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Deep neural networks generalize well despite being heavily overparameterized, in apparent contradiction with classical learning theory based on uniform convergence over fixed hypothesis spaces. Uniform bounds over the entire parameter space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-15 Hubert Leroux , Jean Marcus , Julien Roger

We introduce a tool for analysing models of $\textnormal{CT}^-$, the compositional truth theory over Peano Arithmetic. We present a new proof of Lachlan's theorem that arithmetical part of models of $\textnormal{PA}$ are recursively…

Logic · Mathematics 2020-10-16 Roman Kossak , Bartosz Wcisło

We establish finite-step probabilistic upper bounds on the contraction ratios $\rho_k = \Delta_{k+1}/\Delta_k$ for iterated Pearson correlation dynamics. Let $(P_k)_{k\ge 0}$ be the sequence generated by the Pearson update. Define $\Delta_k…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-16 Ishrak AlhajjHassan

We provide a formal, simple and intuitive theory of rational decision making including sequential decisions that affect the environment. The theory has a geometric flavor, which makes the arguments easy to visualize and understand. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-02-10 Peter Sunehag , Marcus Hutter

Simultaneous estimation of multiple parameters is required in many practical applications. A lower bound on the variance of simultaneous estimation is given by the quantum Fisher information matrix. This lower bound is, however, not…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Shingo Kukita

This paper deals with the numerical approximation of normalizing constants produced by particle methods, in the general framework of Feynman-Kac sequences of measures. It is well-known that the corresponding estimates satisfy a central…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-07-02 Jean Bérard , Pierre Del-Moral , Arnaud Doucet

We formalize constraint-based structure learning of the "true" causal graph from observed data when unobserved variables are also existent. We provide conditions for a "natural" family of constraint-based structure-learning algorithms that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Kayvan Sadeghi , Terry Soo

We study the minimum number of constraints needed to formulate random instances of the maximum stable set problem via linear programs (LPs), in two distinct models. In the uniform model, the constraints of the LP are not allowed to depend…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2016-10-26 Gábor Braun , Samuel Fiorini , Sebastian Pokutta

A non-classical formulation of the central limit theorem is given for sequences of independent random variables with finite second moments. Singular sequences whose members all have a degenerate or normal distribution are excluded from…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Alexander Shmyrov , Vasily Shmyrov

We derive upper bounds on the tail conditional expectation of binomial and Poisson random variables. Those upper bounds are subsequently employed to the problem of obtaining non-asymptotic lower bounds on the probability that the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-07 Christos Pelekis

We give a number of results about families of Ulam sets. Generalizing behavior of Ulam sets U(1,n), we prove using an novel model theoretic approach that there is a rigidity phenomenon for Ulam sets U(a,b) as b increases. Based on this, we…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-02 Joshua Hinman , Borys Kuca , Alexander Schlesinger , Arseniy Sheydvasser

We examine a generalization of the binomial distribution associated with a strictly increasing sequence of numbers and we prove its Poisson-like limit. Such generalizations might be found in quantum optics with imperfect detection. We…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 E. M. F. Curado , J. P. Gazeau , Ligia M. C. S. Rodrigues

We extend Friedman's theorem to show that, for any fixed $r>1$, a random $2r$--regular Schreier graph associated with the action of $r$ uniformly random permutations of $[n]$ on $k_{n}$--tuples of distinct elements in $[n]$ has a…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-27 Ewan Cassidy

We define extrapolation as any type of statistical inference on a conditional function (e.g., a conditional expectation or conditional quantile) evaluated outside of the support of the conditioning variable. This type of extrapolation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-13 Niklas Pfister , Peter Bühlmann

In traditional hypothesis testing one must pre-specify the significance level $\alpha$ to bound the `size' of the test: its probability to falsely reject the hypothesis. Indeed, a data-dependent selection of $\alpha$ would generally distort…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-03 Nick W. Koning

We propose a generalisation of the Cameron-Erdos conjecture for sum-free sets to arbitrary non-translation invariant linear equations over Z in three or more variables and, using well-known methods from graph theory, prove a weak form of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2010-09-17 Peter Hegarty

Full likelihood inference under Kingman's coalescent is a computationally challenging problem to which importance sampling (IS) and the product of approximate conditionals (PAC) method have been applied successfully. Both methods can be…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-29 Jere Koskela , Paul A. Jenkins , Dario Spano

Given a fixed graph H, what is the (exponentially small) probability that the number X_H of copies of H in the binomial random graph G_{n,p} is at least twice its mean? Studied intensively since the mid 1990s, this so-called infamous upper…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-09 Matas Šileikis , Lutz Warnke

We revisit classic balancing problems for linear extensions of a partially ordered set $P$, proving results that go far beyond many of the best earlier results on this topic. For example, with $p(x\prec y)$ the probability that $x$ precedes…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-09-16 Max Aires , Jeff Kahn

We give a complete expansion, at any accuracy order, for the iterated convolution of a complex valued integrable sequence in one space dimension. The remainders are estimated sharply with generalized Gaussian bounds. The result applies in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-11-14 Jean-François Coulombel , Grégory Faye
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