion of ambiguity attitude, via an $\alpha$-maxmin nonlinear…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Yu-Jui Huang , Xiang Yu

According to conventional wisdom, ambiguity accelerates optimal timing by decreasing the value of waiting in comparison with the unambiguous benchmark case. We study this mechanism in a multidimensional setting and show that in a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-15 Sören Christensen , Luis H. R. Alvarez E

For optimal stopping problems with time-inconsistent preference, we measure the inherent level of time-inconsistency by taking the time needed to turn the naive strategies into the sophisticated ones. In particular, when in a repeated…

General Economics · Economics 2024-08-22 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

Tasks that require information about the world imply a trade-off between the time spent on observation and the variance of the response. In particular, fast decisions need to rely on uncertain information. However, standard estimates of…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2023-07-18 Sahel Azizpour , Viola Priesemann , Johannes Zierenberg , Anna Levina

How do decisions change with the economic environment and with time? This paper studies general nonstationary stopping problems and provides the methodological tools to answer these questions. First, we identify conditions that ensure a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-01 Théo Durandard , Matteo Camboni

We model learning in a continuous-time Brownian setting where there is prior ambiguity. The associated model of preference values robustness and is time-consistent. It is applied to study optimal learning when the choice between actions can…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-03-06 Larry G. Epstein , Shaolin Ji

A central problem in online learning and decision making -- from bandits to reinforcement learning -- is to understand what modeling assumptions lead to sample-efficient learning guarantees. We consider a general adversarial decision making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-28 Dylan J. Foster , Alexander Rakhlin , Ayush Sekhari , Karthik Sridharan

Three variants of the statistical complexity function, which is used as a criterion in the problem of detection of a useful signal in the signal-noise mixture, are considered. The probability distributions maximizing the considered variants…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-30 Leonid Berlin , Andrey Galyaev , Pavel Lysenko

A fundamental challenge in interactive learning and decision making, ranging from bandit problems to reinforcement learning, is to provide sample-efficient, adaptive learning algorithms that achieve near-optimal regret. This question is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-12 Dylan J. Foster , Sham M. Kakade , Jian Qian , Alexander Rakhlin

In a classical optimal stopping problem in continuous time, the agent can choose any stopping time without constraint. Dupuis and Wang (Optimal stopping with random intervention times, Advances in Applied Probability, 34, 141--157, 2002)…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-01-23 David Hobson , Matthew Zeng

This work revisits optimal response-adaptive designs from a type-I error rate perspective, highlighting when and how much these allocations exacerbate type-I error rate inflation - an issue previously undocumented. We explore a range of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Lukas Pin , Sofía S. Villar , William F. Rosenberger

This paper presents an empirical investigation of the relation between decision speed and decision quality for a real-world setting of cognitively-demanding decisions in which the timing of decisions is endogenous: professional chess.…

General Economics · Economics 2022-01-27 Uwe Sunde , Dainis Zegners , Anthony Strittmatter

A robot can invoke heterogeneous computation resources such as CPUs, cloud GPU servers, or even human computation for achieving a high-level goal. The problem of invoking an appropriate computation model so that it will successfully…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-08-04 Bineet Ghosh , Sandeep Chinchali , Parasara Sridhar Duggirala

We study a mutually enriching connection between response time analysis in real-time systems and the mixing set problem. Thereby generalizing over known results we present a new approach to the computation of response times in…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2023-11-02 Max A. Deppert , Klaus Jansen

We study the problem of PAC learning $\gamma$-margin halfspaces with Random Classification Noise. We establish an information-computation tradeoff suggesting an inherent gap between the sample complexity of the problem and the sample…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-29 Ilias Diakonikolas , Jelena Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Puqian Wang , Nikos Zarifis

This paper studies problems of inferring order given noisy information. In these problems there is an unknown order (permutation) $\pi$ on $n$ elements denoted by $1,...,n$. We assume that information is generated in a way correlated with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2009-10-08 Mark Braverman , Elchanan Mossel

This paper depicts algorithms for solving the decision Boolean Satisfiability Problem. An extreme problem is formulated to analyze the complexity of algorithms and the complexity for solving it. A novel and easy reformulation as a lottery…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-04-15 Carlos Barrón-Romero
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