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Model uncertainty is pervasive in real world analysis situations and is an often-neglected issue in applied statistics. However, standard approaches to the research process do not address the inherent uncertainty in model building and,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-01 Mariana Nold , Florian Meinfelder , David Kaplan

We consider a stochastic partial differential equation close to bifurcation of pitchfork type, where a one-dimensional space changes its stability. For finite-time Lyapunov exponents we characterize regions depending on the distance from…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-04-24 Dirk Blömker , Alexandra Neamtu

The method, proposed in the given work, allows the application of well developed standard methods used in quantum mechanics for approximate solution of the systems of ordinary linear differential equations with periodical coefficients.

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 A. G. Kvirikadze , M. D. Zviadadze , T. V. Tavdgiridze , I. G. Tavelidze

Spatially distributed problems are often approximately modelled in terms of partial differential equations (PDEs) for appropriate coarse-grained quantities (e.g. concentrations). The derivation of accurate such PDEs starting from finer…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Liang Qiao , Radek Erban , C. T. Kelley , Ioannis G. Kevrekidis

This work deals with optimal control problems as a strategy to drive bifurcating solution of nonlinear parametrized partial differential equations towards a desired branch. Indeed, for these governing equations, multiple solution…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-08-08 Federico Pichi , Maria Strazzullo , Francesco Ballarin , Gianluigi Rozza

Accurate state estimation requires careful consideration of uncertainty surrounding the process and measurement models; these characteristics are usually not well-known and need an experienced designer to select the covariance matrices. An…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-18 Pardha Sai Krishna Ala , Ameya Salvi , Venkat Krovi , Matthias Schmid

Polynomial chaos is a powerful technique for propagating uncertainty through ordinary and partial differential equations. Random variables are expanded in terms of orthogonal polynomials and differential equations are derived for the…

Computation · Statistics 2014-06-18 José Miguel Pasini , Tuhin Sahai

Control of nonlinear distributed parameter systems (DPS) under uncertainty is a meaningful task for many industrial processes. However, both intrinsic uncertainty and high dimensionality of DPS require intensive computations, while…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-10-17 Min Tao , Ioannis Zacharopoulos , Constantinos Theodoropoulos

We propose a method to sample stationary properties of solutions of stochastic differential equations, which is accurate and efficient if there are rarely visited regions or rare transitions between distinct regions of the state space. The…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-03-23 Rüdiger Kürsten , Ulrich Behn

We discuss certain basic features of the equation-free (EF) approach to modeling and computation for complex/multiscale systems. We focus on links between the equation-free approach and tools from systems and control theory (design of…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2007-05-23 C. I. Siettos , R. Rico-Martinez , I. G. kevrekidis

While convergence of polynomial chaos approximation for linear equations is relatively well understood, a lot less is known for non-linear equations. The paper investigates this convergence for a particular equation with quadratic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-07-27 S. V. Lototsky , R. Mikulevicius , B. L. Rozovsky

This paper introduces a new generalized polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) comprising measure-consistent multivariate orthonormal polynomials in dependent random variables. Unlike existing PCEs, whether classical or generalized, no…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-04-17 Sharif Rahman

Uncertainties are abundant in complex systems. Mathematical models for these systems thus contain random effects or noises. The models are often in the form of stochastic differential equations, with some parameters to be determined by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Jiarui Yang , Jinqiao Duan

We propose a non-intrusive reduced-order modeling method based on proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and polynomial chaos expansion (PCE) for stochastic representations in uncertainty quantification (UQ) analysis. Firstly, POD provides…

Computational Physics · Physics 2021-07-02 Xiang Sun , Xiaomin Pan , Jung-Il Choi

A general framework for principal component analysis (PCA) in the presence of heteroskedastic noise is introduced. We propose an algorithm called HeteroPCA, which involves iteratively imputing the diagonal entries of the sample covariance…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-02 Anru R. Zhang , T. Tony Cai , Yihong Wu

We address the problem of approximating the moments of the solution, $\boldsymbol{X}(t)$, of an It\^o stochastic differential equation (SDE) with drift and a diffusion terms over a time-grid $t_0, t_1, \ldots, t_n$. In particular, we assume…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-06-14 Albert López-Yela , Joaquin Miguez

Classical methods such as Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Canonical Correlation Analysis (CCA) are ubiquitous in statistics. However, these techniques are only able to reveal linear relationships in data. Although nonlinear variants…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-05-14 David Lopez-Paz , Suvrit Sra , Alex Smola , Zoubin Ghahramani , Bernhard Schölkopf

Designing controllers for systems affected by model uncertainty can prove to be a challenge, especially when seeking the optimal compromise between the conflicting goals of identification and control. This trade-off is explicitly taken into…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-30 Elena Arcari , Lukas Hewing , Max Schlichting , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Compressive sampling has been widely used for sparse polynomial chaos (PC) approximation of stochastic functions. The recovery accuracy of compressive sampling highly depends on the incoherence properties of the measurement matrix. In this…

Computation · Statistics 2018-10-17 Negin Alemazkoor , Hadi Meidani

The Statistical Finite Element Method (statFEM) offers a Bayesian framework for integrating computational models with observational data, thus providing improved predictions for structural health monitoring and digital twinning. This paper…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-03-26 Vahab Narouie , Henning Wessels , Fehmi Cirak , Ulrich Römer