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This paper proposes probabilistic conformal prediction (PCP), a predictive inference algorithm that estimates a target variable by a discontinuous predictive set. Given inputs, PCP construct the predictive set based on random samples from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-22 Zhendong Wang , Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , Mingyuan Zhou , David M. Blei

Crosscorrelation of the outputs of two Gravitational Wave (GW) detectors has recently been proposed [1] as a method for detecting statistical association between GWs and Gamma Ray Bursts (GRBs). Unfortunately, the method can be effectively…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-07 G. Modestino , A. Moleti

Conformal prediction (CP) has emerged as a powerful tool in robotics and control, thanks to its ability to calibrate complex, data-driven models with formal guarantees. However, in robot navigation tasks, existing CP-based methods often…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-04-02 Jaeuk Shin , Jungjin Lee , Insoon Yang

In this work, we apply Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to detect gravitational wave (GW) signals of compact binary coalescences, using single-interferometer data from LIGO detectors. As novel contribution, we adopted a resampling…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2020-09-10 Manuel D. Morales , Javier M. Antelis , Claudia Moreno , Alexander I. Nesterov

Gravitational-wave (GW) radiation from a coalescing compact binary is a standard siren as the luminosity distance of each event can be directly measured from the amplitude of the signal. One possibility to constrain cosmology using the GW…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-28 Hang Yu , Brian Seymour , Yijun Wang , Yanbei Chen

Several cosmological measurements have attained significant levels of maturity and accuracy over the last decade. Continuing this trend, future observations promise measurements of the statistics of the cosmic mass distribution at an…

Astrophysics · Physics 2008-11-26 Salman Habib , Katrin Heitmann , David Higdon , Charles Nakhleh , Brian Williams

Gravitational-wave (GW) astrophysics is a field in full blossom. Since the landmark detection of GWs from a binary black hole on September 14th 2015, several compact-object binaries have been reported by the LIGO-Virgo collaboration. Such…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-11-04 Andrea Antonelli

This study presents a computational framework for evaluating the detectability of white hole-induced gravitational wave signals and their imprints on the cosmic microwave background (CMB). The approach integrates stochastic gravitational…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2025-03-19 Antonios Valamontes , Ioannis Adamopoulos

The early inspiral from stellar-mass binary black holes (sBBHs) can emit milli-Hertz gravitational wave signals, making them detectable sources for space-borne gravitational wave missions like TianQin. However, the traditional matched…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-01-08 Xue-Ting Zhang , Natalia Korsakova , Man Leong Chan , Chris Messenger , Yi-Ming Hu

State of the art quantum computers have very limited applicability for accurate calculations. Here we report the first experimental demonstration of qubit-based matched filtering for a detection of the gravitational-wave signal from a…

Precise estimation of predictive uncertainty in deep neural networks is a critical requirement for reliable decision-making in machine learning and statistical modeling, particularly in the context of medical AI. Conformal Prediction (CP)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-05 Hamed Karimi , Reza Samavi

Gravitational waves are perturbations in the spacetime that propagate at the speed of light. The study of such phenomenon is interesting because many cosmological processes and astrophysical objects, such as binary systems, are potential…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-04-27 E. F. D. Evangelista , J. C. N. de Araujo

We introduce a method based on Conformal Prediction (CP) to quantify the uncertainty of full ranking algorithms. We focus on a specific scenario where $n+m$ items are to be ranked by some ``black box'' algorithm. It is assumed that the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-04 Jean-Baptiste Fermanian , Pierre Humbert , Gilles Blanchard

Theoretical studies in gravitational wave astronomy have mostly focused on the information that can be extracted from individual detections, such as the mass of a binary system and its location in space. Here we consider how the information…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2013-05-30 Matthew Adams , Neil Cornish , Tyson Littenberg

We carry out astrophysical inference for compact binary merger events in LIGO-Virgo's first gravitational-wave transient catalog (GWTC-1) using a physically motivated calibration model. We demonstrate that importance sampling can be used to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-01-04 Ethan Payne , Colm Talbot , Paul D. Lasky , Eric Thrane , Jeffrey S. Kissel

In this paper we study the use of cross-correlations between multiple gravitational wave (GW) data streams for detecting long-lived periodic signals. Cross-correlation searches between data from multiple detectors have traditionally been…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2008-11-26 Sanjeev Dhurandhar , Badri Krishnan , Himan Mukhopadhyay , John T. Whelan

The phase parameters of matched-filtering searches for continuous gravitational-wave signals are sky position, frequency and frequency time-derivatives. The space of these parameters features strong global correlations in the optimal…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2009-05-19 Holger J. Pletsch

Gravitational wave observations from merging compact objects are becoming commonplace, and as detectors improve and gravitational wave sources become more varied, it is increasingly important to have dense and expansive template banks of…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2023-01-25 Deborah Ferguson

In the past few years, the detection of gravitational waves from compact binary coalescences with the Advanced LIGO and Advanced Virgo detectors has become routine. Future observatories will detect even larger numbers of gravitational-wave…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2021-08-11 Anuradha Samajdar , Justin Janquart , Chris Van Den Broeck , Tim Dietrich

Data analysis in modern science using extensive experimental and observational facilities, such as a gravitational wave detector, is essential in the search for novel scientific discoveries. Accordingly, various techniques and mathematical…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-06-14 Piljong Jung , Sang Hoon Oh , Young-Min Kim , Edwin J. Son , John J. Oh
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