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In the last few decades, noise-induced large fluctuations and transition phenomena have garnered significant attention in a variety of scientific contexts. The concept of prehistory probability has been proposed within the framework of…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-10 Feng Zhao , Jinjie Zhu , Yang Li , Xianbin Liu , Dongping Jin

We prove $\sqrt{\log n}$ lower bounds on the order of growth fluctuations in three planar growth models (first-passage percolation, last-passage percolation, and directed polymers) under no assumptions on the distribution of vertex or edge…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Erik Bates , Sourav Chatterjee

We propose a general approach to freezing out fluctuations in heavy-ion collisions using the principle of maximum entropy. We find the results naturally expressed as a direct relationship between the irreducible relative correlators…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-05-17 Maneesha Sushama Pradeep , Mikhail Stephanov

We define a stochastic lattice model for a fluctuating directed polymer in $d\geq 2$ dimensions. This model can be alternatively interpreted as a fluctuating random path in 2 dimensions, or a one-dimensional asymmetric simple exclusion…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-09-20 G. M. Schütz , B. Wehefritz-Kaufmann

This note proves an upper bound for the fluctuations of a second-class particle in the totally asymmetric simple exclusion process. The proof needs a lower tail estimate for the last-passage growth model associated with the exclusion…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Timo Seppalainen

We study the half-space KPZ equation with a Neumann boundary condition, starting from stationary Brownian initial data. We derive a variance identity that links the fluctuations of the height function to the transversal fluctuations of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-12-22 Yu Gu , Ran Tao

We consider extremal eigenvalues of sparse random matrices, a class of random matrices including the adjacency matrices of Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi graphs $\mathcal{G}(N,p)$. Recently, it was shown that the leading order fluctuations of extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-06-08 Jaehun Lee

We challenge two foundational principles of localization physics by analyzing conductance fluctuations in two dimensions with unprecedented precision: (i) the Thouless criterion, which defines localization as insensitivity to boundary…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-03-03 Nyayabanta Swain , Shaffique Adam , Gabriel Lemarié

We consider the narrow wedge solution to the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang stochastic PDE under the characteristic $3:2:1$ scaling of time, space and fluctuations. We study the correlation of fluctuations at two different times. We show that when the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-14 Ivan Corwin , Promit Ghosal , Alan Hammond

This paper is concerned with the optimal upper bound on mean quantities (torque, dissipation and the Nusselt number) obtained in the framework of the background method for the Taylor--Couette flow with a stationary outer cylinder. Along the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-01-19 Anuj Kumar

For the exactly solvable model of exponential last passage percolation on $\mathbb{Z}^2$, consider the geodesic $\Gamma_n$ joining $(0,0)$ and $(n,n)$ for large $n$. It is well known that the transversal fluctuation of $\Gamma_n$ around the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Riddhipratim Basu , Manan Bhatia

In this paper, lower bounds on the probability of a finite union of events are considered, i.e. $P\left(\bigcup_{i=1}^N A_i\right)$, in terms of the individual event probabilities $\{P(A_i), i=1,\ldots,N\}$ and the sums of the pairwise…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Jun Yang , Fady Alajaji , Glen Takahara

In this paper, we introduce and develop the theory of semimartingale optimal transport in a path dependent setting. Instead of the classical constraints on marginal distributions, we consider a general framework of path dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-15 Ivan Guo , Gregoire Loeper

We introduce a multi-species generalization of the hard-rod gas in which each species has a distinct effective length, and the repulsive scattering shift is set by the smaller of the two colliding rods. We argue that this model shares key…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-03 Andrew Urilyon , Romain Vasseur , Sarang Gopalakrishnan , Jacopo De Nardis

We study the one-dimensional KPZ equation on a large torus, started at equilibrium. The main results are optimal variance bounds in the super-relaxation regime and part of the relaxation regime.

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-29 Alexander Dunlap , Yu Gu , Tomasz Komorowski

The recently developed bag-of-paths (BoP) framework consists in setting a Gibbs-Boltzmann distribution on all feasible paths of a graph. This probability distribution favors short paths over long ones, with a free parameter (the temperature…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-04-25 Guillaume Guex , Ilkka Kivimäki , Marco Saerens

We present a general approach to the problem of determining the asymptotic order of the variance of the optimal score between two independent random sequences defined over an arbitrary finite alphabet. Our general approach is based on…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-22 Jüri Lember , Heinrich Matzinger , Felipe Torres

In this paper, we compute the tightest possible bounds on the probability that the optimal value of a combinatorial optimization problem in maximization form with a random objective exceeds a given number, assuming only knowledge of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-11-24 Divya Padmanabhan , Selin Damla Ahipasaoglu , Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

In the context of first-passage percolation (FPP), we investigate the statistical properties of the selected link-times (SLTs) -the random link times comprising the optimal paths (or geodesics) connecting two given points. We focus on…

We study the fluctuations of discretized versions of the stochastic heat equation (SHE) and the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang (KPZ) equation in spatial dimensions $d\geq 3$ in the weak disorder regime. The discretization is defined using the directed…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Stefan Junk , Shuta Nakajima