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We study a multivariate autoregressive stochastic volatility model for the first 3 principal components (level, slope, curvature) of 10 series of zero-coupon Treasury bond rates with maturities from 1 to 10 years. We fit this model using…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-22 Jihyun Park , Andrey Sarantsev

Spot option prices, forwards and options on forwards relevant for the commodity markets are computed when the underlying process S is modelled as an exponential of a process {\xi} with memory as e.g. a L\'evy semi-stationary process.…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Fred Espen Benth , Asma Khedher , Michèle Vanmaele

We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-12 Thomas Krak , Alexander Erreygers , Jasper De Bock

Explicitly taking into account the risk incurred when borrowing at a shorter tenor versus lending at a longer tenor ("roll-over risk"), we construct a stochastic model framework for the term structure of interest rates in which a frequency…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-19 Mesias Alfeus , Martino Grasselli , Erik Schlögl

We derive the short-maturity asymptotics for option prices in the local volatility model in a new short-maturity limit $T\to 0$ at fixed $\rho = (r-q) T$, where $r$ is the interest rate and $q$ is the dividend yield. In cases of practical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-23 Dan Pirjol , Lingjiong Zhu

In this paper we consider the pricing of options on interest rates such as caplets and swaptions in the L\'evy Libor model developed by Eberlein and \"Ozkan (2005). This model is an extension to L\'evy driving processes of the classical…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-21 Zorana Grbac , David Krief , Peter Tankov

We describe a model for evolving commodity forward prices that incorporates three important dynamics which appear in many commodity markets: mean reversion in spot prices and the resulting Samuelson effect on volatility term structure,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-10 Mark Higgins

This paper provides a discrete time LIBOR analog, which can be used for arbitrage-free discretization of Levy LIBOR models or discrete approximation of continuous time LIBOR market models. Using the work of Eberlein and Oezkan as an…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-06-08 Andreas Hula

Over the last decade, dividends have become a standalone asset class instead of a mere side product of an equity investment. We introduce a framework based on polynomial jump-diffusions to jointly price the term structures of dividends and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-26 Damir Filipović , Sander Willems

We propose a new model for the joint evolution of the European inflation rate, the European Central Bank official interest rate and the short-term interest rate, in a stochastic, continuous time setting. We derive the valuation equation for…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-12-22 F. Antonacci , C. Costantini , F. D'Ippoliti , M. Papi

This paper proposes a market consistent valuation framework for variable annuities with guaranteed minimum accumulation benefit, death benefit and surrender benefit features. The setup is based on a hybrid model for the financial market and…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-05-24 Laura Ballotta , Ernst Eberlein , Thorsten Schmidt , Raghid Zeineddine

In a financial market, for agents with long investment horizons or at times of severe market stress, it is often changes in the asset price that act as the trigger for transactions or shifts in investment position. This suggests the use of…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-13 H. Lamba

In this paper we are interested in term structure models for pricing zero coupon bonds under rapidly oscillating stochastic volatility. We analyze solutions to the generalized Cox-Ingersoll-Ross two factors model describing clustering of…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 B. Stehlikova , D. Sevcovic

Guyon and Lekeufack recently proposed a path-dependent volatility model and documented its excellent performance in fitting market data and capturing stylized facts. The instantaneous volatility is modeled as a linear combination of two…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-03 Marcel Nutz , Andrés Riveros Valdevenito

We propose a projection method to estimate risk-neutral moments from option prices. We derive a finite-sample bound implying that the projection estimator attains (up to a constant) the smallest pricing error within the span of traded…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-22 Tjeerd De Vries

This paper presents a convenient framework for modeling default process and pricing derivative securities involving credit risk. The framework provides an integrated view of credit valuation adjustment by linking distance-to-default,…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-08 David Xiao

In this paper, we relax the power parameter of instantaneous variance and develop a new stochastic volatility plus jumps model that generalize the Heston model and 3/2 model as special cases. This model has two distinctive features. First,…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-20 Wei Lin , Shenghong Li , Shane Chern

Stochastic delay differential equations (SDDE's) have been used for financial modeling. In this article, we study a SDDE obtained by the equation of a CIR process, with an additional fixed delay term in drift; in particular, we prove that…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-05 Federico Flore , Giovanna Nappo

Recent empirical studies suggest that the volatilities associated with financial time series exhibit short-range correlations. This entails that the volatility process is very rough and its autocorrelation exhibits sharp decay at the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-17 Josselin Garnier , Knut Solna

Motivated by the application to German interest rates, we propose a timevarying autoregressive model for short and long term prediction of time series that exhibit a temporary non-stationary behavior but are assumed to mean revert in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Christoph Berninger , Almond Stöcker , David Rügamer