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Causal effect estimation is important for many tasks in the natural and social sciences. We design algorithms for the continuous partial identification problem: bounding the effects of multivariate, continuous treatments when unmeasured…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-18 Kirtan Padh , Jakob Zeitler , David Watson , Matt Kusner , Ricardo Silva , Niki Kilbertus

A fundamental issue in nonlinear dynamics and statistical physics is how to distinguish chaotic from stochastic fluctuations in short experimental recordings. This dilemma underlies many complex systems models from stochastic gene…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2010-04-12 Chi-Sang Poon , Cheng Li , Guo-Qiang Wu

Probabilistic modeling provides the capability to represent and manipulate uncertainty in data, models, predictions and decisions. We are concerned with the problem of learning probabilistic models of dynamical systems from measured data.…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-14 Thomas B. Schön , Andreas Svensson , Lawrence Murray , Fredrik Lindsten

By means of a linear scaling of the variables we convert a singular bifurcation equation in $\R^n$ into an equivalent equation to which the classical implicit function theorem can be directly applied. This allows to deduce the existence of…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2009-09-24 Mikhail Kamenskii , Oleg Makarenkov , Paolo Nistri

We develop a new paradigm for finding bifurcations of solutions of nonlinear problems, which is based on the detection of extreme values of new type of variational functional associated with the considering problem. The variational…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2014-11-11 Yavdat Il'yasov , Alexsandr Ivanov

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

Stochastic parametrisations are used in weather and climate models to improve the representation of unpredictable unresolved processes. When compared to a deterministic model, a stochastic model represents `model uncertainty', i.e., sources…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-04-22 Hannah M. Christensen

This work proposes a data-driven approach for bifurcation analysis in nonlinear systems when the governing differential equations are not available. Specifically, regularized regression with barrier terms is used to learn a homeomorphism…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-12 Wentao Tang

We combine conditional state density construction with an extension of the Scenario Approach for stochastic Model Predictive Control to nonlinear systems to yield a novel particle-based formulation of stochastic nonlinear output-feedback…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-05-01 Martin A. Sehr , Robert R. Bitmead

We study the Allen-Cahn equation with a cubic-quintic nonlinear term and a stochastic $Q$-trace-class stochastic forcing in two spatial dimensions. This stochastic partial differential equation (SPDE) is used as a test case to understand,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Christian Kuehn

Mathematical models are essential for understanding and making predictions about systems arising in nature and engineering. Yet, mathematical models are a simplification of true phenomena, thus making predictions subject to uncertainty.…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-03 Mark Hobbs , Hussein Rappel , Tim Dodwell

In partial differential equations-based (PDE-based) inverse problems with many measurements, many large-scale discretized PDEs must be solved for each evaluation of the misfit or objective function. In the nonlinear case, evaluating the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-07-18 Selin Aslan , Eric de Sturler , Misha E. Kilmer

Numerical simulation of stochastic differential equations over long time intervals poses significant computational challenges. In this paper, we propose a novel recursive polynomial chaos evolution method that achieves model reduction…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Guillaume Bal , Shengbo Ma , Su Zhang , Zhiwen Zhang

Covariance matrix estimation and principal component analysis (PCA) are two cornerstones of multivariate analysis. Classic textbook solutions perform poorly when the dimension of the data is of a magnitude similar to the sample size, or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-25 Olivier Ledoit , Michael Wolf

We present a general method for systematically investigating the dynamics and bifurcations of a physical nonlinear experiment. In particular, we show how the odd-number limitation inherent in popular non-invasive control schemes, such as…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-02-05 David A. W. Barton , Jan Sieber

Many complex systems occurring in the natural or social sciences or economics are frequently described on a microscopic level, e.g., by lattice- or agent-based models. To analyze the states of such systems and their bifurcation structure on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2020-10-07 Clemens Willers , Uwe Thiele , Andrew J. Archer , David J. B. Lloyd , Oliver Kamps

We consider numerical methods for linear parabolic equations in one spatial dimension having piecewise constant diffusion coefficients defined by a one parameter family of interface conditions at the discontinuity. We construct immersed…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-31 V. A. Bokil , N. L. Gibson , S. L. Nguyen , E. A. Thomann , E. Waymire

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

Physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) have recently emerged as an alternative way of solving partial differential equations (PDEs) without the need of building elaborate grids, instead, using a straightforward implementation. In…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-09-04 Dongkun Zhang , Lu Lu , Ling Guo , George Em Karniadakis

We consider chance-constrained problems with discrete random distribution. We aim for problems with a large number of scenarios. We propose a novel method based on the stochastic gradient descent method which performs updates of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-28 Lukáš Adam , Martin Branda
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