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Balanced truncation is a well-established model order reduction method which has been applied to a variety of problems. Recently, a connection between linear Gaussian Bayesian inference problems and the system-theoretic concept of balanced…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Josie König , Melina A. Freitag

Necessary and sufficient conditions for the square-integrability of recently proposed unbiased estimators are established. A geometric characterization of a distribution that optimizes the performance of these estimators is given. An…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Nabil Kahale

We study the theoretical properties of a variational Bayes method in the Gaussian Process regression model. We consider the inducing variables method introduced by Titsias (2009a) and derive sufficient conditions for obtaining contraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-28 Dennis Nieman , Botond Szabo , Harry van Zanten

High-probability guarantees in stochastic optimization are often obtained only under strong noise assumptions such as sub-Gaussian tails. We show that such guarantees can also be achieved under the weaker assumption of bounded variance by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Jiaming Liang

We consider the problem of predicting as well as the best linear combination of d given functions in least squares regression under L^\infty constraints on the linear combination. When the input distribution is known, there already exists…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-14 Jean-Yves Audibert , Olivier Catoni

We establish a central limit theorem for the unnormalized linear statistic of the Gaussian Unitary Ensemble under optimal conditions: the linear statistics converges if and only if the expression for the limiting variance is finite.

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Phil Kopel

We provide a computationally and statistically efficient estimator for the classical problem of truncated linear regression, where the dependent variable $y = w^T x + \epsilon$ and its corresponding vector of covariates $x \in R^k$ are only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-26 Constantinos Daskalakis , Themis Gouleakis , Christos Tzamos , Manolis Zampetakis

We consider the problem of approximating the moment generating function (MGF) of a truncated random variable in terms of the MGF of the underlying (i.e., untruncated) random variable. The purpose of approximating the MGF is to enable the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Ronald W. Butler , Andrew T. A. Wood

This paper presents an efficient variational inference framework for deriving a family of structured gaussian process regression network (SGPRN) models. The key idea is to incorporate auxiliary inducing variables in latent functions and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-19 Rui Meng , Herbie Lee , Kristofer Bouchard

This paper is devoted to the problem of sampling Gaussian fields in high dimension. Solutions exist for two specific structures of inverse covariance : sparse and circulant. The proposed approach is valid in a more general case and…

Computation · Statistics 2011-05-31 F. Orieux , O. Féron , J. -F. Giovannelli

We study a counterfactual mean-variance optimization, where the mean and variance are defined as functionals of counterfactual distributions. The optimization problem defines the optimal resource allocation under various constraints in a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-15 Kwangho Kim , Alan Mishler , José R. Zubizarreta

We consider the following frustrated optimization problem: given a prior probability distribution $q$, find the distribution $p$ minimizing the relative entropy with respect to $q$ such that $\textrm{mean}(p)$ is fixed and large. We show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-06 Matteo Smerlak

In this article, we obtain a super-exponential rate of convergence in total variation between the traces of the first $m$ powers of an $n\times n$ random unitary matrices and a $2m$-dimensional Gaussian random variable. This generalizes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-02-06 Kurt Johansson , Gaultier Lambert

Gaussian distributions are widely used in Bayesian variational inference to approximate intractable posterior densities, but the ability to accommodate skewness can improve approximation accuracy significantly, when data or prior…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-05 Linda S. L. Tan , Aoxiang Chen

Several strategies have been developed recently to ensure valid inference after model selection; some of these are easy to compute, while others fare better in terms of inferential power. In this paper, we consider a selective inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-13 Snigdha Panigrahi , Jonathan Taylor

The L\'evy, jumping process, defined in terms of the jumping size distribution and the waiting time distribution, is considered. The jumping rate depends on the process value. The fractional diffusion equation, which contains the variable…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-06-10 Tomasz Srokowski

In this paper, we have established a new framework of truncated inverse sampling for estimating mean values of non-negative random variables such as binomial, Poisson, hyper-geometrical, and bounded variables. We have derived explicit…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-05 Xinjia Chen

An exact upper bound on the Winsorised-tilted mean of a symmetric random variable in terms of its second moment is given. Such results are used in work on nonuniform Berry--Esseen-type bounds for general nonlinear statistics.

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-24 Iosif Pinelis

In the paper we introduce the truncated variation, upward truncated variation and downward truncated variation. These are closely related to the total variation but are well-defined even if the latter is infinite. Our aim is to explore…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-28 Rafał M. Łochowski , Piotr Miłoś

In this short note we prove a maximal concentration lemma for sub-Gaussian random variables stating that for independent sub-Gaussian random variables we have \[P<(\max_{1\le i\le N}S_{i}>\epsilon>)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2011-07-26 Dotan Di Castro , Claudio Gentile , Shie Mannor
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