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This study introduces an interpretable machine learning (ML) framework to extract macroeconomic alpha from global news sentiment. We process the Global Database of Events, Language, and Tone (GDELT) Project's worldwide news feed using…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-23 Yuke Zhang

Contextual pretrained language models, such as BERT (Devlin et al., 2019), have made significant breakthrough in various NLP tasks by training on large scale of unlabeled text re-sources.Financial sector also accumulates large amount of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-10 Yi Yang , Mark Christopher Siy UY , Allen Huang

Bitcoin, with its ever-growing popularity, has demonstrated extreme price volatility since its origin. This volatility, together with its decentralised nature, make Bitcoin highly subjective to speculative trading as compared to more…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-13 Yanzhao Zou , Dorien Herremans

In recent years, the use of emojis in social media has increased dramatically, making them an important element in understanding online communication. However, predicting the meaning of emojis in a given text is a challenging task due to…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Muhammad Osama Nusrat , Zeeshan Habib , Mehreen Alam , Saad Ahmed Jamal

Financial Sentiment Analysis (FSA) traditionally relies on human-annotated sentiment labels to infer investor sentiment and forecast market movements. However, inferring the potential market impact of words based on their human-perceived…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Hamid Moradi-Kamali , Mohammad-Hossein Rajabi-Ghozlou , Mahdi Ghazavi , Ali Soltani , Amirreza Sattarzadeh , Reza Entezari-Maleki

We examine how textual features in earnings press releases predict stock returns on earnings announcement days. Using over 138,000 press releases from 2005 to 2023, we compare traditional bag-of-words and BERT-based embeddings. We find that…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-07 Yuntao Wu , Ege Mert Akin , Charles Martineau , Vincent Grégoire , Andreas Veneris

Financial sentiment has become a crucial yet complex concept in finance, increasingly used in market forecasting and investment strategies. Despite its growing importance, there remains a need to define and understand what financial…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-04-07 Kemal Kirtac , Guido Germano

Opinion prediction is an emerging research area with diverse real-world applications, such as market research and situational awareness. We identify two lines of approaches to the problem of opinion prediction. One uses topic-based…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-13 Kishore Tumarada , Yifan Zhang , Fan Yang , Eduard Dragut , Omprakash Gnawali , Arjun Mukherjee

We utilize FinBERT, a domain-specific transformer model, to parse 6.5 million sentences from 16,428 S&P 500 quarterly earnings call transcripts (2015-2025) and demonstrate that post-earnings stock returns are not equally affected by all…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-16 Karmanpartap Singh Sidhu , Junyi Fan , Maryam Pishgar

Newsletters and social networks can reflect the opinion about the market and specific stocks from the perspective of analysts and the general public on products and/or services provided by a company. Therefore, sentiment analysis of these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Elvys Linhares Pontes , Mohamed Benjannet

Motivated by the emerging demand in the financial industry for the automatic analysis of unstructured and structured data at scale, Question Answering (QA) systems can provide lucrative and competitive advantages to companies by…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-05-05 Bithiah Yuan

Sentiment analysis can provide a suitable lead for the tools used in software engineering along with the API recommendation systems and relevant libraries to be used. In this context, the existing tools like SentiCR, SentiStrength-SE, etc.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-12-14 Himanshu Batra , Narinder Singh Punn , Sanjay Kumar Sonbhadra , Sonali Agarwal

Studies conducted on financial market prediction lack a comprehensive feature set that can carry a broad range of contributing factors; therefore, leading to imprecise results. Furthermore, while cooperating with the most recent innovations…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-05-17 Amirhossein Aminimehr , Amin Aminimehr , Hamid Moradi Kamali , Sauleh Eetemadi , Saeid Hoseinzade

We implement traditional machine learning and deep learning methods for global tweets from 2017-2022 to build a high-frequency measure of the public's sentiment index on inflation and analyze its correlation with other online data sources…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Xinyu Li , Zihan Tang

In the era of pervasive internet use and the dominance of social networks, researchers face significant challenges in Persian text mining including the scarcity of adequate datasets in Persian and the inefficiency of existing language…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-02-04 Farid Ariai , Maryam Tayefeh Mahmoudi , Ali Moeini

We explore how to crawl financial forum data such as stock bars and combine them with deep learning models for sentiment analysis. In this paper, we will use the BERT model to train against the financial corpus and predict the SZSE…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-11 Chenrui Zhang

Sentiment analysis can be used for stock market prediction. However, existing research has not studied the impact of a user's financial background on sentiment-based forecasting of the stock market using artificial neural networks. In this…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-05 Ziyuan Ma , Conor Ryan , Jim Buckley , Muslim Chochlov

Predicting market movements based on the sentiment of news media has a long tradition in data analysis. With advances in natural language processing, transformer architectures have emerged that enable contextually aware sentiment…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2023-05-11 Himmet Kaplan , Ralf-Peter Mundani , Heiko Rölke , Albert Weichselbraun

The role of social media in opinion formation has far-reaching implications in all spheres of society. Though social media provide platforms for expressing news and views, it is hard to control the quality of posts due to the sheer volumes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-08 Rini Anggrainingsih , Ghulam Mubashar Hassan , Amitava Datta

Financial sentiment analysis is crucial for understanding the influence of news on stock prices. Recently, large language models (LLMs) have been widely adopted for this purpose due to their advanced text analysis capabilities. However,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-06-24 Yixuan Liang , Yuncong Liu , Neng Wang , Hongyang Yang , Boyu Zhang , Christina Dan Wang