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The large-scale deployment of wind power is central to Europe`s energy transition but faces challenges due to its social and environmental impacts on communities. Here we assess how the tolerance of local stakeholders to such impacts…

The expansion of wind and solar power is driving the European energy system transformation, thereby also driving our reliance on this weather-dependent resources. Integrating renewable scarcity events into long-term planning has therefore…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-11 Maximilian Bernecker , Smaranda Sgarciu , Xiaoming Kan , Mehrnaz Anvari , Iegor Riepin , Felix Müsgens

The decarbonisation of heat in developed economies represents a significant challenge, with increased penetration of electrical heating technologies potentially leading to unprecedented increases in peak electricity demand. This work…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-05-26 Matthew Deakin , Sarah Sheehy , David M. Greenwood , Sara Walker , Phil C. Taylor

In this paper, we aim to analyse the impact of hydrogen production decarbonisation and electrification scenarios on the infrastructure development, generation mix, $CO_{2}$ emissions, and system costs of the European power system,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-12-12 Germán Morales-España , Ricardo Hernández-Serna , Diego A. Tejada-Arango , Marcel Weeda

Growth of intermittent renewable energy and climate change make it increasingly difficult to manage electricity demand variability. Centralized storage can help but is costly. An alternative is to shift demand. Cooling and heating demands…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-23 Michael J. Roberts , Sisi Zhang , Eleanor Yuan , James Jones , Matthias Fripp

To reach ambitious European CO$_2$ emission reduction targets, most scenarios of future European electricity systems rely on large shares of wind and solar photovoltaic power generation. We interpolate between two concepts for balancing the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-06-19 David P. Schlachtberger , Tom Brown , Stefan Schramm , Martin Greiner

Long-term planning of a robust power system requires the understanding of changing demand patterns. Electricity demand is highly weather sensitive. Thus, the supply side variation from introducing intermittent renewable sources, juxtaposed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Reshmi Ghosh , Michael Craig , H. Scott Matthews , Constantine Samaras , Laure Berti-Equille

Future greenhouse gas neutral energy systems will be dominated by renewable energy technologies providing variable supply subject to uncertain weather conditions. For this setting, we propose an algorithm for capacity expansion planning: We…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-02 Sebastian Kebrich , Felix Engelhardt , David Franzmann , Christina Büsing , Jochen Linßen , Heidi Heinrichs

The demand for electricity is undergoing considerable spatial and temporal change. With the uptake of efficient technologies and increased electrification, a better understanding of how potential changes in demand patterns can affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-08-13 Conrad Zorn , Elco Koks , Sven Eggimann

Despite the coupled nature of water and electricity demand, the two utilities are often managed by different entities with minimal interaction. Neglecting the water-energy demand nexus leads to to suboptimal management decisions,…

Applications · Statistics 2023-11-02 Renee Obringer , Roshanak Nateghi , Jessica Knee , Kaveh Madani , Rohini Kumar

The power grid is experiencing a multi-fold transformation while the global climate evolves with record-breaking extreme temperatures during heat domes, polar vortices, and severe ice. Over the decades, these extreme temperature events have…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-24 Kishan Prudhvi Guddanti , Alok Kumar Bharati , Sameer Nekkalapu , Joseph McWheter , Scott Morris

Decisions related to electric power systems planning and operations rely on assumptions and insights informed by historic weather data and records of past performance. Evolving climate trends are, however, changing the energy use patterns…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-12-09 Anna M. Brockway , Laurel N. Dunn

The future energy system will largely depend on volatile renewable energy sources and temperature-dependent loads, which makes the weather a central influencing factor. This article presents a novel approach for simulating weather scenarios…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-31 Jan Peper , David Kröger , Jonathan Kipp , Florian Ziel , Christian Rehtanz

In highly renewable power systems the increased weather dependence can result in new resilience challenges, such as renewable energy droughts, or a lack of sufficient renewable generation at times of high demand. The weather conditions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-06-21 Aleksander Grochowicz , Koen van Greevenbroek , Hannah C. Bloomfield

The decarbonization of buildings requires the phase-out of fossil fuel heating systems. Heat pumps are considered a crucial technology to supply a substantial part of heating energy for buildings. Yet, their introduction is not without…

General Economics · Economics 2023-12-12 Alexander Roth

Recent studies indicate that the effects of inter-annual climate-based variability in power system planning are significant and that long samples of demand & weather data (spanning multiple decades) should be considered. At the same time,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-30 Adriaan P Hilbers , David J Brayshaw , Axel Gandy

The transition to net-zero emissions in Europe is determined by a patchwork of country-level and EU-wide policy, creating coordination challenges in an interconnected system. We use an optimisation model to map out near-optimal energy…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-30 Koen van Greevenbroek , Aleksander Grochowicz , Marianne Zeyringer , Fred Espen Benth

Climate and energy policy targets of the European Commission aim to make Europe the first climate-neutral continent by 2050. For low-carbon and net-neutral energy systems primarily based on variable renewable power generation, issues…

General Economics · Economics 2025-06-06 Diana Böttger , Philipp Härtel

Several research studies have shown that future sustainable electricity systems, mostly based on renewable generation and storage, are feasible with current technologies and costs. However, recent episodes of extreme weather conditions,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-09-26 Francisco Gutierrez-Garcia , Angel Arcos-Vargas , Antonio Gomez-Exposito

Weather is one of the main drivers of both the power demand and supply, especially in the Nordic region which is characterized by high heating needs and a high share of renewable energy. Furthermore, ambitious decarbonization plans may…

General Economics · Economics 2021-12-07 Ian M. Trotter , Torjus F. Bolkesjø , Eirik O. Jåstad , Jon Gustav Kirkerud