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Forecasting central bank policy decisions remains a persistent challenge for investors, financial institutions, and policymakers due to the wide-reaching impact of monetary actions. In particular, anticipating shifts in the U.S. federal…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-01 Fiona Xiao Jingyi , Lili Liu

In this work, we tackle the problem of predicting entity popularity on Twitter based on the news cycle. We apply a supervised learn- ing approach and extract four types of features: (i) signal, (ii) textual, (iii) sentiment and (iv)…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-07-12 Pedro Saleiro , Carlos Soares

Predicting personality is essential for social applications supporting human-centered activities, yet prior modeling methods with users written text require too much input data to be realistically used in the context of social media. In…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2017-04-20 Pierre-Hadrien Arnoux , Anbang Xu , Neil Boyette , Jalal Mahmud , Rama Akkiraju , Vibha Sinha

This paper investigates the potential improvement of the GPT-4 Language Learning Model (LLM) in comparison to BERT for modeling same-day daily stock price movements of Apple and Tesla in 2017, based on sentiment analysis of microblogging…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-01 Rick Steinert , Saskia Altmann

The proliferation of fake news and its propagation on social media has become a major concern due to its ability to create devastating impacts. Different machine learning approaches have been suggested to detect fake news. However, most of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-04-14 Junaed Younus Khan , Md. Tawkat Islam Khondaker , Sadia Afroz , Gias Uddin , Anindya Iqbal

Financial sentiment analysis refers to classifying financial text contents into sentiment categories (e.g. positive, negative, and neutral). In this paper, we focus on the classification of financial news title, which is a challenging task…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-01-11 Wei Luo , Dihong Gong

Can unstructured text data from social media help explain the drivers of large asset price fluctuations? This paper investigates how social forces affect asset prices, by using machine learning tools to extract beliefs and positions of…

General Economics · Economics 2023-08-09 Valentina Semenova , Julian Winkler

In this paper, we propose a modified Levy jump diffusion model with market sentiment memory for stock prices, where the market sentiment comes from data mining implementation using Tweets on Twitter. We take the market sentiment process,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-09-13 Zheqing Zhu , Jian-guo Liu , Lei Li

This paper covers the two approaches for sentiment analysis: i) lexicon based method; ii) machine learning method. We describe several techniques to implement these approaches and discuss how they can be adopted for sentiment classification…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Olga Kolchyna , Tharsis T. P. Souza , Philip Treleaven , Tomaso Aste

The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) is widely accepted to hold true under certain assumptions. One of its implications is that the prediction of stock prices at least in the short run cannot outperform the random walk model. Yet, recently…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-03-24 Panagiotis Papaioannnou , Lucia Russo , George Papaioannou , Constantinos Siettos

This study explores the integration of large language models (LLMs) into classic inflation nowcasting frameworks, particularly in light of high inflation volatility periods such as the COVID-19 pandemic. We propose InflaBERT, a BERT-based…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Marc-Antoine Allard , Paul Teiletche , Adam Zinebi

In this paper, we investigate the emotion recognition ability of the pre-training language model, namely BERT. By the nature of the framework of BERT, a two-sentence structure, we adapt BERT to continues dialogue emotion prediction tasks,…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-08-20 Yen-Hao Huang , Ssu-Rui Lee , Mau-Yun Ma , Yi-Hsin Chen , Ya-Wen Yu , Yi-Shin Chen

Social media like Twitter provide a common platform to share and communicate personal experiences with other people. People often post their life experiences, local news, and events on social media to inform others. Many rescue agencies…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-08-25 Ashis Kumar Chanda

Rapid increase in the volume of sentiment rich social media on the web has resulted in an increased interest among researchers regarding Sentimental Analysis and opinion mining. However, with so much social media available on the web,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2014-10-28 Chetan Kaushik , Atul Mishra

Researchers and financial professionals require robust computerized tools that allow users to rapidly operationalize and assess the semantic textual content in financial news. However, existing methods commonly work at the document-level…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2019-01-03 Bernhard Lutz , Nicolas Pröllochs , Dirk Neumann

In recent years, financial sentiment analysis of public opinion has become increasingly important for market forecasting and risk assessment. However, existing methods often struggle to effectively integrate diverse opinion modalities and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Yujing Liu , Chen Yang

User reviews have an essential role in the success of the developed mobile apps. User reviews in the textual form are unstructured data, creating a very high complexity when processed for sentiment analysis. Previous approaches that have…

The paper benchmarks several Transformer models [4], to show how these models can judge sentiment from a news event. This signal can then be used for downstream modelling and signal identification for commodity trading. We find that…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-24 Edward Sharkey , Philip Treleaven

The main approaches to sentiment analysis are rule-based methods and ma-chine learning, in particular, deep neural network models with the Trans-former architecture, including BERT. The performance of neural network models in the tasks of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-11-22 Elena Razova , Sergey Vychegzhanin , Evgeny Kotelnikov

Financial analyses of stock markets rely heavily on quantitative approaches in an attempt to predict subsequent or market movements based on historical prices and other measurable metrics. These quantitative analyses might have missed out…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-08-04 Shaan Aryaman , Nguwi Yok Yen
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