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Parameter estimation is one of the most important tasks in statistics, and is key to helping people understand the distribution behind a sample of observations. Traditionally parameter estimation is done either by closed-form solutions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-04 Xiaoxin Yin , David S. Yin

Understanding the pathways whereby an intervention has an effect on an outcome is a common scientific goal. A rich body of literature provides various decompositions of the total intervention effect into pathway specific effects.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-20 David Benkeser

Consider a diffusion process X, solution of a time-homogeneous stochastic differential equation. We assume that the diffusion process X is observed at discrete times, at high frequency, which means that the time step tends toward zero. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Eddy Michel Ella Mintsa

We study nonparametric density estimation in non-stationary drift settings. Given a sequence of independent samples taken from a distribution that gradually changes in time, the goal is to compute the best estimate for the current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Alessio Mazzetto , Eli Upfal

We study a new parametric approach for hidden discrete-time diffusion models. This method is based on contrast minimization and deconvolution and leads to estimate a large class of stochastic models with nonlinear drift and nonlinear…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-01 Salima El Kolei , Florian Pelgrin

We develop a class of interacting particle systems for implementing a maximum marginal likelihood estimation (MMLE) procedure to estimate the parameters of a latent variable model. We achieve this by formulating a continuous-time…

Transfer learning for nonparametric regression is considered. We first study the non-asymptotic minimax risk for this problem and develop a novel estimator called the confidence thresholding estimator, which is shown to achieve the minimax…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-01-24 T. Tony Cai , Hongming Pu

In this article we consider the estimation of static parameters for partially observed diffusion process with discrete-time observations over a fixed time interval. In particular, we assume that one must time-discretize the partially…

Computation · Statistics 2023-09-20 Elsiddig Awadelkarim , Ajay Jasra , Hamza Ruzayqat

In this paper, we present an innovative particle system characterized by moderate interactions, designed to accurately approximate kinetic flocking models that incorporate singular interaction forces and local alignment mechanisms. We…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-04-23 Jinhuan Wang , Keyu Li , Hui Huang

The methods for parameter estimation under assumption of agreement between observation and model are reviewed. The distribution parameters are obtained for one set of experimental data by using different estimation methods under assumption…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-07-17 Lorentz Jantschi

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

In the present paper, we derive lower bounds for the risk of the nonparametric empirical Bayes estimators. In order to attain the optimal convergence rate, we propose generalization of the linear empirical Bayes estimation method which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-12 Rida Benhaddou , Marianna Pensky

A new particle-based sampling and approximate inference method, based on electrostatics and Newton mechanics principles, is introduced with theoretical ground, algorithm design and experimental validation. This method simulates an…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-07-01 Yongchao Huang

We propose a new parametrization for the estimation and identification of the impulse-response functions (IRFs) of dynamic factor models (DFMs). The theoretical contribution of this paper concerns the problem of observational equivalence…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-02-23 Juho Koistinen , Bernd Funovits

In this paper, we consider the problem of joint parameter estimation for drift and diffusion coefficients of a stochastic McKean-Vlasov equation and for the associated system of interacting particles. The analysis is provided in a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-26 Chiara Amorino , Akram Heidari , Vytautė Pilipauskaitė , Mark Podolskij

Mathematical modeling of production systems is the foundation of all model-based approaches for production system analysis, design, improvement, and control. To construct such a model for the stochastic process of the production system more…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-22 Yuting Sun , Liang Zhang

Causal mediation analysis has historically been limited in two important ways: (i) a focus has traditionally been placed on binary treatments and static interventions, and (ii) direct and indirect effect decompositions have been pursued…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-13 Nima S. Hejazi , Kara E. Rudolph , Mark J. van der Laan , Iván Díaz

The paper deals with the nonparametric estimation problem at a given fixed point for an autoregressive model with unknown distributed noise. Kernel estimate modifications are proposed. Asymptotic minimax and efficiency properties for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-19 Ouerdia Arkoun , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

Since Stein's 1956 seminal paper, shrinkage has played a fundamental role in both parametric and nonparametric inference. This article discusses minimaxity and adaptive minimaxity in nonparametric function estimation. Three interrelated…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-03-23 T. Tony Cai

In this paper, we explore a static setting for the assessment of risk in the context of mathematical finance and actuarial science that takes into account model uncertainty in the distribution of a possibly infinite-dimensional risk factor.…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-08-13 Max Nendel , Alessandro Sgarabottolo
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