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The family of q-Gaussian and q-exponential probability densities fit the statistical behavior of diverse complex self-similar non-equilibrium systems. These distributions, independently of the underlying dynamics, can rigorously be obtained…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-19 Adrian A. Budini

As in standard linear regression, in truncated linear regression, we are given access to observations $(A_i, y_i)_i$ whose dependent variable equals $y_i= A_i^{\rm T} \cdot x^* + \eta_i$, where $x^*$ is some fixed unknown vector of interest…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-30 Constantinos Daskalakis , Dhruv Rohatgi , Manolis Zampetakis

Within Bayesian state estimation, considerable effort has been devoted to incorporating constraints into state estimation for process optimization, state monitoring, fault detection and control. Nonetheless, in the domain of state-space…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-28 Rodrigo A. González , Angel L. Cedeño , Koen Tiels , Tom Oomen

Individual random trajectories of stochastic processes are often analyzed by using quadratic forms such as time averaged (TA) mean square displacement (MSD) or velocity auto-correlation function (VACF). The appropriate quadratic form is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-03 D. S. Grebenkov

Low-rank tensor models are widely used in statistics. However, most existing methods rely heavily on the assumption that data follows a sub-Gaussian distribution. To address the challenges associated with heavy-tailed distributions…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Xiaoyu Zhang , Di Wang , Guodong Li , Defeng Sun

We propose a novel sparse spectrum approximation of Gaussian process (GP) tailored for Bayesian optimization. Whilst the current sparse spectrum methods provide desired approximations for regression problems, it is observed that this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Ang Yang , Cheng Li , Santu Rana , Sunil Gupta , Svetha Venkatesh

We propose an open loop methodology based on sample statistics to solve chance constrained stochastic optimal control problems with probabilistic safety guarantees for linear systems where the additive Gaussian noise has unknown mean and…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-24 Shawn Priore , Meeko Oishi

We consider the following detection problem: given a realization of a symmetric matrix ${\mathbf{X}}$ of dimension $n$, distinguish between the hypothesis that all upper triangular variables are i.i.d. Gaussians variables with mean 0 and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Andrea Montanari , Daniel Reichman , Ofer Zeitouni

This paper presents a novel variational inference framework for deriving a family of Bayesian sparse Gaussian process regression (SGPR) models whose approximations are variationally optimal with respect to the full-rank GPR model enriched…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-25 Haibin Yu , Trong Nghia Hoang , Kian Hsiang Low , Patrick Jaillet

We revisit the replica method for analyzing inference and learning in parametric models, considering situations where the data-generating distribution is unknown or analytically intractable. Instead of assuming idealized distributions to…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2025-11-17 Takashi Takahashi

We consider covariance estimation in the multivariate generalized Gaussian distribution (MGGD) and elliptically symmetric (ES) distribution. The maximum likelihood optimization associated with this problem is non-convex, yet it has been…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-15 Teng Zhang , Ami Wiesel , Maria Sabrina Grec

The problem of determining the joint probability distributions for correlated random variables with pre-specified marginals is considered. When the joint distribution satisfying all the required conditions is not unique, the "most unbiased"…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-12 Hernán Larralde

One aspect of Poisson approximation is that the support of the random variable of interest is often finite while the support of the Poisson distribution is not. In this paper we will remedy this by examining truncated negative binomial (of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-02 H. L. Gan

In this paper we present an enhancement of the regression-based variance reduction approaches recently proposed in Belomestny et al. This enhancement is based on a truncation of the control variate and allows for a significant reduction of…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-10 Denis Belomestny , Stefan Häfner , Mikhail Urusov

The target measure $\mu$ is the distribution of a random vector in a box $\cB$, a Cartesian product of bounded intervals. The Gibbs sampler is a Markov chain with invariant measure $\mu$. A ``coupling from the past'' construction of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-09-25 Pedro J. Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari , Sebastian Grynberg

Variational inference methods for latent variable statistical models have gained popularity because they are relatively fast, can handle large data sets, and have deterministic convergence guarantees. However, in practice it is unclear…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-22 Hachem Saddiki , Andrew C. Trapp , Patrick Flaherty

We deal with the efficient parallelization of Bayesian global optimization algorithms, and more specifically of those based on the expected improvement criterion and its variants. A closed form formula relying on multivariate Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-09-12 Sébastien Marmin , Clément Chevalier , David Ginsbourger

A continuous-time regression model with a jointly strictly sub-Gaussian random noise is considered in the paper. Upper exponential bounds for probabilities of large deviations of the least squares estimator for the regression parameter are…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-12 Alexander V. Ivanov , Igor V. Orlovskyi

Efficient signal representation is essential for the functioning of living and artificial systems operating under resource constraints. A widely recognized framework for deriving such representations is the information bottleneck method,…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-08 Vahe Galstyan , Age Tjalma , Pieter Rein ten Wolde

This paper investigates the stochastic program with the chance constraint on a quadratic form of random variables following multivariate Gaussian mixture distribution (GMD). Under some mild conditions, it is proved that the asymptotic…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-02 Xiaochuan Pang , Shushang Zhu , Zhaolin Hu