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Accurately forecasting the price of oil, the world's most actively traded commodity, is of great importance to both academics and practitioners. We contribute by proposing a functional time series based method to model and forecast oil…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-09 Fearghal Kearney , Han Lin Shang

This paper develops a model of liquidity provision in financial markets by adapting the Madhavan, Richardson, and Roomans (1997) price formation model to realistic order books with quote discretization and liquidity rebates. We postulate…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-08 Julius Bonart , Fabrizio Lillo

This paper develops general approaches for pricing various types of American-style Parisian options (down-in/-out, perpetual/finite-maturity) with general payoff functions based on continuous-time Markov chain (CTMC) approximation under…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-17 Yuhao Liu , Nian Yang , Gongqiu Zhang

We introduce a new restarting scheme for a continuous inertial dynamics with Hessian driven-damping, and establish a linear convergence rate for the function values along the restarted trajectories. The proposed routine is implemented…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-13 Juan José Maulén , Huiyuan Guo , Juan Peypouquet

In this paper, we propose a flexible cure rate model with frailty term in latent risk, which is obtained by incorporating a frailty term in risk function of latent competing causes. The number of competing causes of the event of interest…

In this paper we present a simple, but new, approximation methodology for pricing a call option in a Black \& Scholes market characterized by stochastic interest rates. The method, based on a straightforward Gaussian moment matching…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-29 Fabio Antonelli , Alessandro Ramponi , Sergio Scarlatti

This paper deals with the problem of discrete-time option pricing by the mixed fractional version of Merton model with transaction costs. By a mean-self-financing delta hedging argument in a discrete-time setting, a European call option…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-02 Foad Shokrollahi

In quantitative finance, we often model asset prices as a noisy Ito semimartingale. As this model is not identifiable, approximating by a time-changed Levy process can be useful for generative modelling. We give a new estimate of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-17 Adam D. Bull

In this letter, I consider the issue of pricing risky debt by following Merton's approach. I generalize Merton's results to the case where the interest rate is modeled by the CIR term structure. Exact closed forms are provided for the risky…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-12-10 D. F. Wang

We continue a series of papers where prices of the barrier options written on the underlying, which dynamics follows some one factor stochastic model with time-dependent coefficients and the barrier, are obtained in semi-closed form, see…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-05-13 Peter Carr , Andrey Itkin , Dmitry Muravey

We study an open-boundary version of the on-off zero-range process introduced in Hirschberg et al. [Phys. Rev. Lett. 103, 090602 (2009)]. This model includes temporal correlations which can promote the condensation of particles, a situation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-08-25 Massimo Cavallaro , Raúl J. Mondragón , Rosemary J. Harris

We propose a novel credit default model that takes into account the impact of macroeconomic information and contagion effect on the defaults of obligors. We use a set-valued Markov chain to model the default process, which is the set of all…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-31 Dianfa Chen , Jun Deng , Jianfen Feng , Bin Zou

Using a suitable change of probability measure, we obtain a novel Poisson series representation for the arbitrage- free price process of vulnerable contingent claims in a regime-switching market driven by an underlying continuous- time…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-09 Agostino Capponi , Jose Figueroa-Lopez , Jeffrey Nisen

We present an option pricing formula for European options in a stochastic volatility model. In particular, the volatility process is defined using a fractional integral of a diffusion process and both the stock price and the volatility…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2020-07-29 Marc Lagunas-Merino , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

In this paper we consider a reduced-form intensity-based credit risk model with a hidden Markov state process. A filtering method is proposed for extracting the underlying state given the observation processes. The method may be applied to…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-03-10 Feng-Hui Yu , Wai-Ki Ching , Jia-Wen Gu , Tak-Kuen Siu

We consider a defaultable asset whose risk-neutral pricing dynamics are described by an exponential Levy-type martingale subject to default. This class of models allows for local volatility, local default intensity, and a locally dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-30 Matthew Lorig , Stefano Pagliarani , Andrea Pascucci

In this paper we derive a generic decomposition of the option pricing formula for models with finite activity jumps in the underlying asset price process (SVJ models). This is an extension of the well-known result by Alos (2012) for Heston…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2019-06-18 Raul Merino , Jan Pospíšil , Tomáš Sobotka , Josep Vives

We develop an arbitrage-free deep learning framework for yield curve and bond price forecasting based on the Heath-Jarrow-Morton (HJM) term-structure model and a dynamic Nelson-Siegel parameterization of forward rates. Our approach embeds a…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-11-25 Xiang Gao , Cody Hyndman

In an efficient stock market, the returns and their time-dependent volatility are often jointly modeled by stochastic volatility models (SVMs). Over the last few decades several SVMs have been proposed to adequately capture the defining…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Sujay Mukhoti , Pritam Ranjan

We consider the pricing of variable annuities (VAs) with general fee structures under popular stochastic volatility models such as Heston, Hull-White, Scott, $\alpha$-Hypergeometric, $3/2$, and $4/2$ models. In particular, we analyze the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-08-01 Zhenyu Cui , Anne MacKay , Marie-Claude Vachon
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