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Renewal processes with heavy-tailed power law distributed sojourn times are commonly encountered in physical modelling and so typical fluctuations of observables of interest have been investigated in detail. To describe rare events the rate…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-10-26 Wanli Wang , Johannes H. P. Schulz , Weihua Deng , Eli Barkai

The large time behavior of solutions to the following generalized Burgers-Fisher-KPP equation $$ \partial_tu=u_{xx}+k(u^n)_x+u^p-u^q, \quad (x,t)\in\mathbb{R}\times(0,\infty), $$ with $n\geq2$, $p>q\geq1$ and $k\in\mathbb{R}$, is considered…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2026-04-27 Razvan Gabriel Iagar , Ariel Sánchez

Denoising diffusion probabilistic models (DDPMs) represent a recent advance in generative modelling that has delivered state-of-the-art results across many domains of applications. Despite their success, a rigorous theoretical understanding…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Miha Brešar , Aleksandar Mijatović

Linear nonautonomous/random parabolic partial differential equations are considered under the Dirichlet, Neumann or Robin boundary conditions, where both the zero order coefficients in the equation and the coefficients in the boundary…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2017-08-23 Janusz Mierczyński , Wenxian Shen

The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process is interpreted as Brownian motion in a harmonic potential. This Gaussian Markov process has a bounded variance and admits a stationary probability distribution, in contrast to the standard Brownian motion. It…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-06-07 Pece Trajanovski , Petar Jolakoski , Kiril Zelenkovski , Alexander Iomin , Ljupco Kocarev , Trifce Sandev

Time series regression models are commonly used in time series analysis. However, in modern real-world applications, serially correlated data with an ultra-high dimension and fat tails are prevalent. This presents a challenge in developing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-21 Linbo Liu , Danna Zhang

We study the loss, recovery, and preservation of differentiability of time-dependent large deviation rate functions. This study is motivated by mean-field Gibbs-non-Gibbs transitions. The gradient of the rate-function evolves according to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-14 Richard C. Kraaij , Frank Redig , Willem B. van Zuijlen

Our goal is to establish large deviations and concentration inequalities for the maximum likelihood estimator of the drift parameter of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process without tears. We propose a new strategy to establish large deviation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-09 Bernard Bercu , Adrien Richou

The first-passage problem of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process to a boundary is a long-standing problem with no known closed-form solution except in specific cases. Taking this as a starting-point, and extending to a general mean-reverting…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2020-02-27 R. J. Martin , M. J. Kearney , R. V. Craster

We consider a diffusion process on $\mathbb R^n$ and prove a large deviation principle for the empirical process in the joint limit in which the time window diverges and the noise vanishes. The corresponding rate function is given by the…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-31 Lorenzo Bertini , Davide Gabrielli , Claudio Landim

In this work we study a continuous time exponential utility maximization problem in the presence of a linear temporary price impact. More precisely, for the case where the risky asset is given by the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck diffusion process we…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-01 Yan Dolinsky

A large deviations principle is established for the joint law of the empirical measure and the flow measure of a renewal Markov process on a finite graph. We do not assume any bound on the arrival times, allowing heavy tailed distributions.…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-18 Mauro Mariani , Lorenzo Zambotti

In this paper, we study the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck bridge process (i.e. the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process conditioned to start and end at fixed points) constraints to have a fixed area under its path. We present both anticipative (in this case, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-10-11 Alain Mazzolo

We study a class of reflected McKean-Vlasov diffusions over a convex domain with self-stabilizing coefficients. This includes coefficients that do not satisfy the classical Wasserstein Lipschitz condition. Further, the process is…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-19 Daniel Adams , Gonçalo dos Reis , Romain Ravaille , William Salkeld , Julian Tugaut

We introduce stochastic volatility models, in which the volatility is described by a time-dependent nonnegative function of a reflecting diffusion. The idea to use reflecting diffusions as building blocks of the volatility came into being…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-06-30 Archil Gulisashvili

I introduce a general, Bayesian method for modelling univariate time series data assumed to be drawn from a continuous, stochastic process. The method accommodates arbitrary temporal sampling, and takes into account measurement…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-24 C. A. L. Bailer-Jones

Diffusion processes on trees are commonly used in evolutionary biology to model the joint distribution of continuous traits, such as body mass, across species. Estimating the parameters of such processes from tip values presents challenges…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-27 Cécile Ané , Lam Si Tung Ho , Sebastien Roch

We prove some efficient inference results concerning estimation of a Ornstein-Uhlenbeck regression model, which is driven by a non-Gaussian stable Levy process and where the output process is observed at high-frequency over a fixed time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Hiroki Masuda

The Pearson family of ergodic diffusions with a quadratic diffusion coefficient and a linear force are characterized by explicit dynamics of their integer moments and by explicit relaxation spectral properties towards their steady state.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-08-14 Cecile Monthus

We consider the extreme value statistics of correlated random variables that arise from a Langevin equation. Recently, it was shown that the extreme values of the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process follow a different distribution than those…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Lior Zarfaty , Eli Barkai , David A. Kessler