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Nonparametric Change Point Detection in Regression

Statistics Theory 2019-07-02 v3 Statistics Theory

Abstract

This paper considers the prominent problem of change-point detection in regression. The study suggests a novel testing procedure featuring a fully data-driven calibration scheme. The method is essentially a black box, requiring no tuning from the practitioner. The approach is investigated from both theoretical and practical points of view. The theoretical study demonstrates proper control of first-type error rate under H0H_0 and power approaching 11 under H1H_1. The experiments conducted on synthetic data fully support the theoretical claims. In conclusion, the method is applied to financial data, where it detects sensible change-points. Techniques for change-point localization are also suggested and investigated.

Keywords

Cite

@article{arxiv.1903.02603,
  title  = {Nonparametric Change Point Detection in Regression},
  author = {Valeriy Avanesov},
  journal= {arXiv preprint arXiv:1903.02603},
  year   = {2019}
}

Comments

Validity result is simplified and improved. Typos fixed, style corrected

R2 v1 2026-06-23T08:00:24.061Z