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Multivariate Hawkes process provides a powerful framework for modeling temporal dependencies and event-driven interactions in complex systems. While existing methods primarily focus on uncovering causal structures among observed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-03 Songyao Jin , Biwei Huang

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

Information transfer is an essential factor in determining the robustness of collective behaviour in biological systems with distributed control. The most direct way to study the information transfer mechanisms is to experimentally detect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-21 Andrea Cavagna , Daniele Conti , Irene Giardina , Tomas S. Grigera , Stefania Melillo , Massimiliano Viale

We propose a new nonparametric modeling framework for causal inference when outcomes depend on how agents are linked in a social or economic network. Such network interference describes a large literature on treatment spillovers, social…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-03-25 Eric Auerbach , Hongchang Guo , Max Tabord-Meehan

Causal discovery is challenging in general dynamical systems because, without strong structural assumptions, the underlying causal graph may not be identifiable even from interventional data. However, many real-world systems exhibit…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-07 Panayiotis Panayiotou , Özgür Şimşek

Understanding the interaction patterns among simultaneous recordings of spike trains from multiple neuronal units is a key topic in neuroscience. However, an optimal approach of assessing these interactions has not been established, as…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2020-12-17 Gorana Mijatovic , Yuri Antonacci , Tatjana Loncar-Turukalo , Ludovico Minati , Luca Faes

Delay-coupled networks are investigated with nonidentical delay times and the effects of such heterogeneity on the emergent dynamics of complex systems are characterized. A simple decomposition method is presented that decouples the…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-04-25 Róbert Szalai , Gábor Orosz

The efficient calculation of rare-event kinetics in complex dynamical systems, such as the rate and pathways of ligand dissociation from a protein, is a generally unsolved problem. Markov state models can systematically integrate ensembles…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2016-02-03 Benjamin Trendelkamp-Schroer , Frank Noe

The number of observable degrees of freedom is typically limited in experiments. Here, we consider discrete Markov networks in which an observer has access to a few visible transitions and the waiting times between these transitions.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-09-26 Alexander M. Maier , Udo Seifert , Jann van der Meer

The purpose of time series analysis via mechanistic models is to reconcile the known or hypothesized structure of a dynamical system with observations collected over time. We develop a framework for constructing nonlinear mechanistic models…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-08 Carles Bretó , Daihai He , Edward L. Ionides , Aaron A. King

A non-Markovian model of quantum repeated interactions between a small quantum system and an infinite chain of quantum systems is presented. By adapting and applying usual pro jection operator techniques in this context, discrete versions…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-05-13 C Pellegrini , F Petruccione

Reverse engineering of complex dynamical networks is important for a variety of fields where uncovering the full topology of unknown networks and estimating parameters characterizing the network structure and dynamical processes are of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2012-12-19 Wen-Xu Wang , Jie Ren , Ying-Cheng Lai , Baowen Li

Many systems are partially stochastic in nature. We have derived data driven approaches for extracting stochastic state machines (Markov models) directly from observed data. This chapter provides an overview of our approach with numerous…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2018-06-26 Richard R. Brooks , Lu Yu , Yu Fu , Guthrie Cordone , Jon Oakley , Xingsi Zhong

This work examines the problem of topology inference over discrete-time nonlinear stochastic networked dynamical systems. The goal is to recover the underlying digraph linking the network agents, from observations of their state-evolution.…

Multiagent Systems · Computer Science 2019-06-24 Augusto Santos , Vincenzo Matta , Ali H. Sayed

This work introduces a non-intrusive model reduction approach for learning reduced models from partially observed state trajectories of high-dimensional dynamical systems. The proposed approach compensates for the loss of information due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-29 Wayne Isaac Tan Uy , Benjamin Peherstorfer

Numerical time evolution of transport states using time dependent Density Matrix Renormalization Group (td-DMRG) methods has turned out to be a powerful tool to calculate the linear and finite bias conductance of interacting impurity…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2010-04-26 Alexander Branschädel , Guenter Schneider , Peter Schmitteckert

In this paper, stability of linearly coupled dynamical systems with feedback pinning algorithm is studied. Here, both the coupling matrix and the set of pinned-nodes vary with time, induced by a continuous-time Markov chain with finite…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Wenlian Lu , Yujuan Han , Tiaping Chen

The propagation of traffic congestion along roads is a commonplace nonlinear phenomenon. When many roads are connected in a network, congestion can spill from one road to others as drivers queue to enter a congested road, creating further…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-18 Matthew A. Wright , Roberto Horowitz , Alex A. Kurzhanskiy

Causal effect estimation in networked systems is central to data-driven decision making. In such settings, interventions on one unit can spill over to others, and in complex physical or social systems, the interaction pathways driving these…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-11-27 Sadegh Shirani , Mohsen Bayati

Dynamics on networks is considered from the perspective of Markov stochastic processes. We partially describe the state of the system through network motifs and infer any missing data using the available information. This versatile approach…

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