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Related papers: Two universal pathways in demographic transition

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Based on a simple object, an i.i.d. sequence of positive integer-valued random variables, $\{a_n\}_{n\in \mathbb{Z}}$, we introduce and study two random structures and their connections. First, a population dynamics, in which each…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-23 François Baccelli , Antonio Sodre

The grandmother hypothesis is the most influential account of the evolution of menopause in humans, but other theories warrant investigation. Here I use simulations to investigate two theories that ground the evolution of menopause in…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-21 Edward H. Hagen

We present, solve and numerically simulate a simple model that describes the consequences of increased longevity on fertility rates, population growth and the distribution of wealth in developed societies. We look at the consequences of the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2011-08-08 Aleksandar Bogojevic , Antun Balaz , Rasa Karapandza

The interaction of all mobile species with their environment hinges on their movement patterns: the places they visit and how frequently they go there. In human society, where the prevalent form of cohabitation is in cities, the highly…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-02-17 Markus Schläpfer , Michael Szell , Hadrien Salat , Carlo Ratti , Geoffrey B. West

The probability of the survival of the population of individuals of both sexes of given mature age, procreation rate and structure stability has been searched in the numerical experiment. The populations with long period of reproduction and…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2007-05-23 Kazimierz Pater

The Lotka-Euler equation is a mathematical expression used to study population dynamics and growth, particularly in the context of demography and ecology. The growth rate $\lambda$ is the speed at which an individual produce their…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-05-30 Carlos Hernandez-Suarez

We introduce a model for a population on a lattice with diffusion and birth/death according to 2A->3A and A->0 for a particle A. We find that the model displays a phase transition from an active to an absorbing state which is continuous in…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-25 Alastair Windus , Henrik Jeldtoft Jensen

Since the 1940s, population projections have in most cases been produced using the deterministic cohort component method. However, in 2015, for the first time, in a major advance, the United Nations issued official probabilistic population…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-15 Peiran Liu , Adrian E. Raftery

The report considers the dynamics of the global population as the unique case of the Socio-Economic Soft Matter system. This category was introduced for complex systems dominated by mesoscale assemblies, emerging due to the inherent…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-07 Agata Angelika Rzoska , Aleksandra Drozd-Rzoska

Growth of the world population and the world economic growth were hyperbolic in the past 2,000,000 years. Recently, from around 1950, they started to be diverted to slower trajectories but they are still close to the historical hyperbolic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-10-24 Ron W. Nielsen

We characterize the outcomes of a canonical deterministic model for the intergenerational transmission of capital that features differential fertility. A fertility function determines the relationship between parental capital and the number…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-05-28 Francis Dennig , Bassel Tarbush

Strong positive feedback is considered a necessary condition to observe abrupt shifts of ecosystems. A few previous studies have shown that demographic noise -- arising from the probabilistic and discrete nature of birth and death processes…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-06-22 Sabiha Majumder , Ayan Das , Appilineni Kushal , Sumithra Sankaran , Vishwesha Guttal

Existing theories for the evolution of aging and death treat senescence as a side-effect of strong selection for fertility. These theories are well-developed mathematically, but fit poorly with emerging experimental data. The data suggest…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 Josh Mitteldorf

The issue of longevity has been long time recognized as one of key concepts in demography. A particular aspect of longevity addressed in this paper is the difference in average observed duration of life for female and male population,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2019-05-09 Toni Cosic , Roko Misetic , Hrvoje Stefancic

We examine birth--death processes with state dependent transition probabilities and at least one absorbing boundary. In evolution, this describes selection acting on two different types in a finite population where reproductive events occur…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2010-10-12 Philipp M. Altrock , Chaytanya S. Gokhale , Arne Traulsen

In this paper, we review recent results of ours concerning branching processes with general lifetimes and neutral mutations, under the infinitely many alleles model, where mutations can occur either at birth of individuals or at a constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-29 Nicolas Champagnat , Amaury Lambert , Mathieu Richard

This article deals with the emergence of a specific mating preference pattern called homogamy in a population. Individuals are characterized by their genotype at two haploid loci, and the population dynamics is modelled by a non-linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-25 Coron Camille , Costa Manon , Laroche Fabien , Leman Hélène , Smadi Charline

The idea of a metapopulation has become canonical in ecology. Its original mean field form provides the important intuition that migration and extinction interact to determine the dynamics of a population composed of subpopulations. From…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-07-01 John Vandermeer , Zachary Hajian-Forooshani

The United Nations regularly publishes projections of the populations of all the world's countries broken down by age and sex. These projections are the de facto standard and are widely used by international organizations, governments and…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-05-20 Adrian E. Raftery , Leontine Alkema , Patrick Gerland

To study later spatial evolutionary games based on the multitype contact process, we first focus in this paper on the conditions for survival/extinction in the presence of only one strategy, in which case our model consists of a variant of…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-09 Jonas Köppl , Nicolas Lanchier , Max Mercer