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It is commonly required to detect change points in sequences of random variables. In the most difficult setting of this problem, change detection must be performed sequentially with new observations being constantly received over time.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-08 Gordon J Ross

Consider each node of a graph to be generating a data stream that is synchronized and observed at near real-time. At a change-point $\tau$, a change occurs at a subset of nodes $C$, which affects the probability distribution of their…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-01-13 Alejandro de la Concha , Argyris Kalogeratos , Nicolas Vayatis

We propose novel methods for change-point testing for nonparametric estimators of expected shortfall and related risk measures in weakly dependent time series. We can detect general multiple structural changes in the tails of marginal…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-07 Lin Fan , Junting Duan , Peter W. Glynn , Markus Pelger

This work is concerned with the detection of a mixture distribution from a $\mathbb{R}$-valued sample. Given a sample $X_1,\dots,X_n$ and an even density $\phi$, our aim is to detect whether the sample distribution is $\phi(\cdot-\mu)$ for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-01-22 Béatrice Laurent , Clément Marteau , Cathy Maugis-Rabusseau

A nonparametric anomalous hypothesis testing problem is investigated, in which there are totally n sequences with s anomalous sequences to be detected. Each typical sequence contains m independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-15 Shaofeng Zou , Yingbin Liang , H. Vincent Poor , Xinghua Shi

In a sequence of multivariate observations or non-Euclidean data objects, such as networks, local dependence is common and could lead to false change-point discoveries. We propose a new way of permutation -- circular block permutation with…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-06 Hao Chen

Detecting changepoints in datasets with many variates is a data science challenge of increasing importance. Motivated by the problem of detecting changes in the incidence of terrorism from a global terrorism database, we propose a novel…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-30 S. O. Tickle , I. A. Eckley , P. Fearnhead

The distributions of toroidal data, often viewed as an extension of circular distributions, do not consider the intrinsic geometry of a curved torus. For the first time, Diaconis et al. (2013)[Diaconis, P., Holmes, S., & Shahshahani, M.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-05 Buddhananda Banerjee , Surojit Biswas

Nonparametric control charts that can detect arbitrary distributional changes are highly desirable due to their flexibility to adapt to different distributional assumptions and distributional changes. However, most of such control charts in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-15 Jun Li

We propose new tests to detect a change in the mean of a time series. Like many existing tests, the new ones are based on the CUSUM process. Existing CUSUM tests require an estimator of a scale parameter to make them asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-18 Lajos Horváth , Zsuzsanna Horváth , Marie Hušková

Recent studies demonstrate that trends in indicators extracted from measured time series can indicate approaching to an impending transition. Kendall's {\tau} coefficient is often used to study the trend of statistics related to the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2020-10-07 Shiyang Chen , Amin Ghadami , Bogdan I. Epureanu

We are concerned with the problem of detecting a single change point in the model parameters of time series data generated from an exponential family. In contrast to the existing literature, we allow that the true location of the change…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-07 Cassandra Milbradt

A novel method is proposed for detecting changes in the covariance structure of moderate dimensional time series. This non-linear test statistic has a number of useful properties. Most importantly, it is independent of the underlying…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-18 Sean Ryan , Rebecca Killick

Random non-commutative geometries are a novel approach to taking a non-perturbative path integral over geometries. They were introduced in arxiv.org/abs/1510.01377, where a first examination was performed. During this examination we found…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2017-06-14 Lisa Glaser

This paper considers the prominent problem of change-point detection in regression. The study suggests a novel testing procedure featuring a fully data-driven calibration scheme. The method is essentially a black box, requiring no tuning…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-02 Valeriy Avanesov

We propose a non-parametric statistical procedure for detecting multiple change-points in multidimensional signals. The method is based on a test statistic that generalizes the well-known Kruskal-Wallis procedure to the multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-02-11 Alexandre Lung-Yut-Fong , Céline Lévy-Leduc , Olivier Cappé

Change point testing for high-dimensional data has attracted a lot of attention in statistics and machine learning owing to the emergence of high-dimensional data with structural breaks from many fields. In practice, when the dimension is…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-05 Hanjia Gao , Runmin Wang , Xiaofeng Shao

In many applications, it is often of practical and scientific interest to detect anomaly events in a streaming sequence of high-dimensional or non-Euclidean observations. We study a non-parametric framework that utilizes nearest neighbor…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-25 Lynna Chu , Hao Chen

We introduce nonparametric tests of independence for bivariate circular data based on trigonometric moments. Our contributions lie in (i) proposing nonparametric tests that are locally and asymptotically optimal against bivariate cosine von…

In change-point analysis, one aims at finding the locations of abrupt distributional changes (if any) in a sequence of multivariate observations. In this article, we propose some nonparametric methods based on averages of pairwise distances…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Spandan Ghoshal , Bilol Banerjee , Anil K. Ghosh