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Research in Cognitive Science suggests that humans understand and represent knowledge of the world through causal relationships. In addition to observations, they can rely on experimenting and counterfactual reasoning -- i.e. referring to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-05-24 Kanvaly Fadiga , Etienne Houzé , Ada Diaconescu , Jean-Louis Dessalles

Elements composing complex systems usually interact in several different ways and as such the interaction architecture is well modelled by a multiplex network. However often this architecture is hidden, as one usually only has experimental…

We propose a method for learning dynamical systems from high-dimensional empirical data that combines variational autoencoders and (spatio-)temporal attention within a framework designed to enforce certain scientifically-motivated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-22 Kai Lagemann , Christian Lagemann , Sach Mukherjee

From just a glance, humans can make rich predictions about the future state of a wide range of physical systems. On the other hand, modern approaches from engineering, robotics, and graphics are often restricted to narrow domains and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-06-06 Nicholas Watters , Andrea Tacchetti , Theophane Weber , Razvan Pascanu , Peter Battaglia , Daniel Zoran

We review existing approaches to mathematical modeling and analysis of multi-agent systems in which complex collective behavior arises out of local interactions between many simple agents. Though the behavior of an individual agent can be…

Robotics · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Kristina Lerman , Aram Galstyan , Tad Hogg

We consider a networked linear dynamical system with $p$ agents/nodes. We study the problem of learning the underlying graph of interactions/dependencies from observations of the nodal trajectories over a time-interval $T$. We present a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-09 Harish Doddi , Deepjyoti Deka , Saurav Talukdar , Murti Salapaka

Dynamical models underpin our ability to understand and predict the behavior of natural systems. Whether dynamical models are developed from first-principles derivations or from observational data, they are predicated on our choice of state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-11 Daniel Floryan , Michael D. Graham

We analyze the popular ``state-space'' class of algorithms for detecting casual interaction in coupled dynamical systems. These algorithms are often justified by Takens' embedding theorem, which provides conditions under which relationships…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-15 Matthew O'Shaughnessy , Mark Davenport , Christopher Rozell

Discovering the underlying dynamics of complex systems from data is an important practical topic. Constrained optimization algorithms are widely utilized and lead to many successes. Yet, such purely data-driven methods may bring about…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-17 Nan Chen , Yinling Zhang

Particle- and agent-based systems are a ubiquitous modeling tool in many disciplines. We consider the fundamental problem of inferring interaction kernels from observations of agent-based dynamical systems given observations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-01 Mauro Maggioni , Jason Miller , Ming Zhong

Identifying causal relationships from observational time series data is a key problem in disciplines such as climate science or neuroscience, where experiments are often not possible. Data-driven causal inference is challenging since…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-03 Jakob Runge , Peer Nowack , Marlene Kretschmer , Seth Flaxman , Dino Sejdinovic

Two numerical methods are proposed for detection of coupling between multiple time series generated by deterministic nonlinear systems. The first detects interdependence or the existence of coupling between time series. The second…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-05-07 Timothy Sauer , George Sugihara

We seek a computationally efficient model for a collection of time series arising from multiple interacting entities (a.k.a. "agents"). Recent models of temporal patterns across individuals fail to incorporate explicit system-level…

Correlations between two variables of a high-dimensional system can be indicative of an underlying interaction, but can also result from indirect effects. Inverse Ising inference is a method to distinguish one from the other. Essentially,…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-12-10 Benedikt Obermayer , Erel Levine

Local causal discovery is of great practical significance, as there are often situations where the discovery of the global causal structure is unnecessary, and the interest lies solely on a single target variable. Most existing local…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-25 Haoyue Dai , Ignavier Ng , Yujia Zheng , Zhengqing Gao , Kun Zhang

Automated driving applications require accurate vehicle specific models to precisely predict and control the motion dynamics. However, modern vehicles have a wide array of digital and mechatronic components that are difficult to model,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-05-11 G. Rödönyi , G. I. Beintema , R. Tóth , M. Schoukens , D. Pup , Á. Kisari , Zs. Vígh , P. Kőrös , A. Soumelidis , J. Bokor

We demonstrate the possibility of classifying causal systems into kinds that share a common structure without first constructing an explicit dynamical model or using prior knowledge of the system dynamics. The algorithmic ability to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-16 Benjamin C. Jantzen

In general, many dynamic processes are involved with interacting variables, from physical systems to sociological analysis. The interplay of components in the system can give rise to confounding dynamic behavior. Many approaches model…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Qianyu Feng , Bang Zhang , Yi Yang

This paper introduces coordinate-independent methods for analysing multiscale dynamical systems using numerical techniques based on the transfer operator and its adjoint. In particular, we present a method for testing whether an arbitrary…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-09-30 Gary Froyland , Georg A. Gottwald , Andy Hammerlindl

This paper considers the problem of inferring an unknown network of dynamical systems driven by unknown, intrinsic, noise inputs. Equivalently we seek to identify direct causal dependencies among manifest variables only from observations of…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2014-12-22 David Hayden , Ye Yuan , Jorge Goncalves