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In applied probability, the normal approximation is often used for the distribution of data with assumed additive structure. This tradition is based on the central limit theorem for sums of (independent) random variables. However, it is…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-27 Alexandra Dorofeeva , Victor Korolev , Alexander Zeifman

The standard central limit theorem with a Gaussian attractor for the sum of independent random variables may lose its validity in presence of strong correlations between the added random contributions. Here, we study this problem for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-06-14 Adrian A. Budini

We consider principled alternatives to unsupervised learning in data mining by situating the learning task in the context of the subsequent analysis task. Specifically, we consider a query-answering (hypothesis-testing) task: In the…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2013-04-18 Brendan Juba

The Komlos conjecture in discrepancy theory states that for some constant K and for any m by n matrix A whose columns lie in the unit ball there exists a +/- 1 vector x such that the infinity norm of Ax is bounded above by K. This…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2013-08-05 Aleksandar Nikolov

The problem of lifting a preference order on a set of objects to a preference order on a family of subsets of this set is a fundamental problem with a wide variety of applications in AI. The process is often guided by axioms postulating…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2022-01-04 Jan Maly

Motivated by problems in insurance, our task is to predict finite upper bounds on a future draw from an unknown distribution $p$ over the set of natural numbers. We can only use past observations generated independently and identically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-05-02 Narayana Santhanam , Venkat Anantharam

We investigate the occurrence of additive and multiplicative structures in random subsets of the natural numbers. Specifically, for a Bernoulli random subset of $\mathbb{N}$ where each integer is included independently with probability…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-11-03 Sukrit Chakraborty , Sayan Goswami , Sourav Kanti Patra

Within the Kolmogorov theory of probability, Bayes' rule allows one to perform statistical inference by relating conditional probabilities to unconditional probabilities. As we show here, however, there is a continuous set of alternative…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-05 Samuel G. Rodriques

We solve a generalised form of a conjecture of Kalai motivated by attempts to improve the bounds for Borsuk's problem. The conjecture can be roughly understood as asking for an analogue of the Frankl-R\"odl forbidden intersection theorem in…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2017-06-13 Peter Keevash , Eoin Long

Inference over tails is performed by applying only the results of extreme value theory. Whilst such theory is well defined and flexible enough in the univariate case, multivariate inferential methods often require the imposition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-11 Manuele Leonelli , Dani Gamerman

We formulate necessary and sufficient conditions for an arbitrary discrete probability distribution to factor according to an undirected graphical model, or a log-linear model, or other more general exponential models. This result…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-07 Dan Geiger , Christopher Meek , Bernd Sturmfels

We introduce a geometric generalization of Hall's marriage theorem. For any family $F = \{X_1, \dots, X_m\}$ of finite sets in $\mathbb{R}^d$, we give conditions under which it is possible to choose a point $x_i\in X_i$ for every $1\leq i…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2016-02-02 Andreas Holmsen , Leonardo Martinez-Sandoval , Luis Montejano

We introduce a new approach to modeling uncertainty based on plausibility measures. This approach is easily seen to generalize other approaches to modeling uncertainty, such as probability measures, belief functions, and possibility…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-31 Nir Friedman , Joseph Y. Halpern

We consider the theory of algebraically closed fields of characteristic zero with multivalued operations $x\mapsto x^r$ (raising to powers). It is in fact the theory of equations in exponential sums. In an earlier paper we have described…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-01-15 Boris Zilber

The classical multivariate extreme-value theory concerns the modeling of extremes in a multivariate random sample, suggesting the use of max-stable distributions. In this work, the classical theory is extended to the case where aggregated…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-12 Enkelejd Hashorva , Simone A. Padoan , Stefano Rizzelli

In this paper, we consider the problem of replicable realizable PAC learning. We construct a particularly hard learning problem and show a sample complexity lower bound with a close to $(\log|H|)^{3/2}$ dependence on the size of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Kasper Green Larsen , Markus Engelund Mathiasen , Chirag Pabbaraju , Clement Svendsen

A {\em maximal inequality} seeks to estimate $\mathbb{E}\max_i X_i$ in terms of properties of the $X_i$. When the latter are independent, the union bound (in its various guises) can yield tight upper bounds. If, however, the $X_i$ are…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-25 Aryeh Kontorovich

Estimating a constrained relation is a fundamental problem in machine learning. Special cases are classification (the problem of estimating a map from a set of to-be-classified elements to a set of labels), clustering (the problem of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-06 Lizhen Qu , Bjoern Andres

The discovery of causal relationships is a foundational problem in artificial intelligence, statistics, epidemiology, economics, and beyond. While elegant theories exist for accurate causal discovery given infinite data, real-world…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-28 Mian Wei , Somesh Jha , David Page

Let $\{U(n)\}_{n \geq 0}$ be a sequence of independent random variables such that $U(n)$ is distributed uniformly on $\{0, 1, 2 \dots n\}$. The Ulam-Kac adder is the history-dependent random sequence defined by $X_{n + 1} = X_{n} +…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-03 Gage Bonner