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This paper develops the asymptotic theory for parametric and nonparametric regression models when the errors have a fractional local to unity root (FLUR) model structure. FLUR models are stationary time series with semi-long range…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Farzad Sabzikar , Kris De Brabanter

This paper offers a comprehensive introduction to Bayesian inference, combining historical context, theoretical foundations, and core analytical examples. Beginning with Bayes' theorem and the philosophical distinctions between Bayesian and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-08 Juan Sosa , Carlos A. Martínez , Danna Cruz

We present a non-parametric Bayesian approach to structure learning with hidden causes. Previous Bayesian treatments of this problem define a prior over the number of hidden causes and use algorithms such as reversible jump Markov chain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Frank Wood , Thomas Griffiths , Zoubin Ghahramani

These are the lecture notes for the summer course given for 2018 Mathematical Finance Summer School at Shandong Unversity. It contains a brief introduction to the Kyle model and the related topics in filtering, enlargement of filtrations…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2018-09-12 Umut Çetın

These lecture notes in Lie Groups are designed for a 1--semester third year or graduate course in mathematics, physics, engineering, chemistry or biology. This landmark theory of the 20th Century mathematics and physics gives a rigorous…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Vladimir G. Ivancevic , Tijana T. Ivancevic

What is Statistics? Opinions vary. In fact, there is a continuous spectrum of attitudes toward statistics ranging from pure theoreticians, proving asymptotic efficiency and searching for most powerful tests, to wild practitioners, blindly…

Applications · Statistics 2016-03-17 Konstantin Zuev

This extended preface [to the Book `Bayesian Nonparametrics', Cambridge University Press, 2010, by NL Hjort, CC Holmes, P Mueller, SG Walker] is meant to explain why you are right to be curious about Bayesian nonparametrics -- why you may…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-22 Nils Lid Hjort , Chris Holmes , Peter Mueller , Stephen G. Walker

We establish nonuniform Berry-Esseen (B-E) bounds for Studentized U-statistics of the rate $1/\sqrt{n}$ under a third-moment assumption, which covers the t-statistic that corresponds to a kernel of degree $1$ as a special case. While an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Dennis Leung , Qi-Man Shao

The Explorations in Statistics Research workshop is a one-week NSF-funded summer program that introduces undergraduate students to current research problems in applied statistics. The goal of the workshop is to expose students to exciting,…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2015-08-25 Deborah Nolan , Duncan Temple Lang

I describe ongoing work developing Bayesian methods for flexible modeling of arrival time series data without binning, aiming to improve detection and measurement of X-ray and gamma-ray pulsars, and of pulses in gamma-ray bursts. The…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-03 Thomas J. Loredo

These lecture notes want to illustrate the close connection between statistical mechanics and field theory not only on the formal level, i.e. that many concepts of one area can easily be taken over to the other one, but also on the level of…

High Energy Physics - Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 Gernot Münster , Harald Grießhammer , Dirk Lehmann

This is an updated version of the lectures notes for a course on condensed mathematics taught in the summer term 2019 at the University of Bonn. The material presented is joint work with Dustin Clausen. This is intended as a stable citable…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Peter Scholze

In recent years, Bayesian statistics has gained traction across a wide range of scientific disciplines. This paper explores the growing application of Bayesian methods within the field of linguistics and considers their future potential. A…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-23 Natalia Levshina

These are lectures for students at the summer school conducted by the Faculty of Fundamental Sciences, Bauman Moscow State Technical University at 2022.

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2022-08-10 Victor A. Berezin , Vyacheslav I. Dokuchaev

These lecture notes were written for the course 18.657, High Dimensional Statistics at MIT. They build on a set of notes that was prepared at Princeton University in 2013-14 that was modified (and hopefully improved) over the years.

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Philippe Rigollet , Jan-Christian Hütter

We apply Bayesian statistics to the estimation of correlation functions. We give the probability distributions of auto- and cross-correlations as functions of the data. Our procedure uses the measured data optimally and informs about the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2022-12-27 Angel Gutierrez-Rubio , Juan S. Rojas-Arias , Jun Yoneda , Seigo Tarucha , Daniel Loss , Peter Stano

We consider inference from non-random samples in data-rich settings where high-dimensional auxiliary information is available both in the sample and the target population, with survey inference being a special case. We propose a regularized…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-13 Yutao Liu , Andrew Gelman , Qixuan Chen

This paper presents some asymptotic results for statistics of Brownian semi-stationary (BSS) processes. More precisely, we consider power variations of BSS processes, which are based on high frequency (possibly higher order) differences of…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-04 José Manuel Corcuera , Emil Hedevang , Mikko S. Pakkanen , Mark Podolskij

This paper investigates the {\em nonasymptotic} properties of Bayes procedures for estimating an unknown distribution from $n$ i.i.d.\ observations. We assume that the prior is supported by a model $(\scr{S},h)$ (where $h$ denotes the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-11-03 Lucien Birgé

These are lecture notes that are based on the lectures from a class I taught on the topic of Randomized Linear Algebra (RLA) at UC Berkeley during the Fall 2013 semester.

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-08-17 Michael W. Mahoney
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