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Accurate human motion prediction with well-calibrated uncertainty is critical for safe human-robot collaboration (HRC), where robots must anticipate and react to human movements in real time. We propose a structured multitask variational…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Jinger Chong , Xiaotong Zhang , Kamal Youcef-Toumi

Safely exploring an unknown dynamical system is critical to the deployment of reinforcement learning (RL) in physical systems where failures may have catastrophic consequences. In scenarios where one knows little about the dynamics, diverse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-12-01 Tyler Lu , Martin Zinkevich , Craig Boutilier , Binz Roy , Dale Schuurmans

Model predictive control allows to provide high performance and safety guarantees in the form of constraint satisfaction. These properties, however, can be satisfied only if the underlying model, used for prediction, of the controlled…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-02-25 Michael Maiworm , Daniel Limon , Rolf Findeisen

Gaussian processes (GPs) are widely used in nonparametric regression, classification and spatio-temporal modeling, motivated in part by a rich literature on theoretical properties. However, a well known drawback of GPs that limits their use…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-29 Anjishnu Banerjee , David Dunson , Surya Tokdar

Gaussian processes (GP) provide a prior over functions and allow finding complex regularities in data. Gaussian processes are successfully used for classification/regression problems and dimensionality reduction. In this work we consider…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-11-21 Pavel Izmailov , Dmitry Kropotov

Deep Gaussian processes (DGPs) are increasingly popular as predictive models in machine learning (ML) for their non-stationary flexibility and ability to cope with abrupt regime changes in training data. Here we explore DGPs as surrogates…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-27 Annie Sauer , Robert B. Gramacy , David Higdon

Safety is a critical concern in learning-enabled autonomous systems especially when deploying these systems in real-world scenarios. An important challenge is accurately quantifying the uncertainty of unknown models to generate provably…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Hao Zhou , Yanze Zhang , Wenhao Luo

Active learning methods for emulating complex computer models that rely on stationary Gaussian processes tend to produce design points that uniformly fill the entire experimental region, which can be wasteful for functions which vary only…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-16 Shangkun Wang , V. Roshan Joseph

This paper proposes embedded Gaussian Process Barrier States (GP-BaS), a methodology to safely control unmodeled dynamics of nonlinear system using Bayesian learning. Gaussian Processes (GPs) are used to model the dynamics of the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-02 Hassan Almubarak , Manan Gandhi , Yuichiro Aoyama , Nader Sadegh , Evangelos A. Theodorou

In engineering design, one often wishes to calculate the probability that the performance of a system is satisfactory under uncertainty. State of the art algorithms exist to solve this problem using active learning with Gaussian process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-03 Jonathan Sadeghi , Romain Mueller , John Redford

In application areas where data generation is expensive, Gaussian processes are a preferred supervised learning model due to their high data-efficiency. Particularly in model-based control, Gaussian processes allow the derivation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-15 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

To effectively control complex dynamical systems, accurate nonlinear models are typically needed. However, these models are not always known. In this paper, we present a data-driven approach based on Gaussian processes that learns models of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-10-17 Li Wang , Evangelos A. Theodorou , Magnus Egerstedt

Gaussian processes allow for flexible specification of prior assumptions of unknown dynamics in state space models. We present a procedure for efficient Bayesian learning in Gaussian process state space models, where the representation is…

Computation · Statistics 2016-04-18 Andreas Svensson , Arno Solin , Simo Särkkä , Thomas B. Schön

The posterior variance of Gaussian processes is a valuable measure of the learning error which is exploited in various applications such as safe reinforcement learning and control design. However, suitable analysis of the posterior variance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-05 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Safety-critical technical systems operating in unknown environments require the ability to quickly adapt their behavior, which can be achieved in control by inferring a model online from the data stream generated during operation. Gaussian…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-24 Armin Lederer , Mingmin Zhang , Samuel Tesfazgi , Sandra Hirche

Due to the increasing complexity of technical systems, accurate first principle models can often not be obtained. Supervised machine learning can mitigate this issue by inferring models from measurement data. Gaussian process regression is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-11 Armin Lederer , Jonas Umlauft , Sandra Hirche

Both experimental and computational methods for the exploration of structure, functionality, and properties of materials often necessitate the search across broad parameter spaces to discover optimal experimental conditions and regions of…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-08-31 Maxim Ziatdinov , Ayana Ghosh , Sergei V. Kalinin

Estimation of the response probability distributions of computer simulators in the presence of randomness is a crucial task in many fields. However, achieving this task with guaranteed accuracy remains an open computational challenge,…

Computation · Statistics 2024-09-04 Chao Dang , Marcos A. Valdebenito , Nataly A. Manque , Jun Xu , Matthias G. R. Faes

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods are used to approximate posterior distributions using simulation rather than likelihood calculations. We introduce Gaussian process (GP) accelerated ABC, which we show can significantly reduce…

Computation · Statistics 2014-02-25 Richard D Wilkinson

Complex computer codes or models can often be run in a hierarchy of different levels of complexity ranging from the very basic to the sophisticated. The top levels in this hierarchy are typically expensive to run, which limits the number of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-19 Louise Kimpton , James Salter , Tim Dodwell , Hossein Mohammadi , Peter Challenor