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In this paper, we develop new test statistics for private hypothesis testing. These statistics are designed specifically so that their asymptotic distributions, after accounting for noise added for privacy concerns, match the asymptotics of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-26 Daniel Kifer , Ryan Rogers

As a generalization of Dempster-Shafer theory, D number theory (DNT) aims to provide a framework to deal with uncertain information with non-exclusiveness and incompleteness. Although there are some advances on DNT in previous studies,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-03-24 Xinyang Deng

We theoretically analyze the problem of testing for $p$-hacking based on distributions of $p$-values across multiple studies. We provide general results for when such distributions have testable restrictions (are non-increasing) under the…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-05-13 Graham Elliott , Nikolay Kudrin , Kaspar Wuthrich

Modern studies increasingly leverage outcomes predicted by machine learning and artificial intelligence (AI/ML) models, and recent work, such as prediction-powered inference (PPI), has developed valid downstream statistical inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-18 Yiqun T. Chen , Moran Guo , Shengy Li

A standard practice in statistical hypothesis testing is to mention the p-value alongside the accept/reject decision. We show the advantages of mentioning an e-value instead. With p-values, it is not clear how to use an extreme observation…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-04 Peter Grünwald

Evidence-based deep learning represents a burgeoning paradigm for uncertainty estimation, offering reliable predictions with negligible extra computational overheads. Existing methods usually adopt Kullback-Leibler divergence to estimate…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-04-18 Yan Zhang , Ming Li , Chun Li , Zhaoxia Liu , Ye Zhang , Fei Richard Yu

Metric Diophantine approximation in its classical form is the study of how well almost all real numbers can be approximated by rationals. There is a long history of results which give partial answers to this problem, but there are still…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2009-07-02 Alan K. Haynes

Hypothesis tests calibrated by (re)sampling methods (such as permutation, rank and bootstrap tests) are useful tools for statistical analysis, at the computational cost of requiring Monte-Carlo sampling for calibration. It is common and…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-30 Ivo V. Stoepker , Rui M. Castro

This article develops $p$-values for evaluating means of normal populations that make use of indirect or prior information. A $p$-value of this type is based on a biased test statistic that is optimal on average with respect to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-12-12 Peter D. Hoff

Optimal individualized treatment decision-making has improved health outcomes in recent years. The value function is commonly used to evaluate the goodness of an individualized treatment decision rule. Despite recent advances, comparing…

The concept of Entropy plays a key role in Information Theory, Statistics, and Machine Learning.This paper introduces a new entropy measure, called the t-entropy, which exploits the concavity of the inverse-tan function. We analytically…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2021-05-06 Saptarshi Chakraborty , Debolina Paul , Swagatam Das

Stemming from de Finetti's work on finitely additive coherent probabilities, the paradigm of coherence has been applied to many uncertainty calculi in order to remove structural restrictions on the domain of the assessment. Three possible…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-30 Davide Petturiti , Barbara Vantaggi

We introduce pseudo-deterministic interactive proofs (psdAM): interactive proof systems for search problems where the verifier is guaranteed with high probability to output the same output on different executions. As in the case with…

Computational Complexity · Computer Science 2017-06-16 Shafi Goldwasser , Ofer Grossman , Dhiraj Holden

Hypothesis testing is a useful statistical tool in determining whether a given model should be rejected based on a sample from the population. Sample data may contain sensitive information about individuals, such as medical information.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-03 Marco Gaboardi , Hyun woo Lim , Ryan Rogers , Salil Vadhan

Influence diagnosis is important since presence of influential observations could lead to distorted analysis and misleading interpretations. For high-dimensional data, it is particularly so, as the increased dimensionality and complexity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-27 Junlong Zhao , Chenlei Leng , Lexin Li , Hansheng Wang

Statistical significance of both the original and the replication study is a commonly used criterion to assess replication attempts, also known as the two-trials rule in drug development. However, replication studies are sometimes conducted…

Applications · Statistics 2024-05-31 Leonhard Held , Samuel Pawel , Charlotte Micheloud

In an earlier article [J. Schubert, On nonspecific evidence, Int. J. Intell. Syst. 8(6), 711-725 (1993)] we established within Dempster-Shafer theory a criterion function called the metaconflict function. With this criterion we can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Johan Schubert

Standard inference about a scalar parameter estimated via GMM amounts to applying a t-test to a particular set of observations. If the number of observations is not very large, then moderately heavy tails can lead to poor behavior of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-07-15 Ulrich K. Mueller

There are two distinct definitions of 'P-value' for evaluating a proposed hypothesis or model for the process generating an observed dataset. The original definition starts with a measure of the divergence of the dataset from what was…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2023-09-25 Sander Greenland

Medical imaging involves high-dimensional data, yet their acquisition is obtained for limited samples. Multivariate predictive models have become popular in the last decades to fit some external variables from imaging data, and standard…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Jérôme-Alexis Chevalier , Joseph Salmon , Bertrand Thirion