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Phase fractions, compositions and energies of the stable phases as a function of macroscopic composition, temperature, and pressure (X-T-P) are the principle correlations needed for the design of new materials and improvement of existing…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-02-04 Noah H Paulson , Brandon J Bocklund , Richard A Otis , Zi-Kui Liu , Marius Stan

Computer simulations have long been key to understanding and designing phase-change materials (PCMs) for memory technologies. Machine learning is now increasingly being used to accelerate the modelling of PCMs, and yet it remains…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-02-13 Yuxing Zhou , Daniel F. Thomas du Toit , Stephen R. Elliott , Wei Zhang , Volker L. Deringer

Simulations at the atomic scale provide a direct and effective way to understand the mechanical properties of materials. In the regime of classical mechanics, simulations for the thermodynamic properties of metals and alloys can be done by…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-11-05 Ka-Ming Tam , Nicholas Walker , Samuel Kellar , Mark Jarrell

To model and quantify the variability in plasticity and failure of additively manufactured metals due to imperfections in their microstructure, we have developed uncertainty quantification methodology based on pseudo marginal likelihood and…

Materials Science · Physics 2020-01-08 M. Khalil , G. H. Teichert , C. Alleman , N. M. Heckman , R. E. Jones , K. Garikipati , B. L. Boyce

Machine learning (ML) based interatomic potentials are emerging tools for materials simulations but require a trade-off between accuracy and speed. Here we show how one can use one ML potential model to train another: we use an existing,…

Materials Science · Physics 2022-09-20 Joe D. Morrow , Volker L. Deringer

Sensitivity analysis (SA) and uncertainty quantification (UQ) are used to assess and improve engineering models. In this study, various methods of SA and UQ are described and applied in theoretical and practical examples for use in energy…

Applications · Statistics 2022-07-07 Majdi I. Radaideh , Mohammad I. Radaideh

The introduction of the Segment Anything Model (SAM) has paved the way for numerous semantic segmentation applications. For several tasks, quantifying the uncertainty of SAM is of particular interest. However, the ambiguous nature of the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-07-30 Timo Kaiser , Thomas Norrenbrock , Bodo Rosenhahn

Uncertainty quantification has become increasingly more prominent in nuclear physics over the past several years. In few-body reaction theory, there are four main sources that contribute to the uncertainties in the calculated observables:…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-12-17 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , M. Catacora-Rios , G. B. King

The swift progression of machine learning (ML) has not gone unnoticed in the realm of statistical mechanics. ML techniques have attracted attention by the classical density-functional theory (DFT) community, as they enable discovery of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-09-15 Antonio Malpica-Morales , Peter Yatsyshin , Miguel A. Duran-Olivencia , Serafim Kalliadasis

Uncertainty quantification for complex deep learning models is increasingly important as these techniques see growing use in high-stakes, real-world settings. Currently, the quality of a model's uncertainty is evaluated using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-15 Benjamin Kompa , Jasper Snoek , Andrew Beam

This paper presents a method for performing Uncertainty Quantification in high-dimensional uncertain spaces by combining arbitrary polynomial chaos with a recently proposed scheme for sensitivity enhancement (1). Including available…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-02-09 Nick Pepper , Francesco Montomoli , Kyriakos Kantarakias

Recently Quantum Computation has generated a lot of interest due to the discovery of a quantum algorithm which can factor large numbers in polynomial time. The usefulness of a quantum com puter is limited by the effect of errors. Simulation…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Kevin M. Obenland , Alvin M. Despain

Uncertainty Quantification aims to determine when the prediction from a Machine Learning model is likely to be wrong. Computer Vision research has explored methods for determining epistemic uncertainty (also known as model uncertainty),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-15 Prithviraj Manivannan , Ivo Pascal de Jong , Matias Valdenegro-Toro , Andreea Ioana Sburlea

In the framework of density functional theory (DFT) simulations of molecules and materials, anharmonic terms of the potential energy surface are commonly computed numerically, with an associated cost that rapidly increases with the size of…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-03-17 Davide Mitoli , Jefferson Maul , Alessandro Erba

Uncertainty quantification is crucial for the deployment of image restoration models in safety-critical domains, like autonomous driving and biological imaging. To date, methods for uncertainty visualization have mainly focused on per-pixel…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-07 Elias Nehme , Omer Yair , Tomer Michaeli

We address the problem of uncertainty quantification and propose measures of total, aleatoric, and epistemic uncertainty based on a known decomposition of (strictly) proper scoring rules, a specific type of loss function, into a divergence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-29 Paul Hofman , Yusuf Sale , Eyke Hüllermeier

Neural networks are used for many real world applications, but often they have problems estimating their own confidence. This is particularly problematic for computer vision applications aimed at making high stakes decisions with humans and…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Matias Valdenegro-Toro

Uncertainty quantification in Artificial Intelligence (AI)-based predictions of material properties is of immense importance for the success and reliability of AI applications in material science. While confidence intervals are commonly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Francesca Tavazza , Brian De Cost , Kamal Choudhary

We study an industrial computer code related to nuclear safety. A major topic of interest is to assess the uncertainties tainting the results of a computer simulation. In this work we gain robustness on the quantification of a risk…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Jerome Stenger , Fabrice Gamboa , Merlin Keller , Bertrand Iooss

Density Functional Theory (DFT) calculations are being routinely used to identify new material candidates that approach activity near fundamental limits imposed by thermodynamics or scaling relations. DFT calculations have finite…

Materials Science · Physics 2018-04-10 Dilip Krishnamurthy , Vaidish Sumaria , Venkatasubramanian Viswanathan