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The ratio between the probability that two distributions $R$ and $P$ give to points $x$ are known as importance weights or propensity scores and play a fundamental role in many different fields, most notably, statistics and machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-11 Parikshit Gopalan , Omer Reingold , Vatsal Sharan , Udi Wieder

Importance weighting is a classic technique to handle distribution shifts. However, prior work has presented strong empirical and theoretical evidence demonstrating that importance weights can have little to no effect on overparameterized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-07 Ke Alexander Wang , Niladri S. Chatterji , Saminul Haque , Tatsunori Hashimoto

We evaluate the effectiveness of importance weighting in deep neural networks under label shift and covariate shift. On synthetic 2D data (linearly separable and moon-shaped) using logistic regression and MLPs, we observe that weighting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Thien Nhan Vo

Most accurate predictions are typically obtained by learning machines with complex feature spaces (as e.g. induced by kernels). Unfortunately, such decision rules are hardly accessible to humans and cannot easily be used to gain insights…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-08-13 Alexander Zien , Nicole Kraemer , Soeren Sonnenburg , Gunnar Raetsch

An importance weight quantifies the relative importance of one example over another, coming up in applications of boosting, asymmetric classification costs, reductions, and active learning. The standard approach for dealing with importance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-06-21 Nikos Karampatziakis , John Langford

Under distribution shift (DS) where the training data distribution differs from the test one, a powerful technique is importance weighting (IW) which handles DS in two separate steps: weight estimation (WE) estimates the test-over-training…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Tongtong Fang , Nan Lu , Gang Niu , Masashi Sugiyama

Deep generative networks can simulate from a complex target distribution, by minimizing a loss with respect to samples from that distribution. However, often we do not have direct access to our target distribution - our data may be subject…

Variable importance is defined as a measure of each regressor's contribution to model fit. Using R^2 as the fit criterion in linear models leads to the Shapley value (LMG) and proportionate value (PMVD) as variable importance measures.…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-08 Charles D. Coleman

Machine learning models are often deployed in different settings than they were trained and validated on, posing a challenge to practitioners who wish to predict how well the deployed model will perform on a target distribution. If an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Mayee Chen , Karan Goel , Nimit S. Sohoni , Fait Poms , Kayvon Fatahalian , Christopher Ré

Importance sampling is a widely used technique to estimate properties of a distribution. This paper investigates trading-off some bias for variance by adaptively winsorizing the importance sampling estimator. The novel winsorizing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-10 Paulo Orenstein

For complex latent variable models, the likelihood function is not available in closed form. In this context, a popular method to perform parameter estimation is Importance Weighted Variational Inference. It essentially maximizes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-16 Badr-Eddine Cherief-Abdellatif , Randal Douc , Arnaud Doucet , Hugo Marival

Although overparameterized models have shown their success on many machine learning tasks, the accuracy could drop on the testing distribution that is different from the training one. This accuracy drop still limits applying machine…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-29 Yiping Lu , Wenlong Ji , Zachary Izzo , Lexing Ying

Importance Sampling methods are broadly used to approximate posterior distributions or some of their moments. In its standard approach, samples are drawn from a single proposal distribution and weighted properly. However, since the…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-05 Víctor Elvira , Luca Martino , David Luengo , Mónica F. Bugallo

A sequential importance sampling algorithm is developed for the distribution that results when a matrix of independent, but not identically distributed, Bernoulli random variables is conditioned on a given sequence of row and column sums.…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-18 Matthew T. Harrison , Jeffrey W. Miller

Minibatching is a very well studied and highly popular technique in supervised learning, used by practitioners due to its ability to accelerate training through better utilization of parallel processing power and reduction of stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-02-09 Dominik Csiba , Peter Richtárik

Adaptive importance sampling is a widely spread Monte Carlo technique that uses a re-weighting strategy to iteratively estimate the so-called target distribution. A major drawback of adaptive importance sampling is the large variance of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-11-01 Anna Korba , François Portier

Driven by applications in telecommunication networks, we explore the simulation task of estimating rare event probabilities for tandem queues in their steady state. Existing literature has recognized that importance sampling methods can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-22 Ruoning Zhao , Xinyun Chen

Feature importance aims at measuring how crucial each input feature is for model prediction. It is widely used in feature engineering, model selection and explainable artificial intelligence (XAI). In this paper, we propose a new tree-model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-17 Fan Fang , Carmine Ventre , Lingbo Li , Leslie Kanthan , Fan Wu , Michail Basios

We consider the transfer of experience samples (i.e., tuples < s, a, s', r >) in reinforcement learning (RL), collected from a set of source tasks to improve the learning process in a given target task. Most of the related approaches focus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-29 Andrea Tirinzoni , Andrea Sessa , Matteo Pirotta , Marcello Restelli

Importance sampling has been successfully used to accelerate stochastic optimization in many convex problems. However, the lack of an efficient way to calculate the importance still hinders its application to Deep Learning. In this paper,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-09-14 Angelos Katharopoulos , François Fleuret