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Current pooling rules for multiply imputed data assume infinite populations. In some situations this assumption is not feasible as every unit in the population has been observed, potentially leading to over-covered population estimates. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-01 Gerko Vink , Stef van Buuren

Information and individual activities often spread globally through the network of social ties. While social contagion phenomena have been extensively studied within the framework of threshold models, it is common to make an assumption that…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-07 Teruyoshi Kobayashi

Disinformation research has proliferated in reaction to widespread false, problematic beliefs purported to explain major social phenomena. Yet while the effects of disinformation are well-known, there is less consensus about its causes; the…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Nicholas Rabb

The ability to learn from others (social learning) is often deemed a cause of human species success. But if social learning is indeed more efficient (whether less costly or more accurate) than individual learning, it raises the question of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-01-01 Benoît de Courson , Léo Fitouchi , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Michael Benzaquen

In real-world scenarios, typical visual recognition systems could fail under two major causes, i.e., the misclassification between known classes and the excusable misbehavior on unknown-class images. To tackle these deficiencies, flexible…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-09-15 Lei Fan , Bo Liu , Haoxiang Li , Ying Wu , Gang Hua

Social groups with widely different music tastes, political convictions, and religious beliefs emerge and disappear on scales from extreme subcultures to mainstream mass-cultures. Both the underlying social structure and the formation of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-11-12 M. Rosvall , K. Sneppen

We investigate majority rule dynamics in a population with two classes of people, each with two opinion states $\pm 1$, and with tunable interactions between people in different classes. In an update, a randomly selected group adopts the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-06-23 P. L. Krapivsky , S. Redner

Polarization, defined as the emergence of sharply divided groups with opposing and often extreme views, is an increasingly prominent feature of modern societies. While many studies analyze this phenomenon in the context of single issues,…

Over time, there have hen refinements in the way that probability distributions are used for representing beliefs. Models which rely on single probability distributions depict a complete ordering among the propositions of interest, yet…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-02-28 Paul Snow

It is very common to observe crowds of individuals solving similar problems with similar information in a largely independent manner. We argue here that crowds can become "smarter," i.e., more efficient and robust, by partially following…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Yu Luo , Garud Iyengar , Venkat Venkatasubramanian

We consider a class of models of opinion formation where the dissemination of individual opinions occurs through the spreading of local consensus and disagreement. We study the emergence of full collective consensus or maximal disagreement…

Physics and Society · Physics 2014-12-23 Andrés Chacoma , Damián H. Zanette

Modern language models can imitate complex patterns through few-shot learning, enabling them to complete challenging tasks without fine-tuning. However, imitation can also lead models to reproduce inaccuracies or harmful content if present…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Danny Halawi , Jean-Stanislas Denain , Jacob Steinhardt

Overfitting data is a well-known phenomenon related with the generation of a model that mimics too closely (or exactly) a particular instance of data, and may therefore fail to predict future observations reliably. In practice, this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-14 Matias Vera , Leonardo Rey Vega , Pablo Piantanida

Belief dynamics are fundamental to human behavior and social coordination. Individuals rely on accurate beliefs to make decisions, and shared beliefs form the basis of successful cooperation. Traditional studies often examined beliefs in…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-11 Joshua T. S. Hewson , Ke Fang

We present a model of interacting multiple choices of opinions. At each step of the process, a listener is persuaded by his/her neighbour, the lobbyist, to modify his/her opinion on two different choices of event. Whether or not the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-01-12 C. -I. Chou , C. -L. Ho

Consider n individuals who, by popular vote, choose among q >= 2 alternatives, one of which is "better" than the others. Assume that each individual votes independently at random, and that the probability of voting for the better…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-25 Elchanan Mossel , Joe Neeman , Omer Tamuz

We study distributed knowledge, which is what privately informed agents come to know by communicating freely with one another and sharing everything they know. Knowledge is not necessarily partitional: agents may be boundedly rational and…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-05-13 Michele Crescenzi

We design a double-or-quits game to compare the speed of learning one's specific ability with the speed of rising confidence as the task gets increasingly difficult. We find that people on average learn to be overconfident faster than they…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-07-11 Louis Lévy-Garboua , Muniza Askari , Marco Gazel

Collective decision-making is a process by which a group of individuals determines a shared outcome that shapes societal dynamics; from innovation diffusion to organizational choices. A common approach to model these processes is using…

Physics and Society · Physics 2025-04-03 Maciej Doniec , Pratik Mullick , Parongama Sen , Katarzyna Sznajd-Weron

An outstanding open problem is whether collective social phenomena occurring over short timescales can systematically reduce cultural heterogeneity in the long run, and whether offline and online human interactions contribute differently to…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-01-31 Luca Valori , Francesco Picciolo , Agnes Allansdottir , Diego Garlaschelli